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Senators vs. Red Wings,
10/17/16 - Preview & Prediction

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Game Snapshot

#55 Ottawa
Senators
#56 Detroit
Red Wings

Monday, October 17, 2016 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Ottawa Senators

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Detroit Red Wings

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG
Ottawa Senators (2-0-0-0 SU, 0-2 PL, 2-0-0 O/U) vs. Detroit Red Wings (0-2-0-0 SU, 0-2 PL, 1-0-1 O/U)

When and Where: Monday, October 17, Joe Louis Arena, Detroit, Michigan, 7:30 pm ET

Lines: Detroit -137, Ottawa +117; Over/Under: 5.5

It’s an early season matchup between Atlantic Division rivals in the Motor City. The Ottawa Senators try for a third straight win as they face the Detroit Red Wings Monday night. Ottawa is coming off a 4-3 shootout win over Montreal Saturday night at home. Detroit fell 4-1 on the road to Florida Saturday night to remain winless. The Red Wings were 3-1-1 against the Senators last season and split the two games at Joe Louis Arena.

Ottawa Senators Seek 3-0 Start

Ottawa withstood the Auston Matthews barrage in the opener to win in overtime. The Senators managed to pick up a shootout win Saturday so both their games couldn’t be decided in regulation time. Ottawa comes into this game 5th in the league averaging four goals per game. The Senators are 16th in the league in goals against as they allow 3.5 goals a contest. Ottawa is 24th in power play success as they have yet to convert one, leaving them with the robust 0.0 percent success rate. The Senators are 11th in penalty killing as they have killed off 87.5 percent of their shorthanded situations.

The Senators outshot the Canadiens 13-6 in the opening period and took a 2-0 lead to the dressing room. Ryan Dzingel opened the scoring with his first of the year at the 6:37 mark of the period. Chris Wideman and Erik Karlsson assisted on the goal. Later in the period, Zach Smith bagged his first of the year at 15:50 to double Ottawa’s advantage. Wideman and Bobby Ryan assisted on the goal. In the second period, Ottawa had a 10-8 edge in shots but gave up the period’s only goal. The Senators held a 2-1 edge after 40 minutes. In the third period, Ottawa held an 11-8 edge in shots. Ottawa gave up a pair of goals to fall behind 3-2 before Tom Pyatt tied the game at the 17:27 mark. Dzingel and Jean-Gabriel Pageau assisted on the marker.

Despite a 4-2 edge in shots in overtime, neither team lit the lamp. Kyle Turris scored in the opening round of the shootout while Karlsson scored in the fourth round. Craig Anderson, who made 21 saves, stopped David Desharnais to pick up the win.

Detroit Red Wings Shoot for First Win

Detroit has struggled offensively so far. That’s something that the Red Wings need to adjust in order to continue their lengthy run of postseason appearances. Detroit comes in 20th in the league in scoring with 2.5 goals per game. The Red Wings are 28th in goals allowed as they’ve given up five goals a night early on. Detroit is 11th in the league with a 25 percent success rate on the power play. The Red Wings are just 25th in penalty killing as they have successfully killed off just 62.5 percent of their shorthanded situations.

There wasn’t much to cheer about for Detroit fans Saturday night against the defending Atlantic Division champion Panthers. The Red Wings were outshot 38-22 in the contest and lit the lamp just once. Detroit was outshot 16-9 in the opening period but skated off down just one goal. The Red Wings allowed the opening two goals of the game before getting on the board. Darren Helm scored his first of the year at 13:07 of the period to make it a 2-1 game. Gustav Nyquist assisted on the marker. The second period saw the Red Wings outshot 12-4. Petr Mrazek kept Detroit in the game as the teams were scoreless in the frame. In the third period, the Red Wings were outshot just 10-9 but were outscored 2-0 in the period, with the goals coming 59 seconds apart in the final three minutes. Mrazek made 34 saves but took the loss. He’s expected to be back in net here unless Jimmy Howard gets the opportunity.

Trends:

Ottawa

  • Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 overall
  • Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games
  • Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic

Detroit

  • Red Wings are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning % above .600
  • Red Wings are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic
  • Red Wings are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference

Detroit has to hope returning home can jump start their team. Allowing 10 goals in the first two games was hardly inspiring for coach Jeff Blashill. Ottawa has struggled defensively but the offense has been there for two victories. The Senators are a bit more explosive than the Red Wings at this point in time. Even playing on the road, you have to give Ottawa the edge here until Detroit proves they’re back on track.

Pick: Ottawa Senators +117

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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