Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#41 Philadelphia Flyers 6.5 vs.
#42 Florida Panthers -140
Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
BB&T Center, Sunrise
Written by Chris Kubala

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#41 Philadelphia
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A pair of Eastern Conference teams take the ice in the Sunshine State in search of two points. The Philadelphia Flyers are on the road as they travel to face the Florida Panthers Tuesday night. Philadelphia was edged 4-3 in a shootout at home by the Islanders Saturday night in their previous contest. Florida dropped the Rangers 4-3 at home in their previous contest Saturday night. The Panthers have gone 4-0-1 in their last five meetings, including a 2-1 home victory in the most recent matchup on December 29, 2018.

Philadelphia Flyers Hope to Get Back in Win Column

Philadelphia suffered their third straight loss as they were beaten in a shootout by the Islanders in their last contest. The Flyers enter this one tied for fourth in the Metropolitan Division with Pittsburgh, one point behind the Hurricanes for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 10 back of the Capitals for the division lead. Philadelphia is tied for 19th in the league in scoring as they average 2.90 goals per game this season. The Flyers are 8th in the league in goals against by allowing 2.80 goals per contest. Philadelphia stands 13th in success with the man advantage by converting 20.8 percent of their power play chances this season. The Flyers are 8th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 84.2 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

In their last game, the Flyers put forth a decent effort against the Islanders but ended up coming up on the short end of the scoreboard. Philadelphia controlled the opening period of play against the Islanders, owning a 14-9 edge in shots on goal in the stanza. Sean Couturier opened the scoring with his sixth of the year off an assist from Oskar Lindblom at the 1:38 mark of the period. In the final minute of the stanza, it was Ivan Provorov putting up his fourth of the year at 19:36 off assists from Couturier and Matt Niskanen to make it a 2-0 game. During the second period, the Flyers were outshot 13-4 but scored the lone goal of the stanza to take a 3-0 lead after two periods. Lindblom scored his ninth of the year at 12:20 off assists from Joel Larabee and Provorov. During the third period, the Flyers held a 12-11 edge in shots but were outscored 3-0 to send the game to overtime tied at three. In the extra session, Philadelphia was outshot 3-1 but neither team lit the lamp, sending the game to the shootout. During the shootout, the Flyers were outscored 2-0 to end up with the defeat. Brian Elliott made 33 saves in the loss for Philadelphia, who was outshot 36-31 in the game. Carter Hart is expected to get the call in net in the contest.

Florida Panthers Try to Stay Hot

Florida won for the third time in their last four games as they edged the Rangers at home in their last contest. The Panthers enter this one holding the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Atlantic Division: they are within four points of Boston for the division lead. Florida is 5th in the league in scoring as they average 3.55 goals per contest this season. The Panthers have had their issues defensively, ranking 28th by allowing 3.55 goals per contest. Florida is 4th in power play success as they convert 26.6 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Panthers are 14th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 82.7 percent of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In the game against the Rangers, the Panthers did enough to take care of business to get the two points. Florida owned a 13-8 advantage in shots in the opening period of the game but the game was tied at two after 20 minutes of play. Mike Hoffman opened the scoring with his eighth of the year, on the power play, at 2:07 with Keith Yandle and Jonathan Huberdeau drawing the assists on the goal. After the Rangers tied the game, Evgenii Dadonov gave Florida a 2-1 lead with his ninth of the year, on the power play, at 6:50 off assists from Huberdeau and Yandle. The Rangers knotted the game later in the period. In the second period, Florida was outshot 13-11 but outscored New York 2-1 to take a 4-3 lead after 40 minutes. After falling behind 3-2, Brett Connolly tied the game with his seventh of the year at 7:51 off an assist from Brian Boyle. Dadonov scored his second of the game and 10th of the season at 17:44 off assists from Yandle and Huberdeau to give the Panthers a 4-3 lead. The third period saw Florida outshot 12-6 but neither team lit the lamp, leaving the Panthers with that one-goal margin as time expired. Sergei Bobrovsky made 30 saves in the win for Florida, who was outshot 33-30 in the game.

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Florida has won three of four but the fact remains that their goaltending has been suspect. Ranking 28th in the league in goals against is cause for concern. On the other side of the equation, the Flyers have seen their goaltending stabilize over the last couple of weeks as they have started to tighten up defensively. The third period against the Islanders was disappointing for Philadelphia but it was the aberration more than the norm at this point. Hart has been decent of late and with Bobrovsky struggling, you have to give the Flyers the advantage here.

Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers +120

Full-Game Total Pick

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Florida has been solid enough on the offensive end of the ice but their inability to keep the puck out of their own net is concerning. The Panthers have to get a better return on their investment on Bobrovsky. Florida has put up an average of 3.75 goals per game at home this season while giving up 3.50 goals a night. Philadelphia has been inconsistent offensively as the visiting team this season. The Flyers are averaging only 2.20 goals per game as the visiting team compared to their 3.60 goal per game mark at home. Can Philadelphia take advantage of the soft Florida goaltending to get a road win?

The under is 6-1 in the Flyers' last seven games overall and 6-1 in their last seven games against Eastern Conference foes. Florida has seen the under go 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Flyers. Even with the weak goaltending of the Panthers, you have to think that this one falls short of the total as the Flyers have to be better offensively on the road this season.

Prediction: Under 6.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.