Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#55 Montreal Canadiens -210 vs.
#56 Detroit Red Wings 5.5
Tuesday, February 18, 2020 at 7:35pm EST
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Written by David Hess

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National Hockey League action on Tuesday evening and a pair of teams from the Atlantic Division will square off as the Montreal Canadiens invade Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan to grapple with the Detroit Red Wings. The Red Wings have taken the first three meetings between these teams this year. The Habs have gone 27-34 on the year while the Red Wings are 14-47 so far.

The Habs Are In Trouble

The Montreal Canadiens have not had a good year so far as they enter the game at 27-34 and nine points out of the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. The Habs still have 20 games to go, after this one, but they are not playing well at the moment, having lost their last four games in a row. Montreal is hoping that a game against the worst team in the league will get them back on track, but it will not be east as the Hans have lost all three games against the Red Wings this year. The offense has been their problem of late as they have averaged just 1.80 gpg over their last five games. In their last game, they did score three goals against the Stars but they also gave up four of them in a loss in OT. Scoring in the loss was Joel Armia, which was his 15th of the year, Jordan Weal, which was his 6th of the year and Nick Cousins, which was his 9th. The Habs had a 3-0 lead 6:23 into the 2nd period but the rest of the game belonged to the Stars.

Absorbing the loss to the Stars was Carey Price, who allowed four goals on 26 shot attempts to fall to 24-26 with a 2.74 GAA on the year while out on the road he has gone 12-10 with a 2.67 GAA. In his career, he has gone 151-152 with a 2.65 GAA on the road and 49-53 with a 2.36 GAA, plus 15-7 with a 1.95 GAA against the Red Wings.

The Canadiens enter this game ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 2.95 gpg and 21st in power-play conversions at 18.8% while on the defensive end of the ice, they are 16th in the league in goals allowed at 3.07 gpg and 20th in penalty kill at 78.8.

The Red Wings Have No Offense at The Moment.

It has been a miserable season for the Detroit Red Wings as they enter this game with just 14 wins and 32 points. Both are the fewest in the league and their point total of 32 is 15 points less than the next closest team, which is the Los Angeles Kings, who have 47. Now think about this. The Red Wings have gone 3-0 against the Habs this year and 11-47 against the rest of the league. In an otherwise horrific season, the Red Wings have a chance at accomplishing something positive as they seek to sweep the Habs in the season series. If Detroit hopes to pull off the feat, then they will need their offense to return from its doldrums of late. In their last nine games, the Red Wings have scored one goal or less six times and they have notched a total of 11 goals over that nine-game stretch. That is just pathetic and they are now averaging less than 2.00 gpg for the season, which is even more pathetic. In their last game, Detroit lost at Pittsburgh by a score of 5-1 and scoring their lone goal was Valtteri Filppula, which was his 5th of the year. That goal gave the Red Wings a 1-0 lead just 5:37 into the game, but their offense took a hiatus the rest of the way.

Taking the loss was Jimmy Howard, who allowed four goals on 16 shot attempts before being replaced by Jonathan Bernier. Howard is now a miserable 2-24 with a 4.08 GAA on the year while here at home he has gone 1-11 with a 3.53 GAA. In his career, he has gone 142-139 with a 2.48 GAA in his home games and 28-39 with a 2.85 GAA during the month of February, plus 4-12 with a 4.03 GAA against the Habs. We may see Jonathan Bernier in this one and he has gone 12-19 with a 2.88 GAA on the year, including 8-8 with a 2.73 GAA here at home. In his career, he has gone 81-70 with a 2.70 GAA in his home games and 20-29 with a 2.57 GAA during the month of February, plus 4-14 with a 3.11 GAA against the Canadiens.

The Red Wings enter this game ranked 31st in the league in scoring at 1.98 gpg and 29th in power-play conversions at 14.6% while on the defensive end of the ice, they are 31st in the league in goals allowed at 3.77 gpg and 27th in penalty kill at 75.5%.

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The Red Wings couldn't possibly pull off a 4-0 sweep of the Canadiens this year, could they? I going to give a big emphatic NO!!! The Habs have lost their last four games in a row and they have struggled to score of late but the Red Wings are clearly the worst team in the league and they have notched a total of 11 goals over their last nine games. Carey Price has gone 12-10 with a 2.67 GAA on the road this year and 15-7 with a 1.95 GAA against the Red Wings in his career. It looks as if Jimmy Howard will get the nod and he has horrible numbers, going 2-24 with a 4.08 GAA overall, including 1-11 with a 3.53 GAA here at home while against the Hans he has gone 4-14 with a 3.11 GAA. Montreal still has a shot at the postseason and that makes this a must-win game for them. they have the offensive edge and a huge edge in the crease and that will al propel them to their first win over Detroit this year.

Prediction: Montreal -185

Full-Game Total Pick

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Jimmy Howard has horrible numbers this year as he has a 4.08 GAA overall and a 3.53 GAA at home but he will be facing a Montreal offense that has sputtered of late. the Habs enter this game having averaged just 1.80 gpg over their last five games and they have scored a total of six goals in the three games against the Red Wings this year. On the flip side, we have Carey Price, who has a 2.667 GAA on the road and a 1.95 GAA against Detroit in his career, he will be facing a Detroit offense that has been pathetic of late, averaging just 1.22 gpg over their last nine games. They have scored one goal or less in six of those games. Detroit will not contribute enough for the game to go Over the total. The Under is 8-2 in Montreal's last 10 games as a favorite and 10-1-1 in Detroit's last 12 vs. the Eastern Conference. That seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.