Monday evening pucks and a pair of teams from the Metro Division will square off as the Pittsburgh Penguins duke it out with the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. The Penguins are off a 5-4 loss to the Lightning on the road, while the Flyers are off a 6-2 home win over the Ducks.
Pittsburgh Can’t Find A Groove
The Pittsburgh Penguins are not playing well at the moment and they have been very inconsistent all year. Pittsburgh comes in having lost their last four games in a row and eight of their last 11 to fall down to the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. They need to turn things around quickly as the Hurricanes are just one point behind and the Sabres are just two points behind. The offense has struggled of late as they have averaged just 2.00 gpg over their last four games. The Pens are off a 5-4 loss to the Lightning on the road and they have now allowed 4.00 gpg over their last 10 games. Scoring in the loss was Garrett Wilson, which was the first of his career, Jared McCann, which was his 10th of the year, Bryan Rust, which was his 15th and Tanner Pearson, which was his 9th.
Coach Sullivan: “I thought we fought hard all night. We battled, we pushed, but we gave them some high quality opportunities that beat us. Tampa is a good team.”
— Pittsburgh Penguins (@penguins) February 10, 2019
Absorbing the loss to the Bolts was Casey DeSmith, who allowed five goals on 34 shot attempts to fall to 13-15 with a 2.78 GAA on the year. Matt Murray will get the nod in this one and he has gone 15-10 with a 2.97 GAA and a .909 save percentage on the year, including 9-3 with a 2.25 GAA and a .932 save percentage on the road. In his career, he has gone 3-2 with a 3.00 GAA against the Flyers. The Penguins have gone 13-15 on the road and they have averaged 3.36 gpg and have allowed 2.96 gpg in those games. Pittsburgh enters this game ranked 7th in the league in power play conversions at 23.5% and 10th in penalty kill at 82.0%.
Flyers Get Back On Track
The Philadelphia Flyers had a long eight-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 shootout loss to the Kings at home. Normally when a team has a winning streak broken, they lose the next game as well, but luckily for the Flyers, they were facing the Ducks in their next game. The Ducks have been getting crushed of late and the Flyers kept that going with a 6-2 home win. Philadelphia had dug themselves a hole earlier in the year and despite their recent run, they are still six points out of the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference. The Flyers have outscored their foes 38-21 over their last 10 games. Scoring in the win over the Ducks was Phil Varone (3rd), Sean Couturier (23rd), Michael Raffl (4th), Oskar Lindblom (8th), Nolan Patrick (11th), and Travis Konecny (15th).
"Is that what it sounds like for me?"
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) February 7, 2019
Snatching up the win over the Ducks was Carter Hart, who stopped 30 of the 32 shots that he faced to improve to 11-6 with a 2.45 GAA and a .926 save percentage on the year, including 9-3 with a 2.33 GAA and a .932 save percentage here at home. This will be his first meeting with the Penguins. The Flyers have gone 14-14 here at home for the year and they have averaged 2.96 gpg and have allowed 3.04 gpg in those games. The Flyers check in ranked 24th in power play conversions at 16.5% and 28th in penalty kill at 76.2%.
- 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- 9-3 in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest
- 39-16 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Penguins have been struggling while the Flyers have been extremely hot so naturally, I will be siding with the Penguins. This has been a year when things just don’t make sense and that is a good reason to take the Pens. Matt Murray has struggled at home this year, but on the road, he has gone 9-3 with a 2.25 GAA. Carter Hutton has played very well for the Flyers, but the Pens still have a strong offense and they are in desperation mode. The Penguins are 5-0 in their last six trips to Philly, while the road team has won the last six between these teams. Look for the Penguins to grab a much-needed win in this one.
Prediction: Pittsburgh -120
Full-Game Total Pick
Let’s look for this one to go Under the total. Matt Murray has not been good at home at all, but out on the road, he has a 2.25 GAA, while the Flyers have averaged just 2.50 gpg in division play this year. Pittsburgh has averaged just 2.80 gpg over their last 10 games and the Flyers have allowed just 2.10 gpg over the same stretch. The Under is 8-3-2 in Pittsburgh last 13 vs. the Metropolitan and 5-1 in Philadelphia’s last six games following a win.
Prediction: Under 6