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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs,
11-6-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#57 Vegas
Golden Knights
#58 Toronto
Maple Leafs

Monday, November 6, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Vegas Golden Knights

9 - 4

0-0
ATS
0-0
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Toronto Maple Leafs

8 - 7

42-46
ATS
42-45
O/U
3
PPG
2
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Vegas Golden Knights (9-4 SU, 10-3 PL, 8-5-0 O/U) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (8-7 SU, 7-8 PL, 10-4-1 O/U)

When: 7:05 PM EDT, Monday, November 6, 2017

Where: Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario

Lines: Toronto -225/ Vegas +201

Total: 6.5

National League Hockey action on Monday evening and the Pacific Division will duke it out with the Atlantic Division as the Vegas Golden Knights pay a visit to Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights enter off a Goalie Probables: Maxime Lagace will get the nod for the Golden Knights and the Maple Leafs will counter with Frederik Andersen.

Golden Knights Get Back On Track

The Vegas Golden Knights got off to an 8-1 start, before losing three games in a row. Well, they broke that skid with a very hard-fought 5-4 road win over Ottawa. The Knights led the game throughout and had a 5-2 lead in the 3rd period before the Sens scored a couple of late goals to make the game a bit more interesting. They needed that win and will now look to keep it going against a Toronto team that has really struggled of late. Scoring for the Knights in the win was Alex Tuch, which was his 4th of the year, Erik Haula, who scored twice and now has four on the year, Jonathan Marchessault, which was his 4th of the year and William Karlsson, which was his 4th of the year. James Neal leads the team in scoring with seven goals, but he has scored just once in his last nine games and none in his last four. Vegas has gone 3-3 on the road so far. Snatching up the win against the Senators was Maxime Lagace, who stopped 24 of the 32 shots that he faced to pick up his 1st career win. He is now 1-4 with a 4.43 GAA and a .856 save percentage on the year overall, with all four games played coming on the road. He has been getting the bulk of the starts of late as both Marc-Andre Fleury (Concussion), Malcolm Subban (Lower Body) and Oscar Dansk (Lower Body) are all out.  

The Golden Knights have been solid on offense so far as they rank 5th in the league in scoring at 3.62 gpg, while also ranking 26th in shots taken (30.1 spg) and 13th in power play conversions, converting on 20.0% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they have been solid as well as they come in ranked 13th in goals allowed, giving up 2.85 gpg, while also ranking 21st in shots allowed (32.8 spg) and 14th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 19.0% of their chances.

Andersen Struggles In Loss To The Blues

The Toronto Maple Leafs got off to a fast start this year, but they have really struggled of late as they have now lost five of their last six games after falling 6-4 to St Louis on the road on Saturday night.  The offense is the strength of the team, but that offense has been held in check of late as they have now averaged just 2.88 rpg in their last eight games. The one constant of late has been their play in the crease, which has not been that good as they have allowed 4.17 gpg over their last six games. That is not good, especially with the offense struggling. Getting the start in the loss to the Blues was Frederik Andersen and he really struggled in that game as he allowed six goals, which is the 5th time this year that he has allowed at least five goals in a game. He is now 7-6 with a 3.48 GAA and a .895 save percentage on the year, while her at home he is 3-3 with a 4.34 GAA and a .865 save percentage. In his career, he has gone 59-35 with a 2.48 GAA in his home games and 20-17 with a 2.70 GAA during the month of November, while against the Pacific Division he has gone 35-24 with a 2.09 GAA. This will be his first meeting with the Knights. Scoring in the loss to the Blues was Andreas Borgman, which was his 2nd of the year, Tyler Bozak, who scored twice and now has four on the year and Connor Brown, which was his 6th of the year.

Toronto has been very good on offense so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring at 3.80 gpg, while also ranking 12th in shots taken (32.4 spg) and 6th in power play conversions, converting on 24.0% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 27th in goals allowed, giving up 3.67 gpg, while also ranking 20th in shots allowed (32.7 spg) and 16th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 19.2% of their chances.

Trends

Vegas is:

  • The Over is 6-1 in their last seven games following a win
  • The Over is 4-1 in their last five vs. Eastern Conference

Toronto is:

  • The Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games
  • The Over is  10-4-1 in their last 15 overall

The Golden Knights have been a real surprise early in the year, while the Maple Leafs have struggled of late as they have won just one of their last six games. The Leafs have really struggled in the crease this year and they have allowed 4.14 gpg at home so far, while Frederik Andersen has a 4.34 GAA here at home. The Knights have been strong on offense so far and they should be able to score plenty on the Leafs. The KNights have Maxime Lagace in the crease and he has a 4.43 GAA ion the year and will be facing a Toronto team that averages 4.14 gpg at home. I look for this game to see at least nine goals being scored.  

Pick: Over 6.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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