Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3 Boston Bruins 6 vs.
#4 Montreal Canadiens -110
Tuesday, November 26, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Bell Centre, Montreal
Written by Chris Kubala



#3 Boston
#4 Montreal


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It’s an Atlantic Division clash on the ice in the province of Quebec. The Boston Bruins are on the road as they make the trip to face the Montreal Canadiens Tuesday night. Boston comes in off a 5-4 overtime win at home over Minnesota in their previous contest on Saturday night. Montreal melted down in a 6-5 home defeat to the Rangers Saturday in their last game. The Bruins have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams but the Canadiens have won the last two matchups, including a 5-4 home win in the first matchup this season on November 5.

Boston Bruins Open Up Back to Back Road Set

Boston won their third straight after a stretch that saw them lost five of six games as they rallied to down Minnesota at home Saturday night. The Bruins entered Monday night leading the Atlantic Division by six points over the Panthers. Boston is second in goals for as they average 3.61 goals per game this season. The Bruins are tied for third in the league by allowing 2.43 goals per contest on the year. Boston is third in power play percentage as they convert 31 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Bruins are 16th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 82.2 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

Boston showed some grit and tenacity to rally late against Minnesota before prevailing in overtime. The Bruins were outshot 15-10 in the opening period Saturday night and skated off down 1-0. In the second period, Boston held a 13-11 edge in shots with both teams scoring twice to trail 3-2 after 40 minutes. Jake DeBrusk knotted the game at one with his fourth of the year at 4:14 off assists from Zdeno Chara and Brett Ritchie. After falling behind 3-1, Brad Marchand scored his 16th of the season at 19:56 off assists from Torey Krug and Patrice Bergeron to make it a 3-2 contest. The third period saw Boston hold a 15-7 edge in shots and a 2-1 advantage on the scoreboard to send the game to overtime tied at four. After falling behind 4-2, David Krejci scored his third of the season at 18:05 off assists from Bergeron and DeBrusk to climb within a goal. Forty-eight seconds later, Krejci scored his second of the game and fourth of the year at 18:53, on the power play, to tie the game: Bergeron and Krug drew the assists. In overtime, Boston was outshot 3-1 but scored the winning goal to earn the two points. Krug scored his third of the year at 2:41 of overtime off assists from Bergeron and Marchand to earn the win. Tuukka Rask made 32 saves in the win for Boston, who held a 39-36 edge in shots in the game.

Montreal Canadiens Hope to Regroup After Meltdown

Montreal was up big and let things fall apart in the third period of their game at home against the Rangers Saturday night. The Canadiens enter this one holding the third and final guaranteed playoff spot in the Atlantic Division, eight points behind the Bruins for the division lead. Montreal is 8th in the league in scoring as they put up 3.39 goals a night so far this year. The Canadiens are 20th in the league by giving up 3.22 goals per contest this season. Montreal is 17th in the league on the power play by converting 19.4 percent of their chances with the man advantage this season. The Canadiens are only tied for 25th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully get through 73.6 percent of their shorthanded situations on the year.

Montreal started strong in the game but saw things unravel in the third period to end up taking a bitter loss in the contest. The Canadiens owned an 18-12 edge in shots in the opening period and took a 3-0 lead to the dressing room after 20 minutes of play. Max Domi opened the scoring with his fifth of the year at 2:03 off assists from Nick Suzuki and Artturi Lehkonen. Lekhonen made it a 2-0 game with his fourth of the year at the 10:00 mark off assists from Joel Armia and Mike Reilly. In the late stages of the period, Domi scored his second of the game and sixth of the year off assists from Suzuki and Ben Chiarot at 19:26 to make it a 3-0 game. The Canadiens owned a 14-13 edge in shots in the second period but were outscored 3-1 to see their lead trimmed to 4-3 after two periods. Shea Weber scored his seventh of the year at 2:51 off assists from Chiarot and Charles Hudon to make it a 4-0 game. Montreal saw the Rangers score three times in a 3:20 span to make it a one-goal game. In the third period, the Canadiens held an 11-9 edge in shots but were outscored 3-1 to end up with the loss. Lehkonen scored his second of the game and fifth of the season at 5:20 off an assist from Domi to make it 5-3. The Canadiens gave up three more goals over the next six-plus minutes to end up with the loss. Carey Price made 28 saves for Montreal in the loss: the Canadiens owned a 43-34 edge in shots on goal in the game.

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Montreal completely fell apart in the second half of the game against the Rangers as they blew a four-goal lead. The Canadiens are going to have to find a way to be better defensively in this contest, especially against a Boston team that is pretty stingy in their own right. Boston is missing Patrice Bergeron for this game and Wednesday’s contest with a lower-body injury but the Bruins have plenty of offensive weapons even without him on the ice. The Bruins are a deep team with solid goaltending: that is enough to get them the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Boston Bruins -125

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Boston has been a decent team on the road but they are much better at home on the year. The Bruins own a +6 goal differential (34-28) on the road this season and own a +14 (326-312) shot differential in those games. That gives an average of 6.2 goals per game with Boston as the visiting team this season. Montreal owns a hefty +78 shot differential (428-350) while holding a narrow +3 goal differential (39-36) on the season at the Bell Centre. The Canadiens have an average of 6.25 goals per game at the Bell Centre this season. We saw a high-scoring affair in the last meeting between the teams: will history repeat itself here?

The under is 4-2 in the Bruins' last six games against Eastern Conference foes. Montreal has seen the under hit in seven of the last eight games against the Bruins. It's hard to see this one being that high scoring after seeing Montreal blow a four-goal lead Saturday. The Canadiens will be more defensive-minded and that helps this one stay under the number.

Prediction: Under 6.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.