Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#67 Boston Bruins 6 vs.
#68 Toronto Maple Leafs -115
Friday, November 15, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Written by Chris Kubala

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#67 Boston
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It’s a battle of Atlantic Division teams on the ice north of the border. The Boston Bruins are on the road as they travel to race the Toronto Maple Leafs Friday night. Boston comes in off a 5-4 shootout loss to Florida at home Tuesday in their last game. Toronto fell 5-4 on the road to the Islanders Wednesday night in their last contest. The teams split the first two meetings this season with Toronto taking a 4-3 overtime win at home on October 19. In the last meeting, Boston took a 4-2 win at home on October 22.

Boston Bruins Look to Get Back in Win Column

Boston dropped their fourth straight game as things completely unraveled in the third period before falling in a shootout to Florida. The Bruins entered Thursday holding a three-point lead over Montreal and Florida in the Atlantic Division race. Boston is tied for 4th in goals for as they average 3.56 goals per game this season. The Bruins are fourth in the league by allowing 2.50 goals per contest on the year. Boston is first in power play percentage as they convert 30.5 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Bruins are tied for 12th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 82.1 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Bruins held a big lead only to see it slip away late before falling in the shootout to Florida. Boston owned a 7-5 edge in shots on goal in the opening period but skated off with the game still scoreless after 20 minutes of play. The second period saw the Bruins own a 16-7 edge in shots and a 4-0 edge on the scoreboard to hold that lead after two periods. David Pastrnak opened the scoring with his 16th of the year at 11:55 on an assist from Patrice Bergeron. Joakim Nordstrom made it a 2-0 game with his second of the year at 14:02 off an assist from Charlie Coyle. Anders Bjork gave Boston a 3-0 lead with his third of the year, on the power play, off assists from David Krejci and Brad Marchand at 17:16 of the stanza. Zdeno Chara’s third of the year at 19:31 off assists from Krejci and Danton Heinen extended the lead to 4-0. In the third period, the Bruins were outshot 12-9 and outscored 4-0 to end up in overtime. During the extra session, Boston owned a 6-5 edge in shots but neither side lit the lamp. In the shootout, Boston was outscored 2-1 to take the defeat. Tuukka Rask made 25 saves in the loss for Boston, who held a 38-29 edge in shots on goal in the game. He is expected to get the start in goal here.

Toronto Maple Leafs Seeking to Get Back on Track

Toronto dropped their third straight game as they were unable to get a win on Long Island against the white-hot Islanders. The Maple Leafs entered Thursday fourth in the Atlantic Division, one point behind Montreal and Florida for second place and four back of Boston for the division lead. Toronto is 9th in the league in scoring as they average 3.35 goals per game on the season. The Maple Leafs are tied for 21st in goals against as they allow 3.25 goals per contest. Toronto is 20th in the league on the power play as they convert 17.6 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Maple Leafs are 24th in penalty killing as they successfully shut down 75.3 percent of their shorthanded situations on the year: they have two shorthanded goals.

The Maple Leafs struggled in their own zone again and it proved costly against an Islanders team that has won 12 of their previous 13 games. Toronto was outshot 9-5 in the opening period and trailed 2-0 after 20 minutes of play. The second period saw the Maple Leafs own a 13-6 edge in shots on goal and they outscored New York 2-1 to trail 3-2 after two periods. Kasperi Kapanen got Toronto on the board with his fifth of the year at the 43 second mark off assists from John Tavares and Travis Dermott. William Nylander knotted the game with his eighth of the year off assists from Andreas Johnsson and Jake Muzzin at 11:22 of the period. The Maple Leafs gave up the go-ahead goal later in the period. Toronto was outshot 15-9 in the third period where both teams scored two goals, leaving them a goal short at the final horn. After giving up a pair of goals to trail 5-2, Justin Holl got his first of the year off assists from Frederik Gauthier and Nick Shore at 18:13 to make it a two-goal game. Tavares got his sixth of the year at 19:22 off assists from Morgan Rielly and Auston Matthews to get Toronto within a goal but the equalizer remained out of reach. Frederik Andersen made 25 saves in the loss for the Maple Leafs, who were outshot 30-27 in the game.

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Both teams have had their struggles of late coming into this contest. The clubs split two matchups last month in a home and home set. Toronto has to be better than what we’ve seen in the last few games as they have given up a slew of chances in their own zone. Boston is dealing with their own injuries as Torey Krug is expected to be out again, taking a key defenseman out of the mix here. Toronto has been tough at home this season and they bested the Bruins in the first meeting here. Look for Toronto to scratch one out here in another tight contest.

 

 

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs -120

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Toronto has been a solid offensive team at home this season. The Maple Leafs have put up an average of 3.33 goals per game on home ice this season while allowing an average of three goals a night. Boston, who has been so dominant at home, has been an average team on the road this season. The Bruins have a +1.90 goal per game differential at the TD Garden but are dead even on the road this season. Toronto took one in overtime here against the Bruins last month: can they take a victory in this contest?

The over is 5-1 in the Bruins' last six on the road, 5-2 in their last seven against Eastern Conference teams and 4-2 in their last six games. Toronto has seen the over go 8-1 in their last nine against Atlantic Division teams and the over has hit in four of the last six meetings with the Bruins. Look for this one to follow suit and go over the number.

Prediction: Over 6.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.