Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#69 Los Angeles Kings 6 vs.
#70 Edmonton Oilers -170
Friday, December 6, 2019 at 9:05pm EST
Rogers Place, Edmonton
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#69 Los Angeles
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The Los Angeles Kings will head on the road to Rogers Place on Friday night as they open their road trip through Western Canada with a matchup against the Edmonton Oilers.

The Oilers have struggled to keep pace atop the Pacific Division standings and they’ve fallen back into second place after going just 5-4-1 over their last 10 games. Edmonton has compiled 37 points in 30 contests, good for fourth place in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Kings are trying to fight their way out of the bottom of the Pacific Division after going 11-16-2 with 24 points in their first 29 games. Can Edmonton get back on the winning track at home against the lowly Kings on Friday?

Quick flashing improvement for Kings

The Kings were unable to right the ship on Wednesday night, losing at home 3-1 to the Washington Capitals. Blake Lizotte scored in the third period to help Los Angeles avoid a shutout and Jonathan Quick allowed two goals on 21 shots to take the loss on the night.

After a strong start to the season on offense, the Kings have fallen back in the league rankings as of late. They come in scoring just 2.52 goals per game, which ranks 29th in the NHL and their 3.31 goals-against average is tied for the fifth-worst work in the league. Special teams have also played a role in the Kings’ tumble down the standings. Los Angeles has converted just 11 of its 98 power-play opportunities this season, good for an 11.2 conversion rate that ranks as the league’s second-worst mark. They have also killed off only 75.3 percent of their penalties, which ranks 27th in the NHL. Anze Kopitar leads the team with 27 points while Nikolai Prokhorkin has scored four goals over the last 10 games for the Kings.

Quick is scheduled to guard the cage for the Kings in Edmonton on Tuesday. Quick is 7-11-1 with a 3.29 GAA and .883 save percentage in 19 games this season. Believe it or not, the veteran goaltender has actually turned things around since his slow start, allowing three goals or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts and he’s been serviceable at home. The 33-year-old owns a 2.46 GAA and .911 save percentage at the Staples Center compared to a 4.46 GAA and .846 save percentage in eight road starts. He’s faced Edmonton twice already this season, going 1-1-0 with a 3.55 GAA and .877 save percentage in those matchups.

Oilers struggling versus mediocre teams

Edmonton lost for the third time in four games on Wednesday night, falling at home 5-2 versus the Ottawa Senators. Jujhar Khaira and Oscar Klefbom scored goals for Edmonton while Mikko Koskinen got the early hook after allowing three goals on 12 shots to open the game. Mike Smith finished with 11 saves in the loss.

The Oilers have been plagued by inconsistency this season, especially against teams below them in the standings. For a team with Stanley Cup aspirations, Edmonton has left points on the table against mediocre teams, suffering losses to the Senators, Kings, Red Wings, and Blackhawks already this season. Figuring out which Edmonton team is going to show up has been a nightly question mark for Oilers’ fans but they should hit their stride once they get back to full health. Zack Kassian is expected to return to the lineup for the Oilers as early as Friday’s contest, meanwhile Ryan Nugent-Hopkins remains day-to-day with a wrist problem.

Koskinen is scheduled to patrol the crease once again for the Oilers as they seek to keep pace in the Pacific Division race. The 31-year-old has seized control of the No. 1 goaltender job by going 10-3-2 with a 2.62 GAA and .917 save percentage in 17 games (15 starts) this season. Koskinen has actually been a tick better on the road (2.50 GAA, .922 save percentage) compared to at home (2.78 GAA, .910 save percentage) this season. He entered the game in relief against the Kings on Nov. 21, allowing two goals in a 5-1 Oilers’ defeat. Koskinen started three times versus Los Angeles last season, finishing 2-1-0 with a 4.03 GAA and .885 save percentage against them in 2018-19.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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There could be some value on the Kings here. The home team has dominated this series as of late but Los Angeles is 21-10 in the last 31 meetings overall in this series. Edmonton has struggled to match the intensity of teams below them in the standings this season and that could be the case against the Kings here. Los Angeles beat Edmonton 2-1 just a few short weeks ago and the Kings are due for an offensive outburst after scoring two goals or less in four straight games. Take Los Angeles to come out on top on the road in this game on Friday night. 

Prediction: Los Angeles Kings +150

Full-Game Total Pick

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The under has gone 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Edmonton between these two teams. Quick has been serviceable between the pipes for Los Angeles over the last month, sporting a .905 save percentage during that span. He’s allowed three goals or less in nine of his last 11 starts and Koskinen has allowed three goals or less 15 of his 17 appearances this year. Take this game to stay under the projected total in Edmonton on Friday night.

Prediction: Under 6
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.