Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#37 Boston Bruins -190 vs.
#38 Ottawa Senators 6
Monday, December 9, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
Canadian Tire Cenre, Kanata
Written by Chris Kubala

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#37 Boston
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A pair of teams from the Atlantic Division battle on the ice up north of the border. The Boston Bruins are on the road as they travel to face the Ottawa Senators Monday night. Boston was dropped 4-1 at home by Colorado Saturday night in their last contest. Ottawa comes in off a 4-3 road defeat in the City of Brotherly Love as they fell to the Flyers Saturday afternoon. The Bruins have won each of the last 10 meetings, including a pair this season. In the most recent meeting, Boston took a 2-1 road win on November 27.

Boston Bruins Try to Avoid Three Straight Losses

Boston suffered their first regulation home loss of the season as they were dumped by Colorado Saturday night in the second game of a back to back situation. The Bruins enter this one with a 13-point lead over the Panthers for the division lead. Boston is fourth in goals for as they average 3.50 goals per game this season. The Bruins are second in the league by allowing 2.30 goals per contest on the year. Boston is third in power play percentage as they convert 28.4 percent of their chances with the man advantage. The Bruins are 8th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 84.4 percent of their shorthanded situations this season.

In their last game, Boston took their first regulation home loss in their 18th home game of the season. Playing the second game of a back to back proved to be too much to handle against a Colorado team with momentum. Boston was outshot 9-4 in the opening period but skated off tied at one after 20 minutes of play. The Bruins got on the board first with Chris Wagner’s third of the year at the 13:14 mark off assists from John Moore and Anders Bjork. Boston gave up the equalizer later in the period. In the second stanza, the Bruins were outshot 5-4 and outscored 2-0 to trail 3-1 after 40 minutes. The final period saw Boston with a 12-6 edge in shots but gave up the lone goal of the period to extend their misery. Jaroslav Halak made 16 saves in the loss for the Bruins in a game where the shots were even at 20. Tuukka Rask likely gets the start in this contest.

Ottawa Senators Look to Bounce Back at Home

Ottawa lost for the sixth time in their last seven games as they were dropped by the Flyers Saturday on the road. The Senators are seventh in the Atlantic Division, seven points behind a trio of teams tied for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 21 back of division leader Boston. Ottawa is 24th in the league in goals for as they average 2.63 goals per contest this season. The Senators are 20th in the league as they allow 3.13 goals per game on the year. Ottawa is last in the league with the man advantage as they have converted 9.6 percent (nine of 94) of their chances on the power play this season. The Senators are 12th in penalty killing as they have successfully killed off 82.4 percent of their shorthanded situations this year: they have four shorthanded goals this season.

In their last game, the Senators battled but came up on the short end in a physical battle with the Flyers on the road. Ottawa held a 9-6 edge in shots in the opening period but trailed 2-1 after 20 minutes of action. After falling behind 1-0 in the opening two minutes of the game, the Senators tied the game on Brady Tkachuk’s 10th of the year at the 4:27 mark of the period. Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Connor Brown drew the assists. In the second period, Ottawa owned an 11-8 edge in shots and scored the lone goal of the period to tie the game after 40 minutes. Anthony Duclair scored his 12th of the year, shorthanded and unassisted, at the 13:18 mark of the period. The final period saw Ottawa holding a 10-7 edge in shots on goal but they were outscored 2-1 to take the loss. After falling behind 3-2, Duclair tied the game again for the Senators with his second of the game and 13th of the season at 15:00 off assists from Thomas Chabot and Dylan DeMelo. The momentum didn’t last long as the Flyers scored the go-ahead goal only 11 seconds later. Ottawa was unable to get the equalizer. Craig Anderson started and stopped four of six shots before leaving the game. Anders Nilsson stopped 13 of 15 shots for the Senators in the loss. Ottawa held a 30-21 edge in shots in the game.

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This marks Boston’s third game in four nights here and one has to wonder if that could take a toll on the Bruins. As it stands, Boston has lost just four times in regulation at this point in time, helping them run away in the Atlantic Division. Ottawa has hit the skids of late with six losses in seven games, which came on the heels of a little run that had pushed them into striking distance of the playoff picture. The Senators don’t have the weapons to contend with what the Bruins bring to the table. After back to back losses, Boston is motivated to get back on track. Rask and company earn their third win over Ottawa this season by prevailing here.

Prediction: Boston

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Boston owns a +14 goal differential on the road (44-30) this season despite being outshot by 12 (383-371) in those games. The average road game for the Bruins sees an average of 6.17 goals per game on the board at the final horn. On the flip side, Ottawa has a surprising +6 goal differential (35-29) at home while they outshoot the opposition by 11 (376-365) in those contests. The average Senators' home game puts up an average of 5.33 goals per game this season. Can we expect much from Ottawa in this one?

The under is 5-1 in the Bruins' last six games overall and 5-1 in their last six against teams from the Eastern Conference. Ottawa has seen the under go 5-0 in their last five at home and 4-1 in their last five against Eastern Conference teams. These two teams have gone under the number in four of their last five meetings. Look for this one to fall short of the mark.

Prediction: Under 6

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Prediction: 1st Period Boston Bruins

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Prediction: 1st Period Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.