Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#65 Montreal Canadiens vs.
#66 Buffalo Sabres
Friday, November 26, 2021 at 7:05pm EST
KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Written by The Dominator

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Saturday evening on the NHL ice and we will see a pair of teams from the Atlantic Division square off as the Montreal Canadiens battle it out with the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. The Habs enter this game at 5-16 on the year while the Sabres come in at 7-12. These teams met on October 14th and buffalo won that game here at home by a score of 5-1.

The Habs Continue To Struggle

It has been a rough start for the Candies this year as they enter this game at 5-16 overall and in 7th place in the Atlantic Division. Their 12 points are tied with the Islanders for 3rd fewest in the league and they have yet to win two games in a row. The Habs did have a chance to do that in their last game but they fell to the Capitals on the road by a score of 6-3, which gives them a 1-9 record away from home so far. Scoring in the loss was Jake Evans (4th), Cole Caufield (1st), and Artturi Lehkonen (2nd). The offense has been an issue as they are 29th in scoring at 2,24 gpg.

The Habs have had many issues at the other end of the ice and it shows just how much they miss Carey Price in the crease. He is currently out indefinitely with a knee injury. The Habs are 30th in goals allowed at 3.62 GPG and they have surrendered 4.20 gpg over their last 10 games. Absorbing the loss to the Capitals was Jake Allen, who allowed six goals on 34 shot attempts to fall to 4-10 with a 3.02 GAA on the year, including 1-4 with a 3.40 GAA on the road. In his career, he has gone 82-78 with a 2.53 GAA on the road and 6-3 with a 1.74 GAA against the Sabres.

The Losses Are Starting To Come

The Buffalo Sabres got off to a 5-2 start, but they have not been able to find their footing since as Buffalo comes in having lost four in a row and 10 of their last 12. Their play in the crease has been what has turned on them over their last 12 games as they have allowed 4.33 gpg over their last 12 games, compared to giving up just 2.00 gpg in their first 7 games. It has been even worse of late as Buffalo has allowed five or more goals in four straight games. The Sabres are currently 28th in scoring defense, allowing 3.47 gpg so far.

Buffalo enters this game off of a 5-1 road loss to the Bruins and taking the loss was Aaron Dell, who allowed four goals before being removed at the start of the 2nd period by Dustin Tokarski, who allowed one goal over the final two frames. Dell is now 0-4 with a 4.56 GAA on the year. Tokarski will get the nod in this one and he has gone 3-6 with a 3.26 GAA on the year, including 2-2 with a 3.53 GAA here at home. In his career, he is 6-14 with a 3.38 GAA in his home games while this will be his first meeting with the Habs. Scoring their lone goal was Kyle Okposo, which was his 5th of the year. Buffalo has been below average on offense as they are 19th in scoring, putting up 2.79 gpg.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Habs are just 1-9 on the road this year but this is a game they can win and they will win. The Sabres have lost their last four games in a row and they have allowed 22 goals over that stretch. They are just 2-10 in their last 12 games and Dustin Tokarski has a 3.53 GAA at home for the year. I realize that Jake Allen has struggled for the Habs this year, but he is 6-3 with a 1.74 GAA against the Sabre in his career. I will look for him to have one of his better outings of the year in this one. Lastly, the Favorite is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings while the Sabres are 10-41 in their last 51 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.

Prediction: Montreal -122

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

It is hard not to like the Over in this one, especially with the way both teams have been playing in the crease of late. The Canadiens have missed Carey Price this year and they have allowed 4.20 gpg over their last 10 games. Jake Allen has a solid 1.74 GAA against the Sabres in his carer, but he has struggled overall this year and should surrender a few. The Canadien offense has not been good this year, but I do expect them to win this game and they have scored 23 goals in their five wins on the year. Buffalo has allowed 22 goals in their last four games and Tokarski has a 3.53 GAA at home for the year. Lastly, the Over is 6-1 in Montreal's last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and 13-3-1 in Buffalo's last 17 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Prediction: Over 6
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.