Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#39 Ottawa Senators 6 vs.
#40 Dallas Stars -215
Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:35pm EDT
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#39 Ottawa
#40 Dallas
1-6
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29-53
50-45
44-33-5
29-53-13
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The struggling Ottawa Senators will head on the road to American Airlines Arena on Monday night for a Western Conference battle versus the Dallas Stars.

Ottawa remains at the bottom of the Atlantic Division standings after losing each of their last three games. The Senators enter with a 1-5-1 record and an NHL-low three points through seven games. Meanwhile, the Stars haven’t been much better, but they are trying to build some momentum after snapping a five-game slide of their own. The Stars will take the ice on Monday in search of their first home victory of the season. Can Dallas come out on top versus Ottawa at home in a battle between two teams that are off to a slow start?

White, Tkachuk split up after slow start

Ottawa was unable to break out of its recent slump, dropping its third consecutive contest versus the Arizona Coyotes on Saturday. Veteran Craig Anderson surrendered four goals on 26 shots, but it wasn’t enough in the 5-2 loss. The Senators were down 4-0 before Vladislav Namestnikov and Chris Tourney scored in the third period to help Ottawa avoid a shutout.

After back-to-back road losses, the Senators know they have to close out their road trip with a victory. Defenseman Dylan DeMelo told reporters that he would be “very disappointed” if the Senators don’t come out and play desperate as a team. Head coach D.J. Smith also elected to shake up his top line, splitting up 22-year-old center Colin White and 20-year-old winger Brady Tkachuk. Ottawa is also awaiting the return of Artem Anisimov, who has been out with a lower-body injury.

Anderson will protect the twine in Monday’s matchup against the Stars. The 38-year-old may not be racking up victories, but he’s posted respectable numbers between the pipes, going 1-4-0 with a 3.26 GAA and .895 save percentage in five starts. He faced the Stars twice last season, going 1-1-0 with a 3.05 GAA and .934 save percentage.

Stars snap five-game losing streak

Dallas had high hopes entering the season, but they’ve stumbled out of the gates with a 2-7-1 record through their first 10 contests. The Stars managed to get back on the winning track last time out, s five-game losing streak with a 4-1 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers. Roope Hintz, Esa Lindell, and Corey Perry all scored for the Stars, while Ben Bishop made 38 saves to help Dallas earn their second victory of the season. Dallas was outshot 39 to 16 on the night, but it didn’t matter, as they scored four unanswered goals to escape with the win.

The Stars are still looking for answers with the man advantage after converting just 7.4 percent of their power play opportunities through the first 10 games. Lindell got on them on the board with a power play goal in their last game against the Flyers, but the tally marked just their second goal in 27 opportunities with the man advantage. Dallas is scoring only 2.10 goals per game, while allowing 3.00 goals per contest, but they’ve excelled in shorthanded situations, killing off 83.8 percent of their penalties.

Bishop is scheduled to be back between the pipes for his eighth start of the season on Monday. He comes in with a 2-4-1 overall record to go along with a 2.57 GAA and .913 save percentage. Bishop has posted a solid 1.94 GAA at home this year, but he’s yet to win a home start. The 32-year-old made one start versus Ottawa in 2018-19, finishing 0-1-0 with a 3.25 GAA and .870 save percentage.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both of these teams have struggled to open the year, going a combined 3-12-2 so far this season. The Stars just snapped a five-game slide, but they’ve yet to win at home and this looks like a good spot for that to happen. While the Stars have been awful on the power play (7.4 percent), the Senators have actually been worse, converting on only 4.3 percent of their opportunities with the man advantage. Ottawa has just four combined goals over their last three games and Bishop has been solid between the pipes in two home starts. Take Dallas to cover the puck line at home in this matchup on Monday night. 

 

 

Prediction: Dallas Stars

Full-Game Total Pick

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It’s hard to envision this becoming a high-scoring affair. These teams rank No. 28 and No. 31, respectively, on the power play coming into this game. Anderson performed well versus the Stars in 2018-19 (.934 save percentage), while Bishop owns a 1.94 GAA in two home starts this year. Take this game to stay under the projected total on Monday evening.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.