Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#271 Buffalo Bills -5.5 vs.
#272 Miami Dolphins 43
Sunday, September 20, 2020 at 1:00pm EDT
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Written by Blake V.

Buffalo will be hoping to add to its season-opening win on Sunday afternoon against Miami. The Bills picked up a convincing win against the Jets in week one, while the Dolphins lost to the new-look Patriots.

Bills hope to limit turnovers

Buffalo got a mixed bag of results from quarterback Josh Allen in the win against the Jets in week one. Allen threw for a career-high 312 yards and two touchdowns, adding another score on the ground. He led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 15 carries. It was not all good from Allen, though, as he fumbled twice and missed a sure touchdown pass to John Brown. New York was unable to capitalize on any of the mistakes and the Bills covered the 6.5-point spread with ease. Buffalo took a controlling lead in the first quarter, as Allen ran one in from two yards out and then threw a four-yard touchdown pass to Zack Moss later in the quarter.

The Bills extended the lead to 21-0 on a 17-yard strike from Allen to Brown. New York would score the next 10 points to trim the lead to 21-10, but Buffalo added a pair of field goals in the fourth quarter to ice the game. Allen finished 33 of 46 through the air for a QBR of 71.1. Running back Devin Singletary carried the ball nine times for 30 yards and Moss added nine attempts for just 11 yards. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs led the team with eight catches for 86 yards on nine targets. Brown caught six passes for 70 yards and the touchdown.

Dolphins coming off disappointing loss

Miami is coming off a week one loss to New England. The Dolphins were able to stay in touch for most of the game, but they could never seem to cash in on offense. Veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick threw three interceptions, including a late one in the fourth quarter that sealed the fate of the spread and the game. Wide receiver DeVante Parker left the game early in the second half with a hamstring injury and could miss this week’s game as well. He had missed the majority of the team’s practices over the last 2.5 weeks with the same injury and it eventually caused him to leave the game.

Parker is a huge part of the Dolphins’ offensive plan. He finished fifth in the NFL in receiving yards last season with 1,202. It was his first season playing all 16 games after missing 11 games during his first four seasons. Preston Williams and Jakeem Grant will be relied on if Parker is out, which seems likely. Williams caught two passes for 41 yards against New England. Miami’s defense allowed Cam Newton to run for two touchdowns in what was his first game in more than a year. The Dolphins’ lone touchdown came when Jordan Howard ran it in from one yard out in the fourth quarter. Myles Gaskin was the leading rusher with nine carries for 40 yards.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


This line opened at 3 and has already risen to 5.5 by Tuesday night. It would not be surprising if it continues to move based on Parker’s injury and the week one results. Buffalo was talked about as one of the favorites to win the AFC East before the season began and it fit the bill on Sunday. The score was really closer than the game felt and the Bills could have easily won by four touchdowns. Allen plays a similar style to Newton, who gave the Dolphins defense some problems. I expect Buffalo to cover this number on the road.

Prediction: Buffalo -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I like the over in this game. Miami is the perfect team to bet an over with, because the offense is set up to score garbage time touchdowns. Fitzpatrick almost did it again last week, but an interception in the end zone derailed the drive. Miami has gone over in six of its last eight games. I expect Allen to be able to run and pass all over the Dolphins’ defense. The over has cashed in eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. Parker’s status could allow bettors to get a better number on game day.

Prediction: Over 41

Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.