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Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers,
11-5-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#1 Detroit
Red Wings
#2 Edmonton
Oilers

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Red Wings

6 - 8

33-49
ATS
36-34
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

Edmonton Oilers

4 - 8

54-41
ATS
39-44
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Detroit Red Wings (6-8 SU, 10-4 PL, 7-7-0 O/U) vs Edmonton Oilers (4-8 SU, 5-7 PL, 6-6-0 O/U)

When: 4:05 PM EDT, Sunday, November 5, 2017

Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

Lines: Edmonton -193/ Detroit +173

Total: 5.5

Sunday afternoon NHL action and the Atlantic Division will square off with the Pacific Division as the Detroit Red Wings tangle with the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. The Red Wings are off a 3-1 road loss at the hands of the Senators, while the Oilers are off a 6-3 home win over the Devils. Goalie Probables: Jimmy Howard will get the nod for Red Wings and he will be opposed by Cam Talbot.

Offense Struggles In Loss To The Sens

The Red Wings have not had a good start to their year so far, but they did just have a two-game winning streak. Well, that is over after they fell to the Ottawa Senators on the road by a score of 3-1. The offense has really been a struggle for them this year and it was that offense that let them down in this one as they scored just the one goal on 25 shots in the game. Scoring their lone goal was Anthony Mantha, which was his 6th of the year and that leads the team. Leading them in points so far has been Dylan Larkin with 13, while Mike Green is 2nd with 12. Detroit has gone 4-5 on the road this year so far. Taking the loss against the Senators was Jimmy Howard, who didn’t have a bad game as he stopped 27 of the 29 shots that he faced. Howard is now 5-5 with a 2.53 GAA and a .972 save percentage on the year overall, including 3-3 with a 2.22 GAA and a .937 save percentage on the road. In his career, he has gone 90-89 with a 2.53 GAA on the road and 42-28 with a 2.33 GAA during the month of November, plus he is 50-46 with a 2.42 GAA against the Pacific Division, while against the Oilers in his career he has gone 13-4 with a 1.96 GAA.  

The Red Wings have been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 27th in the league in scoring at 2.57 gpg, while also ranking 21st in shots taken (31.0 spg) and 25th in power play conversions, converting on 15.2% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they have been a bit below average so far as they check in at 16th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.93 gpg, while also ranking 28th in shots allowed (34.4 spg) and 12th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 17.5% of their chances.

The Offense Wakes Up Against The Devils

The Edmonton Oilers are off to a slow start and the reason for that has been their offense, which has been among the worst in the league so far. The Oilers came into their game against the Devils on Friday night having scored more than three goals just once on the year, but they now have done it twice as they beat the Devils by a score of 6-3. Their offense finally had a really good showing in the game and they will look to keep it going in this one against a Detroit team that is below average in terms of goals allowed. Scoring in the win was Drake Caggiula, which was his 1st of the year, Ryan Strome, which was his 2nd, Oscar Klefbom, which was his 1st, Leon Draisaitl, which was his 3rd, Milan Lucic, which was his 2nd and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, which was his 6th. The Oilers are just 3-5 at home so far. Grabbing the win against the Devils was Cam Talbot, who stopped 31 of the 34 shots that he faced to move to 4-7 with a 3.09 GAA and a .905 save percentage on the year overall, including 3-4 with a 3.47 GAA and a .895 save percentage here at home. In his career, he has gone 51-44 with a 2.38 GAA at home and 11-15 with a 2.61 GAA during the month of November, while against the Atlantic Division he has gone 23-17 with a 2.47 GAA, including 3-3 with a 2.47 GAA against the Red Wings.  

The Oilers have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring at 2.50 gpg, while also ranking 1st in shots taken (38.0 spg) and 23rd in power play conversions, converting on 15.4% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they come in ranked 23rd in the league in goals allowed, giving up 3.25 gpg, while also ranking 9th in shots allowed (31.2 spg) and 31st in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 31.7% of their chances.

Trends

Detroit is:

  • 8-20 in their last 28 games playing on two days rest
  • 1-4 in their last five vs. a team with a losing record

Edmonton is:

  • 18-7 in their last 25 games playing on one days rest
  • 7-3 in their last 10 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game

The Detroit Red Wings had a 3-1 start to their year, but they have really struggled since, especially their offense. The Oilers have struggled out the gate, especially their offense, but that offense will have some confidence after finally breaking out against the Devils. They scored six goals in that game and should be able to keep their offense going in this one, even though Jimmy Howard has good career numbers against them. The Red Wings just won’t come up with enough offense to win this one and the clincher is the fact that the home team is 4-1 the last five games in this series. Take the Oilers in this one.

Pick: Edmonton -193

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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