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Colorado Avalanche vs. Boston Bruins,
10-9-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#51 Colorado
Avalanche
#52 Boston
Bruins

Monday, October 9, 2017 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Avalanche

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Boston Bruins

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NHL

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Colorado Avalanche (1-1-0-0 SU, 1-1 PL, 1-0-1 O/U) vs. Boston Bruins (1-0-0-0 SU, 0-1 PL, 1-0 O/U)

NHL: Monday, October 9, 2017, TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts, 1 pm ET

Lines: Boston -210, Colorado +190; Over/Under: 5.5

It’s an inter-conference tilt on the ice in Beantown on Columbus Day. The Colorado Avalanche are on the road as they take on the Boston Bruins Monday afternoon. Colorado was knocked off 4-1 on the road by New Jersey Saturday. Boston has been off since winning their season opener 4-3 at home over Nashville back on Thursday night. The teams split two meetings last season with each winning on the road. The Avalanche took a 4-2 win in the last matchup here on December 8, 2016.

Colorado Avalanche Hoping to Put Dismal 2016-17 Behind Them

Colorado won their season opener but ended up falling flat in their second road game to start the year as they were trounced by New Jersey. The Avalanche will look to put together a better performance in this contest. Colorado enters the game 20th in the league with 2.5 goals per game and 12th by allowing three goals per contest early on this season. The Avalanche stands just 24th in power play percentage as they convert 9.1 percent of their chances with the man advantage and are dead last in the league in penalty killing with a 50 percent success rate.

There wasn’t much to write home about in a positive way for the Avalanche in Saturday’s loss. Colorado was outshot 17-10 in the opening period and trailed 1-0 after 20 minutes. In the second period, the Avalanche held a 15-8 edge in shots but found themselves outscored 2-1 to trail 3-1 after 40 minutes of action. After trailing 2-0 early in the second period, Carl Soderberg halved the deficit for Colorado with his first of the season at 12:04 of the stanza. Tyson Jost and J.T. Compher drew the assists on the marker. The Avalanche couldn’t build on the momentum as they gave up a power play goal in the final minute of the period. In the third period, Colorado outshot the Devils 16-14 but gave up the lone goal, a shorthanded tally. The Avalanche held a 41-39 advantage in shots but couldn’t dent the twine enough to get the win. Jonathan Bernier made 35 saves in the loss while special teams were a major factor: the Avalanche was 0 for 6 on the power play while New Jersey was 3 for 4 plus a shorthanded goal.

Boston Bruins Well Rested For This Contest

Boston has been off since Thursday, giving them three days of rest in between games. The Bruins will look to take advantage of being rested and playing at home in this contest. Boston hopes to contend in the ultra-competitive Atlantic Division but they’ll need to come up with some quality play on the blue line. The Bruins held a big lead in the closing three minutes before getting beaten for a pair of power play goals in the final 1:48 to make it a lot closer game than it likely should have been.

The Bruins played solid hockey for 57 minutes, which helped them come up with two points at the end of the night. Boston outshot Nashville 12-8 in the opening period but skated off the ice with a 1-1 tie after 20 minutes. David Pastrnak opened the scoring with his first of the year for the Bruins on the power play at 8:37 off assists from Charlie McAvoy and David Krejci. The Bruins held a 12-8 edge in shots in the second period as well, scoring twice to take a 3-1 lead after 40 minutes. Jake DeBrusk gave Boston a 2-1 lead with his first of the year at 5:48 off assists from Krejci and Andreas Bjork. Later in the period, McAvoy bagged his first of the year at 15:43 to make it a 3-1 Boston lead. Krejci and DeBrusk assisted on that marker. In the third period, the Bruins were outshot 13-8 and outscored 2-1 but hung on for the win. With Kevan Miller off for a delay of game penalty, Brad Marchand scored his first of the year, shorthanded, at 17:07 to make it a 4-1 game off an assist from Brandon Carlo. The Bruins gave up two power play goals but hung on for the win behind 26 saves from Tuukka Rask.

Trends:

Colorado

  • Avalanche are 5-23 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Avalanche are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Avalanche are 0-4 in their last 4 Monday games

Boston

  • Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Central
  • Bruins are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. Western Conference
  • Bruins are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest

Colorado was abysmal last season, finishing as the worst team in the league by 21 points. The Avalanche did win their opener but despite throwing a ton of pucks at the net against the Devils, scored only one goal. Boston managed to win their opener but they have to be better on their penalty killing after giving up back to back goals in the final two minutes. Rask was sharp before that and should be good here. Look for the Bruins to go 2-0 on the year as they pick up the victory.

Pick: Boston Bruins -210

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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