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Anaheim vs. Arizona Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 3-14-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#15 Anaheim
Ducks 5.5
#16 Arizona
Coyotes -140

Thursday, March 14, 2019 at 10:08pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Anaheim Ducks

28 - 43

28-43
ATS
24-43
O/U
2
PPG
3
OPPG

Arizona Coyotes

35 - 35

35-35
ATS
30-37
O/U
2
PPG
2
OPPG

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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

A pair of teams from the Pacific Division take the ice in the Valley of the Sun seeking to pick up two points. The Anaheim Ducks are on the road as they travel to face the Arizona Coyotes Thursday night. Anaheim comes in off a 3-2 home win over Nashville Tuesday night in their last contest. Arizona shut down St. Louis 3-1 on the road in their last game Tuesday night. The teams split four previous meetings this season with the road team prevailing in each contest. In the most recent matchup, it was the Ducks taking a 3-1 victory on March 5.

Anaheim Ducks Look to Pick Up Back to Back Wins

Anaheim knocked off Nashville at home Tuesday night for their fourth win in the last six games. The Ducks enter this one in seventh place in the Pacific Division standings. Anaheim is 16 points behind Vegas for the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Pacific Division and 10 points behind Arizona for the second wild card. Anaheim is 31st in the league with 2.27 goals per game. Anaheim is 16th in the league in goals against as they allow 3.01 goals per contest. The Ducks are 25th on the power play, scoring on 16 percent of their chances with the man advantage. Anaheim stands 21st in the league in penalty killing as they kill off 79.5 percent of their shorthanded situations.

Even with their recent mini-surge, one has to think that the Ducks’ playoff chances are remote at best. Anaheim is 10 points back with 11 games to go so it would take a minor miracle at this point to get back in the race. On Tuesday night, the Ducks did enough at home to get the win over the Predators though, pocketing two points. Anaheim was outshot 9-8 in the opening period but skated off with a 2-0 edge on the scoreboard. Ryan Getzlaf opened the scoring with his 12th of the year at 3:39 off an assist from Josh Manson to give the Ducks the 1-0 edge. Later in the period, it was Jakob Silfverberg doubling the lead to 2-0 with his 20th of the season at 10:56 of the stanza. Richard Rakell and Jacob Larsson drew the assists on that marker. The second period saw Anaheim outshot by a 10-8 margin but they tallied the lone goal to take a 3-0 advantage after 40 minutes. Daniel Sprong tallied his 12th of the season and scored in his third straight game at the 13:59 mark. Corey Perry and Hampus Lindholm drew the assists on that goal. In the final period, the Ducks went into a defensive shell and it nearly cost them. Anaheim was outshot 15-2 and outscored 2-0 as they allowed a pair of power play goals 58 seconds apart. The Ducks settled down and rode out the final 4:46 to get the win. John Gibson made 32 saves for Anaheim, who was outshot 34-18 in the game: he’s expected to get the call between the pipes here.

Arizona Coyotes Shooting to Maintain Playoff Position

Arizona clipped St. Louis on the road for their third win in four games as they continue a late-season run of strong play. The Coyotes enter this contest six points behind the Golden Knights for the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Pacific Division. The team held a one-point lead over Minnesota for the second wild card spot. Arizona is 28th in the league as they’ve average 2.61 goals per game so far while the team is 9th in scoring defense by allowing 2.79 goals per game. The Coyotes come into this one 24th on the power play as they have cashed in on 16.7 percent of their chances with the man advantage. Arizona is 3rd on the penalty kill as they have successfully killed off 84.8 percent of their shorthanded situations on the season.

The Coyotes won for the ninth time in 11 games and put the 7-1 shellacking by the Blackhawks on the road in the rear-view mirror by stopping St. Louis Tuesday night. Arizona tries to maintain that momentum in a return home and pick up an important two points in the crowded wild-card race in the Western Conference. The Coyotes were outshot 12-5 in the opening period in the Gateway City but skated off scoreless after 20 minutes of action. In the second period, Arizona was outshot 10-7 but had the only goal of the period. Richard Panik lit the lamp with his 13th goal of the season with an unassisted tally at 1:05 to give the Coyotes a 1-0 advantage that they carried to the dressing room after two periods. In the third period, Arizona was outshot 18-10 but outscored St. Louis 2-1 to seal the victory. Vinnie Hinostroza struck for his 12th of the year just 23 seconds into the third period to give Arizona a 2-0 lead: Brad Richardson drew the assist on the goal. After the Blues made it a one-goal game with 1:11 to play on the power play, the Coyotes stiffened. Oliver Ekman-Larsson hit the empty net at 19:38 for his 10th of the year to salt away the win. Darcy Kuemper drew the assist on the marker. Kuemper made 39 saves for Arizona, who was outshot 40-22 in the contest: he’ll be back in net here.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The road team has prevailed in all four meetings this season but all good things have to come to an end. Anaheim is dead last in the league in goals per game and they are atrocious at finding the back of the net on the road. The Ducks are 13-21-1 on the road and it’s hard to have much faith in a team with such a razor thin margin for error. Anaheim can’t afford to give up much defensively because they haven’t been able to get things going on the other end of the ice. Arizona is hot right now with nine wins in their last 11, including a big road win over the Blues. The Coyotes see themselves holding a playoff spot and look to maintain it. They take advantage of the anemic Ducks attack and get the win.

Prediction: Arizona Coyotes -141

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

We’re definitely not looking at a pair of the league’s elite offensive attacks by any stretch of the imagination. No one tuning in will be expecting an offensive bonanza like we’d get from Tampa Bay and Toronto, for example. Anaheim puts up a putrid 1.97 goals per game on the road this season and in divisional matchups, the number drops even further. The Ducks, in games against fellow Pacific Division squads, musters only 1.81 goals per game. That makes Arizona’s 2.69 goals per game at home and 2.6 goals per game in divisional contests look like Wayne Gretzky with the Oilers in the mid-1980s production. Each team has scored more than three goals in just one of the four meetings this season and they came in the same game: the Coyotes took a 5-4 overtime road win on December 29, 2018. Can either team crack that number in this one?

The under is 4-0-1 in their last five on Thursday, 5-1 in their last six on one day of rest, 10-2 in their last 12 against Western Conference teams and 9-3 in their last 12 overall. Arizona has seen the under go 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-2-1 in their last nine on Thursday. The under is 5-1 in their last six meetings and 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Arizona. Given the way both teams have struggled lighting the lamp this season, this one falls short of the number.

Prediction: Under 5.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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