The Washington Football Team collide with the Buffalo Bills in an inter-conference battle on Sunday afternoon. The Washington Football Team rebounded from a week one defeat with a thrilling win against the Giants. The Bills countered a week one loss with a dominating win in Miami. These foes last met in 2019 in a game the Bills won by a convincing 24-9 score.
Line Movements & Weather
The line has stayed at Buffalo -7 at most sportsbooks, despite the fact that the Bills have snatched up 63% of the bets. The sharps are liking Washington in this one.
The OU line has gone from 48.5 down to 45.5 with 60% of the bets coming in on the Under.
Gametime Weather: Mostly sunny with temps in the mid-60s. I will be windy with speeds in the upper teens.
Heinicke Shines, Washington Collects First Win
The Washington Football Team head on the road for the first time of the young season. They have been involved in two close battles. First, they lost a close 20-16 decision against the Chargers. They rebounded with a narrow 30-29 home win against the rival Giants last week in a tilt that had Washington tabbed as four-point favorites.
Taylor Heinicke has performed reasonably well so far. The 28-year old has connected on 73% of his pass attempts in both games for a total of 458 yards and a 3:1 TD to INT ratio. Heineke was expected to be the backup QB however the injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick has given him an opportunity.
The Football Team has a solid RB in Antonio Gibson. The 23-year old collected 90 yards in week one and has accrued a total of 159 yards. Terry McLaurin is one of the most underrated receivers in the game. The 26-year old eclipsed 1100 yards in 2020 and has continued to shine this season, accumulating 169 yards. He will likely be lined up against Tre’Davious White. The Washington offense isn’t going to dominate but cannot be taken lightly after accumulating 407 total yards last week.
The top strength of this Washington team is the defense. They were among the NFL leaders in many categories in 2020. Ron Rivera's squad has not been quite as effective this year, placing 24th against the pass and 23rd against the run. Star DE Chase Young has yet to record a sack. Washington has scored a total of 46 points in two games, ranking them 17th. They have allowed 49 points, landing them 17th overall.
Out - DT Matt Ioannidis, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, WR Curtis Samuel, DE Jalen Jelks, TE Dylan Cantrell, DB Darrick Forrest, and OG Brandon Scherff
Questionable - QB Kyle Allen
Bills Clobber Dolphins Despite Subpar Performance from Allen
The Buffalo Bills are targeting a second consecutive win. They rebounded from a disappointing week one defeat to the Steelers with a convincing 35-0 road win against the division-rival Dolphins last week to cover the 3.5 point spread. Buffalo is the favorite to win the division and needs to take care of business against teams they should beat such as the Washington Football Team.
Josh Allen has yet to find a groove through two games. The 25-year old star QB only connected on 58% of his pass attempts in week one and tallied 179 passing yards along with a poor 51.5% completion efficiency against Miami last week. Allen owns a 3:1 TD to INT ratio. It’s too early to be concerned with his play but is up against another good pass defense in this matchup.
Devin Singletary has been stellar, accumulating 154 rushing yards accompanied by a stellar average of 6.5 yards per rush in two games. The 24-year old RB has compensated for Allen’s subpar performance. Stefon Diggs was kept in check last week, bringing in 60 receiving yards. The Bills' #1 receiver has a tough challenge against Washington’s strong corners in Kendall Fuller and William Jackson III. The Bills offense went a perfect 4 for 4 in the red zone last week.
The Buffalo defense is clicking early this season. They held the Steelers to 252 total yards in the season opener and followed by limiting the Dolphins to just 216 yards. Tua Tagovailoa was injured and Miami played the second half with backup Jacoby Brissett. The Bills stand 2nd against the pass and seventh against the run. Buffalo has scored a total of 51 points in two games, ranking them 12th overall. They have conceded only 23 points, good for second in the league.
Out - WR Marquez Stevenson
The Washington Football Team are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Bills.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 September games.
The Buffalo Bills are:
- 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
The Bills answered their week one loss to the Steelers with a dominating 35-0 win against the Dolphins. Buffalo's defense has been spectacular. They limited Ben Roethlisberger to 188 passing yards in week one and conceded just 182 yards against Tagovailoa/Brissett last week. Washington QB Taylor Heinicke has been a backup QB his entire career and he is going to struggle against a pass defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL. The Bills are allowing an average of only 7.5 yards per pass completion which is the best in the NFL.
Furthermore, the Bills accumulated 35 points against a good Miami defense in a game where Allen wasn’t nearly at his best. Washington has a good defense however they have squandered an average of 281 passing yards in two games including 249 against Daniel Jones.
Full-Game Total Pick
I anticipate a defensive battle. The Bills defense should propel this total under. They have been stellar against the pass and run. Washington is a low-scoring team. They only score 16 points against the Chargers in week one and Buffalo's defense will be the best defense they have battled this season. The under is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five games as a favorite.
In addition, while the Bills will score enough to cover, the Washington defense is their top strength. Allen hasn’t quite found his game yet. He has only converted on 55% of his pass attempts in two games which is one of the lowest efficiencies in the NFL. The under is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these foes.
Full-Game Prop Bet
The under on the Washington team total is a solid prop bet. Taylor Heineke is an unproven QB and their running game hasn’t stood out either. They have only averaged 106.5 rushing yards and the Bills' rush defense has been tremendous, conceding under 80 yards in both games this season. The Football Team only scored 16 points in week one and I expect a similar result. Washington continues to play without WR Curtis Samuel which will allow the Bills' secondary to zero in on Terry McLaurin.
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I like the Bills on the first quarter line. Washington has only managed three points in the opening quarter so far this season. Defensively they have squandered an early touchdown in both games. The Bills have outscored their opponents 17-0 in the first quarter in two games.