Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#63 Carolina Hurricanes -190 vs.
#64 Ottawa Senators 6.5
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Canadian Tire Cenre, Kanata
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#63 Carolina
#64 Ottawa
9-7
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The Ottawa Senators get set to host the upstart Carolina Hurricanes at the Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday night.

Following a 5-0-0 start, the Hurricanes have lost seven of their last 11 games to enter the weekend with 19 points in 16 games this season. Meanwhile, the Senators have compiled only 11 points through their first 15 games to come into this matchup in second-last place in the Eastern Conference standings. Can the Hurricanes get back on the winning track on the road in Ottawa on Saturday night?

Hurricanes seek spark in Ottawa

The Hurricanes pushed their current losing streak to three games on Thursday, falling at home 4-2 to the New York Rangers. Carolina peppered New York’s Henrik Lundqvist all night, holding a 47-19 advantage in shots on goal, but the veteran goaltender turned back the clock with 45 saves in the win. Sebastian Aho and Dougie Hamilton each scored but Petr Mrazek allowed three goals on only 18 shots in the loss.

A recent report by TSN indicated that the Hurricanes might be willing to move either Trevor van Riemsdyk or Hayden Fleury in exchange for a top-nine forward. The Montreal Canadiens have emerged as a potential trade candidate for Fleury, who could play alongside his brother, Cale Fleury, with the Canadiens.

Carolina also recalled former 2017 second-round pick Eetu Luostarinen for Thursday night’s game. The Finnish forward has taken to the AHL game with relative ease so far, compiling seven points (five goals, two assists) through his first 10 games. The ‘Canes remain without leading scorer Erik Haula, who is having problems with the knee he had major surgery on last year. Haula remains day-to-day but his condition is at least worth monitoring moving forward.

Veteran netminder James Reimer is scheduled to take his turn between the pipes for the Hurricanes on Saturday. The 31-year-old comes in with a 2-3-0 record to go along with 2.93 GAA and .907 save percentage in six games (five starts). Reimer has lost each of his last three starts but he’s been better on the road (2.54 GAA, .920) compared to at home (3.64 GAA, .883) so far this year. He made two starts versus the Senators last season, winning both while posting a 3.00 GAA and .918 save percentage.

Senators starting to pick things up

Ottawa avoided disappointment and topped the L.A. Kings 3-2 in overtime on Tuesday night. After the Senators allowed a goal to tie the game with just eight seconds remaining in regulation, Jean-Gabriel Pageau bailed his teammates out with a game-winning goal 3:12 into the overtime period. Anthony Duclair and Artem Anisimov scored while Anders Nilsson surrendered only two goals in 28 shots to help Ottawa escape with a win.

The Senators recalled 21-year-old Swedish forward Jonathan Davidsson from the AHL for Tuesday’s game against the Kings. Davidsson was part of the deal that sent Matt Duchene to the Columbus Blue Jackets. Meanwhile, center Colin White was sent down the AHL for a conditioning stint as he continues to work his way back from a hip injury.

Anderson is expected to patrol the crease once again for the Senators on Saturday night. The 38-year-old is 2-6-0 with a 3.20 GAA and .897 save percentage in eight starts this season but his home/road splits tell a more accurate story about his early-season performance. Anderson has been tough to beat at home, going 2-2-0 with a 2.00 GAA and .930 save percentage in Ottawa compared to 0-4-0 with a 4.56 GAA and .864 save percentage on the road. He last started versus Carolina in the 2017-18 season, losing both starts despite a rock-solid 2.51 GAA and .926 save percentage in those matchups.

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These two teams appear to be headed in opposite directions at the moment. Carolina has suddenly lost seven of their last 11 games (4-6-1) and they come in riding a three-game losing streak that features losses against New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils. Meanwhile, the Senators have alternated wins and losses in each of their last seven games. While Anderson comes in having lost two of his last three starts, he has been excellent at home this season. The Senators are also 3-1-0 in their last four home games and they are averaging 3.75 goals per game in that span. Take the Senators to come out on top at the Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday evening. 

Prediction: Ottawa Senators +170

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Carolina has been in a bit of a slump offensively as of late. Since their 5-0-0 start, they have scored two goals or less seven times in 11 games and they are 2-5-0 when that happens. Anderson has been better at home than on the road, while Reimer has favorable road splits coming into this game. Ottawa has struggled on the power-play (7.9 percent) and Carolina ranks second-last in the NHL in shots per game (28.6). Take this game to stay under the projected total at the Candian Tire Centre on Saturday night. 

Prediction: Under 6.5
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.