Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#43 Tampa Bay Lightning 6 vs.
#44 Boston Bruins -120
Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
TD Garden, Boston
Written by Chris Kubala

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#43 Tampa Bay
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3-3
5-1
62-24
64-42
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It’s a matchup of Atlantic Division heavyweights on the ice up in Beantown. The Tampa Bay Lightning is on the road as they close out a road trip with a stop against the Boston Bruins Thursday night. Tampa Bay comes in off a 3-1 victory on the road over Montreal in their last game Tuesday night. Boston knocked off Anaheim 4-2 at home on Monday in their last contest. The Lightning won three of the four meetings between the teams last season, including a 6-3 triumph on the road in the most recent matchup on April 6, 2019.

Tampa Bay Lightning Close Out Six-Game Trip

Tampa Bay picked up a win over Montreal in their last contest to improve to 2-2-1 on their six-game road trip that comes to a close here. The Lightning looks to finish the trip on a high note to end up with a better than .500 mark on the trek. Tampa Bay is 6th in the league in scoring as they average 3.83 goals per contest. The Lightning is tied for 13th in scoring defense as they allow three goals per game this season. Tampa Bay is tied for 4th on the power play as they convert 31.3 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Lightning stands just 23rd in penalty killing as they successfully work through 73.9 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Lightning was sound in the defensive end and that, coupled with some timely offense, was enough to get them back in the win column. Tampa Bay was outshot 9-7 in the opening period but skated off tied at one thanks to a late goal. After falling behind 1-0, the Lightning tied the game on Braydon Coburn’s first of the season at 19:53 off assists from Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov. During the second period, Tampa Bay was outshot 11-9 but outscored Montreal 2-0 to take a 3-1 advantage after 40 minutes. Stamkos scored his fourth of the year, on the power play, at 1:04 off assists from Victor Hedman and Kucherov to give Tampa Bay a 2-1 lead. Fifty-seven seconds later, Tyler Johnson made it 3-1 at 2:01 off assists from Ondrej Palat and Ryan McDonagh. During the final period, the Lightning was outshot 14-6 but neither team scored, leaving the Lightning with the win. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 33 saves for Tampa Bay in the victory: the Lightning was outshot 34-22 in the contest.

Boston Bruins Seek Third Straight Win

Boston earned a second straight win as they kept the Ducks in check and rode a big night from one of their stars to a victory. The Bruins entered Wednesday second in the Atlantic Division, one point behind Buffalo. Boston is 21st in goals for as they average 2.67 goals per game this season. The Bruins are tied for first in the league by allowing 1.67 goals per contest on the year. Boston is tied for 4th in power play percentage as they convert 31.3 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Bruins are tied for 11th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 83.3 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Bruins were efficient at keeping Anaheim’s scoring chances in check, riding strong goaltending, sound defense and a good showing from their top line to two points Monday. Boston owned an 11-8 edge in shots in the opening period of play and skated off with a 1-0 advantage. David Pastrnak opened the scoring with his third of the year, on the power play, at 4:18 of the stanza. Patrice Bergeron and Torey Krug drew the helpers on the goal. The second period saw the Bruins outshot 16-6 but both teams scored once, leaving the Bruins with a one-goal advantage after 40 minutes. Pastrnak gave Boston a 2-0 lead with his second of the game and fourth of the year at 11:38 off an assist from Brad Marchand. Anaheim halved the deficit later in the period. During the final period, the Bruins were outshot 8-6 but outscored the Ducks 2-1 to lock down the win. Pastrnak completed the hat trick and scored his fifth of the year at 2:20, unassisted, to restore Boston’s two-goal lead. Later in the period, the Bruins extended the lead to 4-1 when Pastrnak scored his fourth of the night and sixth of the year at 4:34, with Marchand and Krug drawing the assists. Anaheim scored late to make it a two-goal game but Jaroslav Halak slammed the door shut to give Boston the win: he made 30 saves as the Bruins were outshot 32-23 in the game.

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This one is going to be a real heavyweight clash between the teams that finished first and second in the Atlantic Division last year. Tampa Bay has a ton of offensive weaponry to work with while Boston has been one of the league’s stingiest teams defensively this season. The Bruins are expected to go back to Rask in this contest as they’ve alternated goaltenders so far this season. The Lightning closes out their six-game road trip here and they are motivated to earn the win here to finish the trip with a .500 mark. Look for Tampa Bay, led by their offensive depth, to do just enough to earn the win over a gritty Boston team.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning -110

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We know that Tampa Bay is capable of putting up some big numbers offensively this season. The Lightning has an abundance of offensive talent in Stamkos, Kucherov, Brayden Point and company that can light the lamp in a flurry like we saw against Montreal. You can keep Tampa Bay in check for long stretches and have them blow up for multiple goals in a short span. Boston has been extremely stingy defensively and has a pair of top-notch goaltenders in Halak and Tuukka Rask. The Bruins got a solid offensive night from their top line in the win over Anaheim: can they find another winning combination against the Lightning?

The over is 6-0 in the Lightning's last 6 games following a win, 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Given the way the last two meetings last season went over the number and the fact that both teams can light the lamp with some relative success, this one goes over the total.

Prediction: Over 6.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.