Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#39 Toronto Maple Leafs 6 vs.
#40 N.Y. Islanders Islanders -110
Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Barclays Center , Brooklyn
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of Eastern Conference teams take the ice in the shadow of the Big Apple. The Toronto Maple Leafs are on the road as they travel to face the New York Islanders Wednesday night. Toronto comes in off a 5-4 defeat on the road to Chicago Sunday night in the second game of a back to back. New York knocked off Florida 2-1 at home Saturday afternoon in their previous contest. The Maple Leafs have won five of the previous seven meetings, including a 2-1 road triumph in the most recent matchup on April 1, 2019.

Toronto Maple Leafs Looking to Bounce Back

Toronto suffered back to back losses over the weekend, falling in a shootout at home against Philadelphia before losing on the road to Chicago. The Maple Leafs entered Tuesday second in the Atlantic Division, three points behind the Bruins in the division. Toronto is 11th in the league in scoring as they average 3.35 goals per game on the season. The Maple Leafs are 21st in goals against as they allow 3.16 goals per contest. Toronto is tied for 18th in the league on the power play as they convert 18.2 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Maple Leafs are tied for 23rd in penalty killing as they successfully shut down 77.1 percent of their shorthanded situations on the year: they have two shorthanded goals.

The Maple Leafs got off to a slow start and their attempts to rally late ended up falling just short. Toronto owned a 15-12 edge in shots in the opening period but skated off in a 4-1 hole. The Maple Leafs were down 3-0 before William Nylander scored his sixth of the year at 16:19 off an assist from Auston Matthews to make it 3-1. Toronto gave up another goal before the period was over to reinstate their three-goal deficit. The second period saw the Maple Leafs with a 16-15 edge in shots with neither team scoring to leave the score the same after two periods. In the final period, Toronto fired 26 shots on net while allowing seven and outscored Chicago 3-1 to fall a goal short. Nylander scored his second of the game and seventh of the year at 2:27 off an assist from Matthews to make it 4-2. John Tavares scored his fifth of the year, on the power play, at 12:41 off an assist from Matthews to make it a one-goal game. After giving up a goal to go down 5-3, Andreas Johnsson tallied his fifth of the year, on the power play, at 19:18 off assists from Tavares and Matthews to make it 5-4. Toronto simply ran out of time and it ended up as a defeat. Michael Hutchinson made 29 saves in the loss in a game where Toronto had a 57-34 edge in shots. After dropping to 0-4-1, he was placed on waivers Monday: Frederik Andersen is expected to get the start here.

New York Islanders Try to Stay Hot

New York won for the 11th in their last 12 games as they edged Florida in a defensive struggle Saturday afternoon. The Islanders now have three days of rest in their pocket as they prepare for this contest. New York is tied for 15th in the league in goals for as they average three goals per contest this season. The Islanders are 1st in goals against by allowing 2.19 goals per game this year. New York is 20th on the power play as they convert 17.9 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Islanders are 8th in the league in penalty killing as they have successfully handled 85.1 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Islanders had their offensive struggles but did enough, coupled with a solid defensive showing, to pick up the two points in the standings. New York was outshot 14-7 in the opening period of the game but skated off with a 1-0 lead after 20 minutes of play. Mathew Barzal scored his seventh of the year at the 5:40 mark off assists from Brock Nelson and Derick Brassard to open the scoring. The second period saw the Islanders with a 19-8 edge in shots with neither team scoring to leave the game 1-0 after two stanzas. In the final period, the Islanders were outshot 16-10 with both teams scoring once, leaving New York with the win. After the Panthers tied the game, Scott Mayfield bagged the winner 38 seconds later, at the 6:50 mark off assists from Devon Toews and Barzal. That goal stood up thanks to solid work from Thomas Greiss, who made 37 saves in the game for the Islanders. New York was outshot 38-36 in the game: Semyon Varlamov is expected to be in net for this contest.

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The Islanders are on a roll right now but they are facing a Toronto team that has plenty of offensive firepower that will challenge Barry Trotzโ€™s defensive system. Missing Mitch Marner is going to be an impact on the Toronto offense but the team is expected to get Zach Hyman back for his season debut in this one. Of course, the big name in the building is Tavares, who left the franchise that he wore the C on his jersey before last season to sign with his hometown team. Expect the crowd to be raucous but in the end, Torontoโ€™s offense does just enough, thanks to a big game from Andersen in net, to give the Maple Leafs two points.

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs +105

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This is a major clash of styles for certain. Toronto is a free-flowing offensive team that likes to use stretch passes and their speed to create odd-man rushes in the offensive end. The Maple Leafs to tend to give up more than their fair share of good scoring opportunities with that style, however: just ask Hutchinson. New York, on the other hand, is very committed to shutting teams down and making life unpleasant in general for the opposition. Trotz knows how to get the most from his team: will they step up in this one with an emotionally charged crowd for Tavares' return?

The over is 5-1 in the Maple Leafs' last six games on the road and in four of their last five road tilts against the Islanders. In the last 20 games against the Maple Leafs, the Islanders have seen the over hit in 15 of those contests. Given Toronto's firepower, this one has the potential to be a 4-3 type of game that pushes over the number.

Prediction: Over 6
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chrisโ€™ content daily.