Upcoming Free Picks

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts,
9-30-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#253 Houston
Texans 47
#254 Indianapolis
Colts 47

Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts will host the struggling Houston Texans in an AFC South clash Sunday afternoon from Lucas Oil Stadium. The Texans are coming off a 27-22 home loss to the Giants, and Colts dropped a 20-16 decision in Philadelphia last week. The Colts were able to beat the Texans in both meetings last season without Andrew Luck, winning 20-14 and 22-13.

Texans Remain Winless After Loss to Giants

The Houston Texans head into this AFC South battle desperate for a win after falling 27-22 to the Giants last week to drop to 0-3. Deshaun Watson was outstanding, notching 385 passing yards with two TD’s against one INT. The 23-year old QB has tallied over 300 passing yards in two consecutive games, and he has accumulated 871 passing yards with a 5:3 TD to INT ratio on the year. The Texans’ running game struggled last week, recording only 59 yards after two big performances to start the season. Lamar Miller leads the Texans with 176 rushing yards on an average of 4 yards per carry. DeAndre Hopkins has been an offensive bright spot early this season, notching 274 receiving yards in three games. Hopkins tallied 86 receiving yards against the Colts last season. The Texans offense actually ranks eighth in the NFL with 396.3 total yards per game, although it has not translated to big points.

The Houston defense looked quite vulnerable again last week, surrendering 379 total yards. Their rush defense has been shaky, and they conceded 114 rushing yards against the Giants. J.J Watt made three sacks against the Giants which is a welcome sight after he did not record a sack in week one and two. The Texans are currently averaging 19.7 points, ranking them 22nd overall. They are conceding an average of 24.7 points, placing them 19th in the NFL.

Colts Competitive in Loss to Eagles

The Indianapolis Colts head into their first divisional game of the season on a losing note after a hard-fought 20-16 road loss to the Eagles last week to fall to 1-2. Andrew Luck had some trouble in the rainy conditions, registering 164 passing yards on 40 pass attempts to go with one TD. The 29-year old QB is off to a mediocre start to the season, collecting 662 passing yards with a 5:3 TD to INT ratio, and his longest pass completion this season is only 29 yards. The Colts only mustered 68 rushing yards last week which included 19 yards from Jordan Wilkins. Colts #1 RB Marlon Mack has yet to play this season due to injury and he is questionable for this one. T.Y. Hilton led all Colts receivers with 50 yards last week, and the talented 28-year old WR is now up to 179 receiving yards. Hilton brought in eight grabs for 189 yards in two games against the Texans last season. The Colts offense has been stagnant for the most part this season, ranking in the bottom 10 of the NFL in several offensive categories.

The Indianapolis defense did enough to keep them in the game last week, although they squandered a total of 379 total yards. Rookie linebacker Darius Leonard picked up two sacks against the Eagles, and he leads his team with 41 tackles and three sacks on the year. The Colts are currently averaging 20 points per game, ranking them 21st in the NFL. The Colts pass defense has played reasonably well, and they are allowing an average of 21 points, pegging them 14th overall.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the Texans in this one. Houston is already in must win mode and I expect them to play with desperation in this one. The Texans were leading the NFL in rushing yards prior to week three, and their rushing offense currently ranks eighth in the NFL with 125 rushing yards per game, and the Colts just squandered 152 rushing yards against the Eagles last week. Furthermore, J.J. Watt had his best game of the season last week with three sacks, and I expect the Texans pass rush to carry that momentum into this week and make life difficult for Luck. The Colts’ offense ranks in the bottom 10 in the NFL in most categories, and I anticipate a strong performance from the Texans defense in this one.

Prediction: Houston Texans +2.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I am confident in the under in this one. The Colts are only averaging  290 total yards per game, ranking them 28th overall, and they are up against a very strong Texans defense that will be playing with some desperation this week, plus the under is 10-1 in the Colts’ last 11 gams overall.  Furthermore, while Houston is generating yards, it has not translated to points, and they are averaging just under 20 points this season. The under hit in both meetings between these two rivals last season, and the under is 9-0 in the Colts’ last nine home games against the Texans.

Prediction: Under 47.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

I am taking the under on the Colts team total. Andrew Luck has regressed in each game this season. He completed 73% of his passes in week one, followed by a 67% efficiency in week two, and last week he only converted on 62% of his passes. In addition, Luck has only completed 53.9% of his passes in his career against the Texans. The Colts also have a very weak running game, and I expect a solid defensive performance from Houston.

Prediction: Colts Team Total: Under 23.5

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am taking the Colts on the halftime line. The Texans have started out slow in the first half this season, averaging only 6.3 points, ranking them down at 28th in the NFL, while the Colts are averaging a solid 12.3 points. The Texans have been much more productive in the second half where they are averaging 13.3 points, and I expect them to have a strong second half in this one.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts PK

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am staying with the under on the halftime total. The Colts have played strong defense in the first half, holding opponents to only 7.7 points. They limited the Redskins and Colts to only a combined 13 points in the first half in their last two games. In addition, I don’t expect big points in the first half from the Colts against a solid Houston defense.

Prediction: Under 23.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am selecting the under on the Texans first quarter team total. The Texans have yet to score a touchdown in the opening quarter, and they only scored a combined six points in the first quarter through three games this season.

Prediction: Texans First Quarter Team Total: Under

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Sunday, Dec 16
NHL
#49 Edmonton -135
#50 Vancouver 6
10:05pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 17
NFL
#331 New Orleans Saints -6.5
#332 Carolina Panthers 54
8:15pm
View Pick
NBA
#529 Milwaukee Bucks
#530 Detroit Pistons
7:05pm
View Pick
#531 Phoenix Suns 218
#532 New York Knicks -2
7:35pm
View Pick
#533 Sacramento Kings 233
#534 Minnesota Timberwolves -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#535 Chicago Bulls 212.5
#536 Oklahoma City Thunder -13
8:05pm
View Pick
#537 Utah Jazz 212.5
#538 Houston Rockets -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#541 Memphis Grizzlies 209
#542 Golden State Warriors -11.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#761 Arizona State -1.5
#762 Vanderbilt 153.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#763 Davidson -2
#764 Wake Forest 146
7:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#57 Boston 6
#58 Montreal -125
7:35pm
View Pick
#59 N.Y. Islanders 6
#60 Colorado -200
9:05pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Dec 18
NCAAF
#211 Northern Illinois 44
#212 UAB -2.5
7:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#217 FIU 66.5
#218 Toledo -6.5
12:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 22
NCAAF
#221 Wake Forest 73
#222 Memphis -3
12:00pm
View Pick
#223 Houston 67.5
#224 Army -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -6.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech
#258 Cincinnati
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh
#260 Stanford
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State
#262 Oregon
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri
#264 Oklahoma State
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern
#266 Utah
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State
#268 Texas A&M
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa
#270 Mississippi St
12:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU
#274 UCF
1:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky
#272 Penn State
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington
#276 Ohio State
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas
#278 Georgia
8:45pm
View Pick