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NHL

New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning,
11-18-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot

#63 New York
Islanders
#64 Tampa Bay
Lightning

Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Islanders

10 - 8

41-41
ATS
42-37
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

Tampa Bay Lightning

15 - 4

42-40
ATS
38-38
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

New York Islanders (10-6-1-1; 13-5 ATS; 11-7 O/U) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (15-2-1-1; 10-9 ATS; 12-7 O/U)

NHL: Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: Tampa Bay -196/New York +160

Total: 6

The first place Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the New York Islanders in an Eastern Conference tilt Saturday night from the Amalie Arena. The Islanders recorded a 5-4 home win against the Hurricanes on Thursday night, and the Lightning notched a 6-1 win over the Stars in their previous contest. The Lightning won all three meetings against the Islanders last season.

Islanders Rally for Three Third Period Goals

The New York Islanders rallied for three goals in the third period in their 6-4 home win against the Hurricanes on Thursday night. The Islanders fired 36 shots on goal and allowed 32. Josh Bailey snapped a three game point drought in the win by netting one goal along with one assist. The 28-year old left-winger is having an outstanding season, leading the Islanders in  points with four goals and 16 assists with a dazzling 24.1 shooting percentage. Bailey has collected 12 points in 26 career games against the Lightning. Rookie Matt Barzal continues to shine, potting one goal and two assists in the win on Thursday night, and has now notched 10 points in his last six games including a five-point night earlier this month. The 20-year old center is fourth in team scoring with four goals and 13 assists. The Islanders have now won two straight and they continue to produce offensively. They are currently averaging 3.6 goals per game, good for second in the NHL.

New York has been rotating between Thomas Greiss and Jaroslav Halak between the pipes. Greiss owns a subpar 3.27 GAA and Halak is carrying a 3.06 GAA to go with a 5-3 record. The Islanders are allowing an average of 3.2 goals per game, placing them 23rd overall.

Lightning Fill the Net in Fifth Straight Win

The Tampa Bay Lightning continued their offensive onslaught by stomping the Stars by a 6-1 score on Thursday night. Lightning captain Steve Stamkos was dominant once again in the win, scoring two goals along with two assists. The 27-year old center has been on a tear since the season began, leading the entire NHL in points with 10 goals and 25 assists. Stamkos has notched seven points in his last four games, and has tallied 31 points in 28 career games against the Islanders. Nikata Kucherov also continued his scoring rampage in the win on Thursday night, recording one goal along with two assists. The 24-year old right-winger is having a tremendous season, leading the NHL in goals with 17 to go with 16 helpers. The Lightning are now riding a five game winning streak and are proving they are the best team in the NHL. They are averaging an NHL leading four goals per game, and their power play is running on a 28% clip, placing them second in the NHL.

The Lightning will likely go with Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Vasilevskiy is having a stellar season, sporting a 2.24 GAA along with a .933 save percentage and a 14-1-1 record. Tampa is only conceding 2.4 goals per game, good for third in the NHL.

Trends:

The New York Islanders are:

  • over is 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.
  • over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
  • over is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are:

  • over is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
  • over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
  • over is 12-5 in their last 17 home games.

I am taking the over in this contest. The Lightning continue to fill the net, averaging 4.1 goals in their last ten games and are up against an Islanders team that will give up goals. New York has allowed at least four goals in four out of their last six games and they possess mediocre goaltending. Furthermore, the Islanders are having a very productive season offensively, ranking second in the NHL in goals behind the Lightning, and they have scored a combined 11 goals in their last two games which included five goals against a strong Blues team.

Pick: Over

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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