Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#31 Calgary Flames 6 vs.
#32 Vegas Golden Knights -155
Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s a battle of Western Conference teams on the ice in Sin City. The Calgary Flames are on the road as they make the trip to face the Vegas Golden Knights Sunday night. Calgary was blanked 3-0 on the road by Arizona in their previous game on Saturday afternoon. Vegas was defeated 4-3 on the road by Los Angeles in their previous contest Saturday afternoon. The home team has won the last nine meetings in the series with the Golden Knights taking a 6-2 victory at home in the first matchup this season on October 12.

Calgary Flames Hope to Bounce Back in Sin City

Calgary suffered their third straight defeat as they were blanked on the road by Arizona Saturday afternoon. The Flames entered Saturday night’s action tied for third in the Pacific Division with Vancouver, six points behind the Oilers. Calgary is 22nd in goals for as they average 2.76 goals per game on the season. The Flames are tied for 12th in goals against as they allow 2.90 goals per contest this year. Calgary is tied for 18th in success with the man advantage as they have connected on 18.6 percent of their power play chances this season. The Flames are 6th in penalty killing as they have successfully worked through 85.5 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

In their last game against Arizona, the Flames were unable to generate any offense in a road defeat. Calgary owned an 11-8 edge in shots on goal in the opening period but neither team was able to light the lamp, leaving things scoreless. The second period saw the Flames with a 12-11 shot advantage but they were outscored 2-0 to trail by that score after 40 minutes. In the final stanza, Calgary owned a 15-5 advantage in shots but gave up the lone goal of the period to see the game put out of reach. David Rittich finished with 21 saves for the Flames, who outshot the Coyotes 38-24 in the contest. Cam Talbot is expected to get the start in goal in this contest for Calgary.

Vegas Golden Knights Look to Snap Slide

Vegas suffered their fifth straight loss as they were knocked off on the road by Los Angeles in a battle of Pacific Division teams. The Golden Knights entered Saturday night fifth in the Pacific Division, two points behind Vancouver and Calgary for the final guaranteed playoff spot in the division and eight back of the Oilers for the division lead. Vegas is 19th in scoring with 2.85 goals per game this season. The Golden Knights are tied for 18th in goals against as they allow 3.05 goals per contest on the year. Vegas is 11th in the league with the man advantage as they convert 22.1 percent of their power play chances this season. The Golden Knights are third in the league in penalty killing as they successfully get through 87.8 percent of their shorthanded situations: they also lead the league with five shorthanded goals.

In their last game, Vegas had their chances but ended up coming up short in the contest. The Golden Knights held a 14-8 edge in shots on goal in the opening period but trailed 2-0 at the first intermission. In the second period, Vegas held an 11-8 edge in shots on goal and outscored the Kings 3-1 to tie the game after 40 minutes of play. Max Pacioretty made it a 2-1 game with his seventh of the year at 7:24 off assists from Reilly Smith and William Karlsson. After the Kings made it a 3-1 game, Vegas made it a 3-2 game on Jonathan Marchessault’s fifth of the year at 14:52 off an assist from Cody Eakin. Karlsson tied the game at the 17:06 mark with his sixth of the season off assists from Pacioretty and Shea Theodore. In the final period, the Golden Knights were outshot 9-6 and outscored 1-0 to take the loss. Malcolm Subban made 21 saves in the defeat for Vegas, who owned a 31-25 edge in shots on goal. Marc-Andre Fleury likely will be in net here.

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Both teams have slumped of late with the Flames dropping three straight games and the Golden Knights losing five in a row. Calgary hasn’t scored more than three goals in any of their last three games, which is part of their problem. The goaltending has done the job but the offense is lacking at this point in time. Vegas has dropped five in a row as their goaltending has proven to be a letdown of late. Vegas has to be better in the defensive zone in order for the team to have success. With the Flames floundering at the moment, look for the Golden Knights to get the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights -140

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Calgary has struggled to light the lamp as they have put up a total of three goals in their three-game losing skid. The Flames are just 4-7-0-1 on the road this season and they have been awful offensively as the visiting team. Calgary averages only two goals per game on the road this season compared to their 3.40 goal per game mark at home. Vegas has struggled of late but they are better offensively at home (3.3 goals per game) than on the road (2.45 goals per game) this season. The problem for the Golden Knights is that they are weak defensively at home (3.6 goals per game allowed) at the T-Mobile Arena: can they be better in this one?

The under is 8-1 in the Flames' last nine on the road, 7-2 in their last nine against Western Conference teams and 5-2 in their last seven games overall. Vegas tends to push the tempo at home but given Calgary's road struggles, it won't take a ton of goals to win this one. Expect a 3-1 or 3-2 type of game that ends up falling short of the mark when it's all said and done.

Prediction: Under 6
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.