Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#35 Columbus Blue Jackets 6 vs.
#36 Toronto Maple Leafs -200
Monday, October 21, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Written by Chris Kubala



#35 Columbus
#36 Toronto


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A pair of teams from the Eastern Conference take the ice north of the border in the 6ix. The Columbus Blue Jackets are on the road as they make the trip to face the Toronto Maple Leafs Monday night. Columbus fell 3-2 in overtime at home to the Islanders Saturday night in their most recent contest. Toronto earned a 4-3 overtime win at home over Boston in a battle of Atlantic Division squads Saturday night. The Maple Leafs won the first meeting between the teams this season, taking a 4-1 triumph on the road back on October 4.

Columbus Blue Jackets Try to Shrug Off OT Losses

Columbus dropped their second straight game, both by 3-2 counts in overtime, as they were dumped by the Islanders Saturday night. The Blue Jackets try to shake off those two defeats and earn a road win over a team that dropped them by three goals in their first meeting this season. Columbus is 29th in scoring as they average 2.25 goals per game this season. The Blue Jackets are 18th in goals against as they allow 3.25 goals per contest this year. Columbus is 24th on the power play as they convert 13 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Blue Jackets have struggled in shorthanded situations as they are 21st in penalty killing by getting through 73.9 percent of those situations this year.

The Blue Jackets had their chances but couldn’t close things out as they were upended in overtime. Columbus was outshot 12-6 in the opening period of the contest and trailed 2-1 after 20 minutes of play. The Blue Jackets gave up the opening goal of the game before Seth Jones tied the score with his first of the year at 12:07 of the stanza: Sonny Milano and Jakob Lilja assisted on the marker. Columbus gave up the go-ahead goal later in the period. In the second period, the Blue Jackets owned a 14-8 edge in shots and scored the lone goal of the period to tie the game. Boone Jenner scored his first of the year at the 17:46 mark of the period, unassisted, to make it 2-2. The third period saw Columbus with a 16-12 advantage in shots but neither team lit the lamp to force overtime. In the extra session, the Blue Jackets were outshot 2-0 and gave up the winning goal 33 seconds in to take the loss. Joonas Korpisalo made 31 saves in the game for Columbus, who owned a 36-34 edge in shots on goal in the contest.

Toronto Maple Leafs Look to Start Back to Back With Victory

Toronto battled right down to the wire against the Bruins in a game that needed overtime. That was fitting, seeing how the last two playoff series between the teams went to seven games. Toronto is third in scoring as they average 3.89 goals per game on the season. The Maple Leafs are 19th in goals against as they allow 3.33 goals per contest. Toronto is 7th in the league on the power play as they convert 26.9 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Maple Leafs are 16th in penalty killing as they successfully shut down 79.3 percent of their shorthanded situations on the year.

The Maple Leafs started strong, had some struggles in the middle and earned the win in overtime. Toronto was outshot 18-15 in the opening period but took a 2-1 lead to the dressing room after 20 minutes of play. The Maple Leafs opened the scoring on Morgan Rielly’s first of the year at 5:55 of the period off assists from Mitch Marner and Andreas Johnsson. Later in the period, Toronto extended to a 2-0 advantage on Dmytro Timashov’s first of the year at 15:44 off an assist from Frederik Gauthier. The Maple Leafs gave up a goal in the final seconds of the first period to halve their lead. In the second period, Toronto was outshot 15-3 but there was no scoring, leaving the game 2-1 after 40 minutes. The third period saw the Maple Leafs outshot 12-9 and outscored 2-1 to send the game to overtime. After Boston tied the game at two, Alexander Kerfoot gave Toronto a 3-2 lead with his third of the year at 2:37 off assists from Jake Muzzin and Ilya Mikheyev. Boston tied the game with under five minutes to play to force overtime. In the extra session, the Maple Leafs owned a 2-1 edge in shots on goal and, more importantly, tallied the winner. Rielly’s second of the game and the year, at 3:54 off assists from Marner and Auston Matthews, gave Toronto the victory. Frederik Andersen stopped 43 shots for the Maple Leafs, who were outshot 46-29 in the game.

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Columbus is going to be a bit worn down here as they log their third game in four nights. Throw in that the Blue Jackets played extra hockey in both of those games as they fell in overtime both nights and there’s going to be a little bit of extra pressure on Columbus here. Toronto showed a lot of grit by surviving a barrage of shots on net by Boston Saturday night yet still came up with the victory. The Blue Jackets are struggling to put the puck in the net and that’s tough against a Maple Leafs team that is third in the league in scoring. Give Toronto the advantage, especially playing at home, against a team they already beat this season.

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs -195

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This one is a matchup of two distinctly different teams coming into this contest. Even with John Tavares currently out with a broken finger, the Maple Leafs are an offensive juggernaut capable of putting the puck in the net with regularity. On the other hand, Columbus is near the bottom of the league when it comes to lighting the lamp and that's a big part of their struggles. The Blue Jackets gave up two goals in each of their last two games only to lose them both in overtime. Columbus tallied only once in the first meeting between the teams this season: can they find a way to put more pucks in the net here?

The under is 6-0 in the Blue Jackets' last six games as an underdog, 13-3 in their last 16 in the fourth game of a four games in six days situation and 16-5 in their last 21 games on the road. Toronto has seen the under go 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400 on the season. Look for this one to end up falling short of the total as the fatigued Blue Jackets struggle to get the puck in the net. Toronto gets a few to take control and then conserves energy as they have a game in Boston Tuesday night.

Prediction: Under 6.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.