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Buffalo Bills vs. Carolina Panthers,
9-17-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#265 Buffalo
Bills
#266 Carolina
Panthers

Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Buffalo Bills (1-0 SU, 1-0-0 PS, 0-1-0 O/U) vs Carolina Panthers (1-0 SU, 1-0-0 PS, 0-1-0 O/U)

When: 1:00 PM EDT, Sunday, September 17, 2017

Where: Bank Of America Stadium in Charleston, North Carolina

Lines: Carolina -7

Total: 42.5

Some inter-conference NFL action this afternoon as the Buffalo Bills duke it out with the Carolina Panthers at Bank Of America Stadium in Charleston, North Carolina.The Bills started their year off with a solid 21-12 home win over the Jets, while the Panthers took care of the Niners on the road by a score of 23-3. These teams last met in 2013 (at Buffalo) and the Bills won that game by a score of 24-23.  

Defense Leads The Bills Over The Jets

That isn’t that hard to do as the New York Jets are not a very good offensive team, but still, it was the defense that led them to the 21-12 win over New York in their opener. Buffalo is rebuilding and they have gotten rid of some key players on offense, but the defense was pretty much untouched and they allowed the Jets to put up just 214 yards of total offense in the game, including just 38 yards on the ground. The ground attack is all the Jets have, so if you stop that, then you pretty much stop their whole offense. They will be led by their defense for much of the year as the offense just doesn’t seem like they will put up much this year. They have Tyrod Taylor at QB and LeSean McCoy at RB, but the rest of the skill positions are pretty slim, especially with WR Sammy Watkins now playing for the Rams.

The running game was tops in the league last year and they started out very strong in that aspect of the offense as they churned out 190 yards on 42 carries against a very solid front wall of the Jets. McCoy led the way with 110 yards on 22 carries, but he didn’t have a TD in the game. Taylor hit 16 of 28 passes for 224 yards with two TDs and an INT in the game. The Bills will look to use their ground game against the Panthers, but it will not be that easy as Carolina has allowed just 92 and 86 ypg on the ground the last two years.  

Carolina Routs Niners On The Road

Two years ago, the Carolina Panthers were 15-1 in the regular season and made it all the way to the Super Bowl. Last year, they crashed and burned to a 6-10 mark and finished in last place in the NFC South. This year they look to make it back to the postseason and they are off to a nice start after taking out the San Francisco 49ers on the road by a score of 23-3. Just like the Bills, their defense really stepped up against what was one of the worst offenses in the league last year. The Panthers allowed San Francisco just 217 yards of total offense in the game, including just 51 yards on the ground. Last year they allowed just 92 ypg rushing, which was one of the better marks in the league and the year before they allowed just 86 ypg rushing. That run defense will get a strong test in this one against a Bills team that put up 190 yards rushing on the Jets in game one, after league the league in rushing last year.

The Panthers needed their defense to play well against the Niners as their offense did not have a great game. They put up just 287 yards in the game, including just 171 through the air. Many feel that Cam Newton has lost something and he didn’t look that great when he played in the preseason. He hit just 14 of 25 passes for 171 yards with two TDs and an INT in the win over the Niners. He also ran for just three yards and that is not like him. Rookie Christian McCaffrey had a decent first game as he ran for 47 yards on 13 carries. Jonathan Stewart led the team in rushing with 65 yards 0n 18 carries.  

Trends

Buffalo is:

  • The road team is 4-1 ATS the last five games in this series
  • The Underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five games in this series

Carolina is:

  • 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
  • 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win

The Buffalo Bills had a good opening win against the Jets, but they clearly are not a team that can challenge for a playoff spot this year as their offense is very weak and they seem to be in rebuilding mode. The Carolina Panthers shut down a bad San Francisco offense and while they won the game by 20, they still didn’t look that good on offense. Cam Newton is just not the same player he was a few years ago and he will be facing a very tough defense in this one. The Bills will use their ground game to wear down the Panthers in this one and while they may not win the game out right, I see this one being decided by no more than three or four points, especially with the dog going 4-1 ATS the last five games in this series. Take the Bills to keep the game close.

Pick: Buffalo +7

The Carolina Panthers looked good in beating the San Francisco 49er on Sunday, but that was the San Francisco 49ers, who may tally as few as two wins this year. The Bills topped the Jets, but that was the Jets and they may also put up as few as two wins this year. The one thing that both teams really have in common is their defenses, which really looked good against bad offenses this past week and both of these offenses look think they have many issues and will struggle when they face teams with good defenses. Got all that? LOL I just don’t see these offenses having a good showing in this one and I clearly don’t see more than 38 points being scored. Take the Under in this one.  

Pick: Under 42.5

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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