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Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars,
9-23-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#465 Tennessee
Titans 39.5
#466 Jacksonville
Jaguars -10

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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The Jacksonville Jaguars will attempt to improve to 3-0 when they host the Tennessee Titans in a divisional battle Sunday afternoon from TIAA Bank Field. The Titans recorded a 20-17 home win over the Texans last week, and the Jaguars are coming off a 31-20 home win over the Patriots. The Titans defeated the Jaguars in both meetings last season which included a 37-16 road win in week two.

Titans Persevere in Win Over Texans, Mariota Sits Out

The Tennessee Titans showed great poise in their 20-17 home win against Houston last week to even their record at 1-1. Marcus Mariota sat out with an elbow injury, leaving the way for Blaine Gabbert, who tallied 117 passing yards and one TD. Mariota is questionable for this contest, and he could be a game-time decision. The 24-year old QB registered 349 passing yards with a 2:1 TD to INT ratio against the Jaguars last season. Derrick Henry saw a heavy workload last week, and he wasn’t able to generate much, rushing for 56 yards on 18 carries. Dion Lewis leads the Titans with 117 rushing yards this season. Richard Matthews has been very quiet through two games, making only two grabs for eight yards. Tight end Delanie Walker is out for the year with an ankle injury, so Matthews will need to play a big role in the Titans passing game. Tennessee deserves a ton of credit for managing 20 points against the Texans defense in Mariota’s absence. They face another daunting task against the Jags’ vaunted defense. The Titans are averaging 20 points in two games, pegging them 23rd overall.

The Tennessee defense did squander over 400 yards last week, however, they were able to make some big stops. They made four sacks last week led by Jurrell Casey who tallied two sacks. The Titans will need to tighten up defensively against Jacksonville as they have allowed average of 390 total yards through two games. They are allowing an average of 22 points, positioning them 15th in the NFL.

Bortles Shines in Convincing Win Over Patriots

The Jacksonville Jaguars got their revenge over the Patriots with a convincing 31-20 home win last week after falling to New England in the AFC title game last season. Blake Bortles came through with a brilliant performance, accumulating 377 passing yards with four TD’s. The 26-year old QB was much sharper than his week one effort against the Giants, and he has tallied 553 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio in two games. TJ. Yeldon rushed for 58 yards on 10 carries in place of the injured Leonard Fournette who is questionable for this one. Yeldon has notched 109 rushing yards in two games. Keelan Cole put on a dazzling display against the Patriots, making seven grabs for 116 yards. The 25-year old WR leads the Jags with 170 receiving yards. The Jaguars offense was very impressive last week without their elite running back Leonard Fournette. The Jags will likely lean on their passing game again this week if Fournette isn’t ready to play. WR Donte Moncrief is also questionable for this week. Jacksonville is averaging 25.5 points, ranking them 12th in the NFL.

The Jaguars’ stifling defense limited Brady and the Patriots to 302 yards last week, and they held them to a 4 for 12 mark on third downs. The Jaguars are arguably the best defensive team in the NFL, and they were able to contain Tom Brady last week. Jacksonville will again have revenge on their mind against a Titans team that defeated them in both meetings last year. Jacksonville has held their opponents to an average of 17.5 points, good for fifth in the NFL.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the Jaguars in this contest. The Jaguars just defeated the Patriots by 11 points, and their defense should carry them to a convincing win in this matchup. The Titans receiving core is thin with the absence of Delanie Walker, and Rishard Matthews only has eight receiving yards in two games. The Jaguars’ stifling pass defense that has limited opponents to an average of 215 passing yards in two games should neutralize the Titans offense. Tennessee’s running game has been mediocre early on, and I don’t see them solving the Jacksonville defense. Furthermore, Blake Bortles has already tossed five TD passes, plus I expect a productive afternoon from the Jags’ running game against a Titans’ rush defense that ranks 24th in the NFL.

Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I am taking the over in this contest. The Jaguars have received a steady contribution from both their passing and running game, and the Titans will give up yards. They have squandered an average of 390 total yards in two games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games against the Jaguars. The Titans averaged a solid 26 points in two games against the Jaguars last season, and they also managed 20 points without Mariota last week. The over is 11-5 in the Jaguars’ last 16 home games, and I expect the over to convert again in this one.

Prediction: Over 39.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The over on the Jaguars team total is a solid play. Leonard Fournette is expected to be back in action and that is bad news for the Titans. The Titans rush defense ranks down at 26th in the NFL through two games, so I expect a big game from the powerful Leonard Fournette. Blake Bortles tossed four TD’s last week, and the Jaguars are averaging 25.5 points through two games.

Prediction: Jacksonville Team Total: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Jaguars on the halftime line is a strong option. The Jaguars are very productive in the first half, ranking sixth in the NFL with an average of 17 points, and that trend was evident in 2017 as well as they ranked eighth in the NFL in first half scoring. Furthermore, Tennessee is only averaging 9.2 points in the first half, pegging them down at 21st overall.

Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am opting with the under on the halftime total. While I expect offense from Jacksonville in the first half, the same can’t be said for the Titans. The Jaguars’ elite defense held the Giants to six points in the first half in week one, and they limited the Patriots to only three points last week.

Prediction: Under 19.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking the Jaguars to score first in the form of a touchdown. The Jaguars have fared well in the opening quarter, ranking fifth in the NFL with an average of 8.5 points per game. In addition, Jacksonville has only conceded a combined three points in the first quarter in two games.

Prediction: First Score of Game: Jacksonville Touchdown

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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