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Oakland Raiders vs. Washington Redskins,
9-24-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#487 Oakland
Raiders
#488 Washington
Redskins

Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 8:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Oakland Raiders (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U) vs. Washington Redskins (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, September 24, 2017, FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland, 8:30 pm ET

Spread: Oakland -3; Over/Under: 54

It’s an inter-conference battle in week 3 of the NFL season up in prime time in the nation’s capital. The Oakland Raiders are on the road as they make the long trip east to face the Washington Redskins on Sunday Night Football. Oakland cruised to a 2-0 start as they pounded the Jets 45-20 at home Sunday. Washington got into the win column as they edged the Rams 27-20 on the road Sunday. The Raiders have won seven of the 12 regular season meetings plus the one postseason contest. Washington took the last two meetings, including a 24-14 road win in the last matchup on September 29, 2013.

Oakland Raiders Look for Third Straight Win

Oakland has been east once already this season, turning back a Titans team many expect to win the AFC South. The Raiders then followed that up with a demolition of the lowly Jets to improve to 2-0 heading into this contest. After leading 14-10 in the second quarter, the Raiders outscored New York 31-10 the rest of the way. Oakland had a 410-271 advantage in total offense, a 21-17 edge in first downs and held the ball for 31:02 to New York’s 28:58 in the game. The Raiders also forced a pair of Jets turnovers while playing turnover free ball.

The Raiders are 14th in the league in passing offense with 240 yards per contest and 5th in rushing by putting up 144.5 yards per game on the ground. Oakland leads the league in scoring average with 35.5 points per game and stand tied for 10th in scoring defense by allowing 18 points a contest. Derek Carr has hit 45 of 60 passes for 492 yards with five touchdown passes and no interceptions. Marshawn Lynch has 30 carries for 121 yards and a score to lead the Raiders. Jalen Richard (11 carries, 80 yards, TD) and Cordarrelle Patterson (four carries, 62 yards, TD) have made the most of their touches as well. Michael Crabtree leads Oakland with 12 catches for 163 yards plus three scores. Amari Cooper (nine receptions, 95 yards, TD) and Jared Cook (nine grabs, 81 yards) provide two more sets of capable hands in the passing game. Giorgio Tavecchio has hit all eight extra point attempts and five of five field goal attempts with a long of 52 yards. He’s been a terrific fill-in for Sebastian Janikowski, who is on injured reserve.

Washington Redskins Hope for Better Health, Home Success

Washington had their work cut out for them facing a tough Rams defense but they pounded the ball on the ground. After wearing the Los Angeles defense down, the Redskins came up with a couple critical plays late to seal the win. Washington ran the ball 39 times for 229 yards in the game while throwing just 27 passes. That’s a major shift in offensive philosophy with the options the Redskins have in the passing game. Washington held a 385-332 advantage in total offense, a 21-14 edge in first downs and controlled the clock by holding the ball for 36:19 to the Rams 23:41. The Redskins forced two turnovers while not committing one but didn’t score the winning touchdown until 1:49 remained in the game.

The Redskins enter week 3 23rd in the league in passing with 178 yards per game and tied for 3rd in rushing as they put up 146.5 yards per contest on the ground. Washington is tied for 13th in scoring offense with 22 points per contest and 26th in scoring defense as they give up 25 points per game. Kirk Cousins has completed 41 of 67 passes for 419 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Rob Kelley leads the Redskins with 22 carries for 108 yards but suffered a rib cartilage injury. If he can’t go, the duo of Chris Thompson (six carries, 81 yards, two TD, seven catches, 81 yards, TD) and rookie Samaje Perine (21 carries, 67 yards) will shoulder the load. Tight end Jordan Reed leads Washington with 11 receptions for 84 yards. Terrelle Pryor Jr. (eight catches, 97 yards) and Jamison Crowder (seven grabs, 61 yards) are solid targets. Dustin Hopkins hit all five extra point attempts and three of four field goal attempts with a long of 41.

Trends:

Oakland

  • Raiders are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3
  • Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September
  • Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game

Washington

  • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
  • Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win
  • Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

The Redskins have a tough matchup here as they have to come up with a better defensive showing than they showed the first two weeks. Washington came up with a couple clutch plays that allowed them to beat the Rams but they need to play for a full 60 minutes. Oakland has a powerful offense and they’re balanced. Cook has filled one of the voids on offense from last season: a tight end that can catch the ball and make plays. Lynch is a physical runner that will pound the ball and test Washington’s defense. Look for the Raiders, going on the road, to come up with a win to remain unbeaten.

Pick: Oakland Raiders -3

Oakland put their full offensive capabilities on display against the Jets. With Cooper and Crabtree on the outside along with Cook providing a playmaking threat over the middle at tight end, it makes it tough for opposing defenses to slow the Raiders. Lynch brings a physical, punishing style to the run game that the team lacked in the Latavius Murray era, while Richard has the explosiveness to be a solid change of pace back. Washington is banged up and dealing with several injuries. The Redskins pounded the ball against the Rams’ formidable front four: can they have that same sort of success against an aggressive Oakland front seven?

The over is 5-1 in the Raiders last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points,  7-2 in their last 9 games in September, 19-6-1 in their last 26 games following a straight up win and 36-13-2 in their last 51 games following a ATS win. Washington has seen the over go 5-1 in their last 6 games in September, 4-1 in their last five games in week 3, 4-1 in their last five against teams with a winning record and 20-7 in their last 27 overall. Look for another high scoring affair here as the teams combine to push over the total.

Over 54

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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