Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#501 Dallas Stars vs.
#502 Ottawa Senators
Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 5:00pm EDT
Canadian Tire Cenre, Ontario
Written by Chris King

A pair of teams logging the second game of a back-to-back situation take the ice in the province of Ontario. The Dallas Stars are on the road as they travel to face the Ottawa Senators in interconference action Sunday afternoon. Dallas was in action on the road against Boston Saturday night. The Stars won their season-opening contest, 3-2, in overtime on the road over the Rangers Thursday night. Ottawa closed a home-and-home series with Toronto on the road Saturday night. The Senators hung on for a 3-2 victory over the Maple Leafs at home Thursday night in their season opener. In the series between the teams, Ottawa has won seven of the last 10 meetings, including a 4-3 overtime victory at home in the most recent meeting on February 16, 2020.

Dallas Stars Continue Season-Opening Road Trip

Dallas played the second game of their season-opening road swing in Boston Saturday night so they’ll play the second game of a back-to-back set here. The Stars will close out this road swing with a contest Tuesday against the Penguins in the Steel City, which will cap their four games in six days stretch to open the year, all on the road. Dallas is looking forward to getting to return home as they play their first home game of the season Friday against the Kings. The Stars haven’t had a ton of success against Ottawa in recent seasons but hope that they can reverse that trend in this contest. Perhaps their win over the Rangers will help motivate them.

In their season opener on Thursday night, Dallas let a lead slip away but managed to prevail in overtime to ruin the coaching debut of Gerard Gallant for the Rangers. The Stars held an 8-4 edge in shots on goal in the opening period and took a 1-0 lead to the dressing room after 20 minutes of play. Jacob Peterson opened the scoring with his first of the season, unassisted, at the 19:25 mark of the period. In the second period, Dallas was outshot by an 18-8 margin and outscored 2-1 to wind up even after two periods of action. Radek Faksa gave the Stars a 2-0 lead with his first of the year, on the power play, at 6:11 off assists from Ryan Suter and Miro Heiskanen. They gave up a pair of goals later in the period to even the score. In the third period, the Stars were outshot 11-8 with neither side denting the twine, sending the contest to overtime. During the extra session, Dallas held a 2-0 shot advantage and scored the winning goal to get the two points. Heiskanen scored his first of the year at 1:38 of the extra session off an assist from Jamie Benn. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 27 shots before leaving the game in the third period after being hit with a high stick. Anton Khudobin earned the win in relief by stopping all six shots he faced as the Stars were outshot 33-26 in the game. Khudobin is slated to get the start in goal for this contest as well with Holtby going in Boston.

Ottawa Senators Look to Prevail at Home

Ottawa was on the road for the back half of their home-and-home set with Toronto Saturday night so they’ll be battling the fatigue factor as well here. The Senators play for the second consecutive night and for the third time in four nights here though at least they’ll have home-ice advantage. Ottawa was fortunate in their opener to get a Toronto team that had played the night before and jumped on them early before having to hold on for dear life down the stretch. The Senators can ill afford to give up the volume of opportunities that they surrendered against Toronto Thursday night on a regular basis if they hope to have any success this season.

On Thursday night, Ottawa’s first-period success set the tone for the game and delivered them a victory in front of their home crowd. The Senators were outshot by a 17-12 margin in the opening period but skated off with a 3-0 advantage on the scoreboard. Chris Tierney opened the scoring with his first of the year at 8:31 off assists from Nick Holden and Tyler Ennis. Late in the stanza, Ennis scored his first of the year at 18:58 on the power play off assists from Thomas Chabot and Tim Stutzle to make it a 2-0 game. Alex Formenton made it a 3-0 game with his first of the year at 19:59 off an assist from Victor Mete. The second period saw Ottawa with a 14-6 edge in shots on goal with neither side lighting the lamp, leaving the game 3-0 after 40 minutes. In the final period, the Senators were outshot 25-10 and outscored 2-0 though that left them ahead at the final horn. Anton Forsberg made 46 saves, a career-high, for Ottawa, who was outshot 48-36 in the contest. With Forsberg expected to start again between the pipes Saturday, Filip Gustavsson is slated to take the net in this contest.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams are going to be a bit fatigued with playing their third game in four nights and their second game of a back-to-back situation here. Ottawa at least traveled within the same province as they were at home Thursday and in Toronto Saturday before returning home here. Dallas has gone from New York to Boston to Ottawa for this contest. There’s less than a 24-hour turnaround for both teams in this one with a 7 pm puck drop for each squad Saturday night and a 5 pm drop for this contest. With that said, Dallas is a very good team in their own end and you can’t expect the Senators to come up with that kind of goaltending that we saw Thursday night. Look for the Stars to earn the win here.

Prediction: Dallas Stars -135

Full-Game Total Pick

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In the opener for each team, we saw them prevail by identical 3-2 margins with the Stars needing overtime to get their victory. The bottom line is that each team saw a total of five goals on the board in their respective openers, falling short of the total in each contest. With both teams playing their second game in less than 24 hours, their third game in four nights and having to travel to Ottawa after playing Saturday night, you know that fatigue will take its toll in this one. Neither team is considered an offensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination. As a result, you have to lean toward this one staying under the total when all is said and done.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.