Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#45 N.Y. Islanders Islanders 6 vs.
#46 Pittsburgh Penguins -125
Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
PPG PAINTS Arena, Pittsburgh
Written by Chris Kubala

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#45 New York
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A pair of Metropolitan Division teams take the ice in this contest in the Steel City. The New York Islanders are on the road as they travel to face the Pittsburgh Penguins Tuesday night. New York rallied to down Philadelphia 4-3 in a shootout on the road Saturday night in their previous game. Pittsburgh rolled over Toronto 6-1 on the road Saturday night in their previous contest. The Penguins have won the last three regular season matchups, including a 4-3 overtime victory on the road in the first meeting this season on November 7.

New York Islanders Try to Stay Sizzling

New York earned their third straight win and improved to 13-0-1 in their last 14 games as they rallied to beat the Flyers in a shootout. The Islanders enter this one second in the Metropolitan Division, five points behind the Capitals. New York is 14th in the league in goals for as they average 3.11 goals per contest this season. The Islanders are tied for 1st in goals against by allowing 2.33 goals per game this year. New York is 8th on the power play as they convert 23.5 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Islanders are 7th in the league in penalty killing as they have successfully handled 84.6 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

In their last game, the Islanders were flat in the early stages of the game before turning it on late to earn the victory. New York was outshot 14-9 in the opening period and trailed 2-0 after the opening 20 minutes of play. The second period saw the Islanders own a 13-4 edge in shots on goal but they gave up the lone goal of the period to trail 3-0 after 40 minutes. In the third period, New York was outshot 12-11 but outscored Philadelphia 3-0 to send the game to overtime. Anthony Beauvillier scored his fifth of the season at 7:46 of the period off assists from Derick Brassard and Brock Nelson to make it a 3-1 game. Mathew Barzal got the Islanders within 3-2 with his ninth of the year, on the power play, at the 13:34 mark. Nelson and Brassard drew the assists on that goal. Beauvillier scored his second of the game and sixth of the year at 17:56, unassisted, to send the game to overtime. The Islanders owned a 3-1 edge in shots in the extra session but neither team lit the lamp. During the shootout, Jordan Eberle and Barzal each scored to give the Islanders the victory. Thomas Greiss made 28 saves in the win for the Islanders, who owned a 36-31 edge in shots in the game. Semyon Varlamov is expected to get the start in net here.

Pittsburgh Penguins Seeking Back to Back Wins

Pittsburgh snapped a two-game skid by whipping a tired Toronto team playing the second game of a back to back situation. The Penguins entered Monday tied for fourth in the Metropolitan Division with the Flyers, one point behind Carolina for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 10 back of division-leading Washington. Pittsburgh is 10th in the league in goals for as they average 3.30 goals per game on the year. The Penguins are 5th in the league in goals against as they allow 2.50 goals per contest. Pittsburgh is tied for 24th in the league in power play success this season as they have converted 14.5 percent of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Penguins are 2nd in penalty killing as they are successful in 89.1 percent of their shorthanded situations: they have four shorthanded goals on the year.

In their last game, the Penguins controlled the play for the most part and that allowed them to take advantage of the tired Maple Leafs and their goaltender, who was making his NHL debut as a starter. Pittsburgh owned a 19-16 edge in shots in the opening period and took a 2-0 lead to the dressing room. Jake Guentzel opened the scoring with his ninth of the year on the power play at 6:38 off assists from Alex Galchenyuk and Evgeni Malkin. Just over two minutes later at the 8:44 mark, Malkin made it a 2-0 game with his third of the year off assists from Guentzel and Bryan Rust.

In the second period, Pittsburgh held a 13-6 edge in shots and outscored Toronto 3-1 to take a 5-1 lead after two periods. Dominik Kahun made it 3-0 with his fourth of the year 52 seconds into the period off assists from John Marino and Rust. Kahun then netted his second of the game and fifth of the year at 4:32 off assists from Brandon Tanev and Jack Johnson to make it a 4-0 game. Jared McCann extended the lead to 5-0 with his seventh of the season with Kahun and Tanev drawing the assists at the 7:28 mark. Toronto got one back later in the period to avoid the shutout. In the third period, the Penguins were outshot 11-6 but scored the lone goal of the period to win going away. Rust scored his sixth of the year, shorthanded, at 3:54, off an assist from Teddy Blueger to close the scoring. Tristan Jarry made 32 saves in the win for Pittsburgh, who owned a 38-33 edge in shots in the contest. Matt Murray is expected to get the start in net here.

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New York has ripped up the league over the past month, keeping pressure on the Capitals in the Metropolitan Division standings. The lone point the Islanders dropped during that stretch was in an overtime loss to the Penguins a couple weeks ago. Pittsburgh comes in off a win in their last game but they had dropped two straight preceding that. Missing Sidney Crosby is going to take a toll on the Penguins over the next few weeks. Given how stingy the Islanders are defensively this season, you have to think they take care of business here and avenge that defeat.

Prediction: New York Islanders +105

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Barry Trotz continues to work his defensive system that has served him so well in the NHL and the Islanders play it to perfection. New York is first in the league in goals against as they allow only 2.33 goals per contest and the swapping of Varlamov for the departed Robin Lehner has worked out just fine. The Islanders are even stingier on the road, allowing only 2.17 goals per game. Pittsburgh is actually worse at lighting the lamp at home (3.09 goals per game) than they are on the road (3.56) this season. Can the Penguins set that aside here and pick up a home victory?

The under has gone 9-2 in the Islanders' last 11 games on Tuesday. Pittsburgh has seen the under go 5-2 in their last seven on Tuesday, 14-6 in their last 20 as a favorite and 8-4 in their last 12 against the Islanders. This one ends up under the total as the Islanders do a solid job of shutting down Pittsburgh's attack.

Prediction: Under 6
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.