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New Jersey Devils vs. Philadelphia Flyers,
2-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#9 New Jersey
Devils 5.5
#10 Philadelphia
Flyers -155

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Jersey Devils

27 - 28

27-28
ATS
29-25
O/U
2
PPG
3
OPPG

Philadelphia Flyers

28 - 28

28-28
ATS
30-24
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Tuesday evening on the ice and a pair of teams from the Metro Division will square off as the New Jersey Devils duke it out with the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. The Devils are off a 5-3 home loss to the Bruins, while the Flyers are off a 4-1 road win over the Golden Knights. Goalie Probables: The Devils will be sending out Keith Kinkaid in this one and the Flyers will counter with Brian Elliott.

Devils Need To Get Back In The Win Column

The New Jersey Devils have really had a hard time finding the win column of late as they come into this game having lost their last four games in a row and 14 of their last 19 games after falling to the Bruins at home by a score of 5-3 on Sunday. The Devils are still, in the 7th spot in the Eastern Conference playoff standings, but their lead over the Rangers in the 11th spot is just three points and they also lead the Blue Jackets and Islanders, who are tied for 9th, by just two points. The Devils are very much in jeopardy of missing the postseason for the 6th year in a row. They were tied 3-3 with the Bruins as the game headed to the 3rd period, but Boston scored two goals in the final 8:05 of the game to walk away with the win. Scoring in the loss was Miles Wood, which was his 15th of the year, Taylor Hall, which was his 21st and Kyle Palmieri, which was his 5th in his last seven games and 13th of the year. The Devils have gone 12-15 on the road for the year and have averaged 2.96 gpg and have allowed 3.19 gpg in those games.

Taking the loss against the Bruins was Eddie Lack, who allowed four goals on 26 shot attempts to fall to 1-3 with a 4.55 GAA and a .833 save percentage on the year. Keith Kinkaid will get the nod in this one and he has gone 10-9 with a 3.29 GAA and a .892 save percentage on the year, including 6-7 with a 3.54 GAA and a .895 save percentage on the road. In his career, he has gone 17-28 with a 3.03 GAA on the road and 14-16 with a 3.01 GAA against the Metro Division, while against the Flyers he has gone 5-1 with a 2.11 GAA.  

New Jersey enters this contest ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 2.91 gpg, while also ranking 18th in shots taken (31.6 spg) and 17th in power play conversions, converting on 19.9% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 22nd in goals allowed, giving up 3.02 gpg, while also ranking 12th in shots allowed (31.6 spg) and 14th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 18.4% of their chances.

Flyers Grab Stunning Road Win Over Vegas

The vegas Golden Knights are in the first year of existence, but they have been the 2nd best team in the league so far and the best home team, but that did not phase the Philadelphia Flyers at all as they walked out of T-Mobile Arena with a 4-1 on Sunday night. The Flyers have now won their last four games in a row and have moved into the 5th slot in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. They are just one point behind the Penguins for 4th place. The Flyers were down 1-0 to the Golden Knights, but they scored the final four goals in the game to walk away with the huge upset win and will now look to avoid a letdown as they host a struggling New Jersey squad. Scoring in the win was Sean Couturier, which was his team-leading 28th of the year, Andrew MacDonald, which was his 3rd, Claude Giroux, which was his 18th and Radko Gudas, which was his 1st of the year. The Flyers have gone 14-14 here at home for the year and they have averaged 2.96 gpg and have allowed 2.86 gpg in those games.

Having a very good game against the 2nd best offense in the league was Michal Neuvirth, who stopped 38 of the 39 shots that he faced in the game to move to 7-9 with a 2.50 GAA and a .917 save percentage on the year, while here at home he has gone 4-6 with a 2.47 GAA and a .917 save percentage. In his career, he has gone 59-50 with a 2.47 GAA in his home games and 12-19 with a 2.67 GAA against the Metro Division, while against the Devils he has gone 8-8 with a 2.13 GAA. Brian Elliott (Questionable) may get the nod in this one and he has gone 21-18 with a 2.72 GAA and a .908 save percentage on the year overall, including 10-8 with a 2.92 GAA and a .895 save percentage here at home. In his career, he has gone 157-78 with a 2.39 GAA in his home games and 19-25 with a 2.84 GAA against the Metro Division, while against the Devils he has gone 5-4 with a 2.69 GAA.  

The Flyers have been above average on offense as they come into this game ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 2.86 gpg, while also ranking 17th in shots taken (31.6 spg) and 6th in power play conversions, converting on 21.7% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice, they have been a bit below average as they come in ranked 16th in goals allowed, giving up 2.80 gpg, while also ranking 3rd in shots allowed (30.0 spg) and 29th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 25.4% of their chances.

Trends

New Jersey is:

  • 18-40 in their last 58 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
  • 2-10 in their last 12 road games

Philadelphia is:

  • 5-1 in their last six after allowing two goals or less in their previous game
  • 7-2 in their last nine games playing on one days rest  

These teams are heading in opposite directions, but Keith Kinkaid does have solid numbers against the Flyers in his career and the Devils have gone 20-9 their last 29 games in this series. Still, the Flyers have momentum right now as they have won their last four games in a row, while the Devils have lost their last four in a row and 14 of their last 19. Elliott or Neuvirth have played well at home this year and Neuvirth has a 2.13 GAA against the Devils in his career, while Elliott has a decent 2.69 GAA against the Devils in his career. This game is all about momentum and the Flyers have and they should keep it rolling with a solid win over a slumping New Jersey team.  

Pick: Philadelphia -155

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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