Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#473 Baltimore Ravens vs.
#474 Detroit Lions
Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 1:00pm EDT
Ford Field, Detroit
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Baltimore Ravens will head on the road to Ford Field on Sunday afternoon for a Week 3 matchup against the Detroit Lions.

Like every other team in the AFC North, the Ravens enter with a 1-1 overall record through two games. Meanwhile, the Lions are one of six winless teams remaining in the NFL. Detroit dropped its season-opener against San Francisco despite a valiant comeback effort before coming up short against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers last week.

Can the Lions notch their first win under new head coach Dan Campbell at home against the Raves on Sunday?

Line Movements & Weather

The Ravens have stayed true at -7.5 all week, despite bringing in 61% of the bets. It looks as if the sharps are on the side of the Lions.

The OU line has gone from 48.5 up to 50.5 at most places, which is consistent with the fact that the Over has snatched up 65% of the bets this week.

Gametime Weather: Domed Stadium

Baltimore Makes A Statement

Baltimore earned a statement 36-35 comeback win at home against the AFC-favorite Kansas City Chiefs last week behind a gutsy performance from quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson rebounded from an early pick-six to finish with 239 passing yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions on the day. He also led the team in rushing with 107 yards and two scores on the ground, both coming in the fourth quarter.

Jackson missed Thursday’s practice with a non-COVID-19 related illness but is expected to play in Sunday’s game in Detroit. The Ravens quarterback admitted that he was a little sore following last week’s “pretty cool” front-flip touchdown. Through two games, the 24-year-old signal-caller has thrown for as many touchdowns as interceptions (two) but he is coming off of his first 100-yard rushing game of the season. He has passed for 474 yards and rushed for 193 yards so far this year.

On defense, the Ravens come in allowing 34 points and 361 yards of total offense per game, including a whopping 389 passing yards per contest. However, they will be missing several key starters on the defensive line due to COVID-19 protocols including OLB Justin Houston.

Injury Report

Out - OT Ronnie Stanley, DE Derek Wolfe, DT Justin Madubuike, DT Brandon Williams, DE Justin Houston, LB Jaylon Ferguson, DB Marcus Peters, DB Chris Westry, RB Justice Hill, OG Tyre Phillips, RB J.K. Dobbins, TE Nick Boyle, and RB Gus Edwards

Questionable - LB Pernell McPhee and LB Chris Board

Collins trade coming soon, according to Dan Campbell

Detroit couldn’t keep up in a 35-17 loss versus the AFC North-rival Green Bay Packers last weekend. Jared Goff completed 26-of-36 passes for 246 yards with two touchdowns and one interception on the day. He also led the team in rushing with 46 yards on the ground, as the Lions failed to get either D’Andre Swift or Jamal Williams going in the running game. Detroit actually led 17-14 at halftime but was outscored 21-0 in the second half. Tight end TJ Hockenson caught eight balls for 66 yards and a touchdown while Quintez Cephus had four receptions for 62 yards and a touchdown in the loss.

It’s going to be hard to measure Goff’s first season in Detroit by wins and losses alone. For all intents and purposes, the former No. 1 overall pick has played better than expected in 2021. The 26-year-old quarterback has completed 68.8 percent of his passes for 584 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions.

On defense, Detroit has struggled to get stops and has allowed at least 35 points in each of its first two contests. The Lions are giving up 400.5 yards of total offense per game, including 113.5 yards per game on the ground. Detroit is exploring trade options for veteran linebacker Jamie Collins. A trade is expected to happen soon, as Campbell recently told reporters that the team “has suitors”, according to Yahoo Sports.

Injury Report

Out - DT Kevin Strong, LB Jamie Collins Sr., K Austin Seibert, WR Tyrell Williams, DB Ifeatu Melifonwu, C Evan Brown, DB Jeff Okudah, OT Taylor Decker, and LB Shaun Dion Hamilton

Questionable - WR Kalif Raymond, DE Julian Okwara, DE Romeo OkwaraDL Michael Brockers, and DE Trey Flowers

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Lions have played well at times this season but enter this game with an 0-2 record. That could change this week against a Baltimore team that is primed for a letdown spot. The Ravens gave up over 400 passing yards in their loss to the Raiders before giving up 35 points in the first three quarters against the Chiefs. Expect the Lions to move the football in this game, which should help them keep this game closer than expected on the scoreboard. Take the Lions to cover the spread at home in this matchup at Ford Field on Sunday.

Prediction: Detroit Lions +8.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

These two teams are projected for 50 points but that number might be set a little too low here. Baltimore’s defense has struggled to get stops through two games and Detroit has flashed the ability to move the ball, which bodes well for the total in this game. Meanwhile, the Lions have also struggled to stop the run, which should give the Ravens a clear path to keeping the chains moving in this game. Take this matchup to go over the projected total in Detroit on Sunday.

Prediction: Over 50
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.