Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#37 Ottawa Senators 6.5 vs.
#38 New Jersey Devils -180
Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Prudential Center, Newark
Written by Chris Kubala

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#37 Ottawa
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A pair of struggling teams take the ice in an Eastern Conference matchup out in the Garden State. The Ottawa Senators are on the road as they make the trip to face the New Jersey Devils Wednesday night. Ottawa was hammered 8-2 on the road by Carolina in their last contest Monday night. New Jersey earned a 2-1 win over Vancouver on the road in their last game Sunday. The teams have split the last 10 meetings with the Devils claiming the last two. That includes a 4-0 home victory in the most recent matchup on February 21, 2019.

Ottawa Senators Hope to Bounce Back After Blowout Loss

Ottawa was pasted in their last contest by Carolina and saw their two-game win streak end with a thud. The Senators entered Tuesday tied for the basement in the Atlantic Division, 12 points behind Boston for the top spot. Ottawa is 21st in the league in goals for as they average 2.76 goals per contest this season. The Senators are tied for 23rd in the league as they allow 3.41 goals per game on the year. Ottawa is last in the league with the man advantage as they have converted 6.6 percent (four for 61) of their chances on the power play this season. The Senators are 20th in penalty killing as they have successfully killed off 79.4 percent of their shorthanded situations this year.

The Senators struggled defensively and ended up being blown out on the road by Carolina. Ottawa was outshot 12-7 in the opening period and trailed 2-0 after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, the Senators were outshot 12-8 and outscored 3-1 to trail 5-1 after two periods of play. Ottawa was in a 5-0 hole before Colin White lit the lamp for his second of the year at 18:25 off assists from Tyler Ennis and Mark Borowiecki to get the team on the board. The final period saw the Senators outshot 19-14 and outscored 3-1 to turn the game into a rout. After going down 6-1, Brady Tkachuk scored his fifth of the year at 9:54 off assists from Thomas Chabot and Chris Tierney to cut the deficit to four goals. The Senators gave up two more to complete the rout. Anders Nilsson stopped 15 of 19 shots before getting the hook in the second period. Craig Anderson stopped 20 of 24 shots in relief: he is expected to get the call in net here.

New Jersey Devils Return Home After Road Trip

New Jersey finished their five-game road trip 3-2-0 after picking up the win over Vancouver in their previous contest. The Devils now hope they can carry over their road success with them back home in this one. New Jersey is 27th in the league in lighting the lamp as they average 2.56 goals per contest. The Devils are a dismal 29th in the league in goals-against as they surrender 3.63 goals per game. New Jersey is 26th in the league in power play success as they have converted only 13.6 percent of their chances with the man advantage: they are eight of 59 thus far. The Devils are 27th in the league in penalty killing as they have been successful in 73.7 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Devils had a defensive struggle with Vancouver but a quick-strike offense gave them enough offense to get the victory. New Jersey held an 11-8 edge in shots on goal in the first period and skated off with a 2-0 lead on the scoreboard. Wayne Simmonds scored his second of the year at 11:48 off assists from Kyle Palmieri and Taylor Hall. Just 22 seconds later, Jesper Bratt scored his fourth of the year at 12:10 off assists from Damon Severson and Pavel Zacha to make it a 2-0 game. In the second period, the Devils were outshot 14-11 and outscored 1-0 to halve their lead after 40 minutes. The final stanza saw New Jersey outshot 9-5 but neither team lit the lamp, giving the Devils the victory. Mackenzie Blackwood made 30 saves in the victory for the Devils, who were outshot 31-27 in the game. Cory Schneider is expected to get the start in net here.

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New Jersey had a winning road trip, which is why it is surprising that the team would even consider turning to Schneider in net in this contest. After all, he is 0-4-1 with a 4.59 GAA and an .852 save percentage on the year. Blackwood hasn’t set the world on fire but he’s been miles better than Schneider. New Jersey has momentum playing at home here after their successful trip. Ottawa was pounded in their last game and that is going to have an impact on the Senators here. Look for the Devils to prevail in this contest.

 

 

Prediction: New Jersey Devils -170

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We have a couple of teams that are awful in their own end of the ice this season in this contest. To make things worse, both teams are abysmal with the man advantage, taking away something that normally points an advantage one way or the other. Ottawa has averaged only 2.38 goals per game on the road this season while allowing 4.13 per contest, which is a major reason the team is 1-6-1 as the visitors. New Jersey has been much better at home, scoring 3.63 goals per game, compared to their 1.50 goal mark this season on the road. Will the Devils continue their home success at lighting the lamp here?

The over is 5-1 in the Senators' last six games on Wednesday. New Jersey has seen the over go 8-1 in their last nine at home and in each of their last five against Eastern Conference teams. The over has hit in five of the last six meetings between the teams. With the Devils scoring at home and Ottawa getting lit up as the visitors, this one ends up over the number.

Prediction: Over 6
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.