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Detroit vs. Florida,
10-20-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#9 Detroit
Red Wings 6.5
#10 Florida
Panthers -205

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Red Wings

0 - 7

30-52
ATS
36-44
O/U
2
PPG
3
OPPG

Florida Panthers

1 - 4

44-38
ATS
39-40
O/U
3
PPG
2
OPPG

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A pair of Atlantic Division teams take the ice down in the Sunshine State looking to put one in the win column. The Detroit Red Wings are on the road as they make the trip down to face the Florida Panthers Saturday night. Detroit is coming off a 3-1 loss on the road against Tampa Bay Thursday night in their last game. Florida was in action on Friday night on the road to face the Capitals: they were beaten 6-5 in a shootout by Philadelphia on the road Tuesday night. Florida took the season series 2-1-1 last year, including a 3-2 win at home on February 3 in the last meeting between the squads.

Detroit Red Wings Trying to Log First Win of 2018-19 Season

Detroit has had an awful start to the season as Jeff Blashill’s team is one of the only two teams in the league without a victory entering Friday. The Red Wings dropped to 0-5-2 with the loss to Tampa Bay Thursday and rumblings are starting that Blashill’s job security is tenuous at this point with the team struggling. Detroit are 27th in the league in scoring as they average 2.1 goals per game so far this season. The Red Wings are dead last in the league as they allow 4.6 goals per contest. Detroit is 15th in the league on the power play by converting 22.7 percent of their chances with the man advantage while they rank 7th in penalty killing by successfully killing off 82.1 percent of their shorthanded situations. The Red Wings are 2-5 against the puck line this season while the over has gone 4-3 in their contests.

The Red Wings couldn’t get their offense going on a rare night when they kept a ton of pucks from going in their own net. As such, it led to a seventh straight loss to start the year for Detroit. In the first period, the Red Wings were outshot 13-8 and trailed 1-0 after the stanza. Detroit played a solid period in the second period, outshooting Tampa Bay 16-6 but both teams lit the lamp, leaving the Red Wings still down a goal after 40 minutes. Luke Glendening tallied his first of the year for Detroit at the 6:20 mark of the period to tie the game at one. Justin Abdelkader and Trevor Daley drew the assists on the goal. That was the high point of the night for Detroit as Tampa Bay regained the lead nine minutes later. In the third period, the Red Wings were outshot 12-6 and gave up the lone goal into an empty net with just over a minute to play. Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 30 shots for the Red Wings, who were outshot 31-30 in the game. He’s expected to start in net in this contest.

Florida Panthers Look to Win Second Half of Back to Back

Florida was the only other team in the league with no wins entering Friday night, though they had played just four games to Detroit’s seven. The Panthers were on the road as they faced the defending Stanley Cup champions in the Capitals Friday night. Florida entered Friday 19th in the league with three goals per game. The Panthers are 24th in goals against as they allow 3.5 goals per contest in the early going. Florida is second worst in the league on the power play as they convert only 6.7 percent of their chances with the man advantage while they stand 19th on the penalty kill by successfully dealing with 75 percent of their shorthanded situations. The Panthers are 2-2 against the puck line this season while the over is 2-2 in their contests.

The Panthers had a good offensive showing against the Flyers but their goaltending failed to show up, leading to a loss. Florida outshot Philadelphia 12-5 in the opening period and took a 1-0 lead to the dressing room after 20 minutes. Frank Vatrano scored his first goal of the year at 17:58 to give the Panthers the advantage. Denis Malgin and Jared McCann assisted on the goal. The second period was a disaster for Florida: they were outshot only 11-8 but gave up five goals on those 11 shots. Florida scored twice but trailed 5-3 after 40 minutes. The Flyers got the first three goals of the period to go up 3-1 before Vatrano scored his second of the game and the season at 12:31 of the period. McCann and Mark Pysyk drew the assists. After the Flyers tallied twice more to take a 5-2 lead, Mike Hoffman got his first of the year with a power play marker at 17:31 to make it a two goal game. Keith Yandle and Vincent Trocheck assisted on that tally. The third period saw the Panthers outshot 7-6 but Florida tallied the only two goals to tie the game and force overtime. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second of the year at 5:06 to make it a 5-4 game with Bogden Kiselevich and Troy Brouwer assisting on the marker. Aleksander Barkov knotted the score with his second of the year at 8:07 off an assist from Yandle. In overtime, Florida was outshot 3-0 and neither team lit the lamp. In the shootout, Barkov scored for the Panthers but Michael Hutchinson was beaten twice to end up with the loss. Hutchinson made 21 saves for Florida in a game where both teams had 26 shots on goal.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

This one is going to be one of those games where someone has to skate off with the victory. Detroit has been awful this season and we’ve seen them get torched for eight goals by Boston and seven by Montreal this season. Florida is at home and is looking to build momentum after their solid offensive showing against the Flyers. The Panthers have been the better team in the early going and you simply can’t trust the Red Wings at this point. Florida, even playing their second game in as many nights, comes up with the win as Detroit implodes again.

Prediction: Florida Panthers

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Detroit has been putting up some good offensive numbers this season but the problem has been their shaky defense and poor goaltending. When you’re dead last in the league in goals against, that’s a problem. The Red Wings have allowed at least five goals in three different games already this season. Detroit hasn’t given up fewer than three goals in a game yet this season. Florida’s offense has shown signs of life in the last couple games and that could really test the Detroit defense and goaltending situation. Can the Red Wings put together back to back solid defensive showings in this one?

The over is 4-0 in the Red Wings’ last 4 games playing on 1 day of rest, 8-2 in their last 10 against Atlantic Division opponents and 8-2-1 in their last 11 on the road. Florida has seen the over go 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 3-1-1 in their last five against Eastern Conference opponents. Given Florida’s offensive resurgence and Detroit’s shaky defense, this one ends up over the total with another red light bonanza.

Prediction: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

Florida picked up their first win of the season as they upended Washington 6-5 in a shootout on the road Friday night. The Panthers bolted to a 4-1 lead after 20 minutes before letting the defending champs back in the game. If Florida can put up four goals in 20 minutes against Braden Holtby, you know that they can light up Howard and the Red Wings. Detroit has sputtered all season long as they continue to give up goals by the truckload and struggle to put the puck in the net on their own. The Panthers, behind Barkov, Ekblad and company, have the lead after 20 minutes as Detroit gives up too many prime scoring opportunities.

Prediction: Florida Panthers

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

Florida piled up four goals in the opening period Friday night and they are now averaging 3.6 goals per game in the early going. Of course, the Panthers have given up 4.2 goals per game, which is concerning for a team that missed the postseason by a point last year. Detroit is leaky as they have allowed 4.71 goals per game so far this year. The Red Wings aren’t scoring much as they put up only 2.14 goals per contest on the year. This one ends up over the number as both teams light the lamp in the opening period of the contest.

Prediction: 1st Period: Over 1.5 (-110)

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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