Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1 Ottawa Senators 6 vs.
#2 Philadelphia Flyers -210
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 1:05pm EST
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s a battle of Eastern Conference teams in the City of Brotherly Love on the ice. The Ottawa Senators are on the road as they make the trip to face the Philadelphia Flyers Saturday afternoon. Ottawa got back in the win column as they whipped Edmonton 5-2 on the road Wednesday night in their last game. Philadelphia was upended 3-1 at home by Arizona in their last game Thursday night. The teams have split the last 10 meetings with Ottawa taking a 2-1 home victory in the first matchup this season on November 15.

Ottawa Senators Close Out Five-Game Road Trip

Ottawa snapped a five-game losing skid as they hammered Connor McDavid and the Oilers Wednesday night. The Senators are seventh in the Atlantic Division, six points behind the Panthers and Sabres for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 21 back of division leader Boston. Ottawa is 25th in the league in goals for as they average 2.62 goals per contest this season. The Senators are 20th in the league as they allow 3.10 goals per game on the year. Ottawa is last in the league with the man advantage as they have converted 9.9 percent (nine of 91) of their chances on the power play this season. The Senators are 14th in penalty killing as they have successfully killed off 82.1 percent of their shorthanded situations this year: they have four shorthanded goals this season.

In their last game, the Senators took care of business to earn their first win of their five-game road trip that ends here. Ottawa was outshot 10-4 in the opening period and trailed 1-0 after 20 minutes of play this season. The Senators held an 11-9 edge in shots in the second period and outscored Edmonton 3-1 to take a 3-2 lead after 40 minutes. Artem Anisimov tied the game with his third of the year at 5:15 of the period. Vladislav Namestnikov and Colin White drew the assists on that marker. Only 12 seconds later, Connor Brown gave Ottawa a 2-1 lead with his third of the year at 5:27 off assists from Chris Tierney and Ron Hainsey. Later in the period, Tyler Ennis made it 3-1 with his eighth of the year at 11:42 off assists from Brown and Dylan DeMelo. Edmonton cut the lead to a single goal with a power play marker later in the stanza. Ottawa held a 10-7 edge in shots in the third period and outscored Edmonton 2-0 to roll to the win. Anthony Duclair restored the Senators’ two-goal lead at the 1:30 mark with his 11th of the year off an assist from Ennis. Later in the period, Namestnikov scored his seventh of the year at 11:47 off assists from Tierney and Ennis to close the scoring. Craig Anderson made 24 saves in the win for the Senators, who were outshot 26-25 in the contest.

Philadelphia Flyers Try to Get Back in Win Column

Philadelphia saw their five-game win streak snapped as they were shut down by a stingy Arizona team in their last contest. The Flyers entered Friday night’s action holding the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Metropolitan Division and stood 10 points back of division-leading Washington. Philadelphia is tied for 12th in the league in scoring as they average 3.07 goals per game this season. The Flyers are 6th in the league in goals against by allowing 2.66 goals per contest. Philadelphia stands 17th in success with the man advantage by converting 18.6 percent of their power play chances this season. The Flyers are 10th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 84.1 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

In their last game, Philadelphia was held in check and they may have wished that they had saved a couple goals from that late-game outburst against Toronto in their previous game. The Flyers saw the shots even at five in the opening period but trailed 1-0 after giving up a power play goal early in the period. In the second period, Philadelphia held a 13-4 edge in shots on goal with neither team scoring, leaving the game 1-0 in favor of Arizona. The third period saw the Flyers with an 11-9 edge in shots but they were outscored 2-1 to end up with the loss. After falling behind 2-0, Matt Niskanen scored his third of the year at 15:17 off assists from Sean Couturier and Jakub Voracek to get the Flyers on the board. Philadelphia gave up an empty net goal late to seal their fate. Brian Elliott made 15 saves in the loss for the Flyers, who held a 29-18 edge in shots in the loss. Carter Hart is expected to get the call in goal for this one.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Philadelphia has been stout at home this season and they hung tough even in a loss against Arizona. The Senators are going to be road weary here as they close their five-game road swing in this contest. Ottawa has struggled on special teams and they have to be better on both ends of the ice. There’s a lot of youth that is learning on the fly for the franchise but that makes for tough times against good teams. Philadelphia has been playing well even with their loss Thursday as they had won five straight games. Look for Hart to help shut down the Senators and deliver the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers -193

Full-Game Total Pick

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Ottawa has had their problems on the road this season. The Senators have a massive -20 goal differential (61-41) in those contests while holding a -73 shot differential (572-499) in those contests. Ottawa sees an average of six goals per game scored in their road games this season. Philadelphia owns a hefty +22 goal differential at home (53-31) on the season this year while outshooting their opponents by 121 shots (533-412) in those games. That means the average Flyers home game sees an average of 5.6 goals per game. Will the Flyers maintain their recent momentum at home?

The under is 7-1 in the Senators' last eight games against Eastern Conference foes and 6-1 in their last seven against Metropolitan Division squads. Philadelphia has seen the under go 6-3 in their last nine at home. Given the way that the Senators have struggled offensively on the road, this one likely ends up falling short of the total.

Prediction: Under 6

Half-Time Side Pick

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Philadelphia has held the lead five times after the first period of their 15 home games on the year. The Flyers have been tied in six other contests, meaning they have trailed just four times after 20 minutes of play at home. Ottawa has led only three times after the opening period in their 17 road games. The Senators have trailed nine times and been tied in five contests this season. This one should be in the Flyers' favor after 20 minutes of play.

Prediction: 1st Period Philadelphia Flyers

Half-Time Total Bet

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In the first period of their road games this season, Ottawa has been outscored by 11 goals (20-9) to this point. The Senators have been outshot by 45 (195-150) in the opening 20 minutes on the road. That gives an average of 1.71 goals per game in the opening 20 minutes for Ottawa's road tilts. Philadelphia has a +2 goal differential (11-9) in the opening period of their home games this season. The Flyers have been outshot by 15 (161-146) in the first 20 minutes of their home games. That gives a typical average of 1.33 goals in the first period of their home games. Look for this one to be scoreless or 1-0 after 20 minutes, falling under the total.

Prediction: 1st Period Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.