Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#51 Boston Bruins -260 vs.
#52 Detroit Red Wings 6
Friday, November 8, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s an Original Six matchup on the ice when a pair of Atlantic Division teams take the ice in the Motor City. The Boston Bruins are on the road as they travel to face the Detroit Red Wings Friday night. Boston comes in off a 5-4 road loss to Montreal in their previous game Tuesday night. Detroit was drubbed 5-1 on the road by the Rangers Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Red Wings have won the last three meetings, including a 6-3 home win in the most recent matchup on March 31, 2019. Prior to that, it was the Bruins winning seven previous meetings.

Boston Bruins Look to Bounce Back After Rare Regulation Loss

Boston had won six straight games before getting upended by Montreal. The Bruins suffered just their second loss in regulation this season: they entered Thursday leading the Atlantic Division by four points over Buffalo. Boston is 3rd in goals for as they average 3.73 goals per game this season. The Bruins are tied for third in the league by allowing 2.33 goals per contest on the year. Boston is first in power play percentage as they convert 31.4 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Bruins are 5th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 86.7 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

The Bruins dug an early hole against Montreal and despite their attempts to rally, they ended up falling short thanks to a goal midway through the final period. Boston was outshot 13-6 in the opening period and trailed 3-1 after 20 minutes of play. After falling behind 1-0, David Pastrnak tied the game with his 15th of the year at 14:55 off assists from Patrice Bergeron and Torey Krug. Boston gave up two goals 31 seconds apart later in the period to go down 3-1. In the second period, the Bruins were outshot 12-9 and outscored the Canadiens 2-1 to halve the deficit to 4-3 after 40 minutes. Connor Clifton scored his first of the year at 7:17 off an assist from Zach Senyshyn to make it 3-2. Anders Bjork tied the game with his second of the year at 18:13 off assists from Charlie McAvoy and Senyshyn. Forty-two seconds later, the Bruins gave up the go-ahead goal. The Bruins outshot Montreal 10-6 in the third period and both teams scored once to leave them down a goal. Sean Kuraly tied the game with his first of the year at 3:03 off an assist from Chris Wagner. The Bruins gave up the go-ahead goal later in the period and couldn’t get another equalizer. Tuukka Rask made 26 saves for Boston, who were outshot 31-25 in the contest. He’ll be in net for this contest.

Detroit Red Wings Hoping to Stop Slide

Detroit struggled on both ends of the ice again Wednesday night and suffered their fourth straight defeat in the process. The Red Wings dropped into a tie for the basement in the Atlantic Division with Ottawa as the teams have nine points. Detroit is 31st in the league in goals for as they average 2.06 goals per contest on the year. The Red Wings are tied for 30th in goals against by allowing four goals per game. Detroit is only 26th in the league on the power play as they convert only 12.7 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Red Wings are 31st in the league in penalty killing as they successfully kill off only 66.7 percent of their shorthanded situations.

The Red Wings struggled offensively on the road in the second game of a back to back and they ended up taking another loss. Detroit was outshot 11-7 in the opening period of the contest but skated off tied at zero after 20 minutes of play. The shots were even in the second period with both teams firing 13 shots on goal but the Red Wings were outscored 3-1 to trial by a pair of goals after 40 minutes. Detroit went down 3-0 before getting on the board with Valtteri Filppula’s second of the year at 9:41 off the period off assists from Andreas Athanasiou and Anthony Mantha. The final period saw the Red Wings own a 16-7 edge in shots but they gave up the lone two goals in the period to turn the game into a rout. Jimmy Howard kicked out 26 shots in the loss as the Red Wings owned a 36-31 edge in shots. He is expected to get the call in net here.

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Detroit has scored two goals or less in 11 of their 17 games this season. Facing a Boston team that is third in the league in goals against makes life that much tougher for them here. The Bruins are coming off a tough loss against Montreal and they have the motivation to get back on track. Detroit has won three straight matchups between the teams but they are offensively challenged this season. Dealing with the Bruins in this one, you have to lean on Rask to do his job while the offense carries them to a victory on the road here.

Prediction: Boston Bruins -1.5

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Detroit's inability to light the lamp is a major concern for the team as they simply can't expect to beat teams averaging just over two goals per game. The Red Wings have scored two goals or less nearly twice as often as they've scored at least three goals this season. Detroit averages only 2.13 goals per game at home this season while they allow 3.75 goals per contest. Boston is weaker offensively on the road (3.29 goals per game) than they are at home (4.13 goals per game) on the year. Can the Bruins keep the Red Wings struggling to find the back of the net?

The under is 4-1-1 in the Bruins' last six games against the Red Wings on the road. Given the fact that the Red Wings are miserable when it comes to putting the puck in the net and the Bruins are very good at keeping the puck out of their own net, it's going to be tough for this one to have an offensive bonanza. Boston can put up four or five goals but it's hard to have much faith in Detroit. Look for this one to end up under the total.

Prediction: Under 6
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.