Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#55 Ottawa Senators vs.
#56 Toronto Maple Leafs
Saturday, April 10, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Written by Valdis Pans

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A five-game winning streak and a nine-game point run bring the Toronto Maple Leafs (1st in North Division) to a domestic encounter against the Ottawa Senators (7th in the North), who have triumphed in just one of their last six matchups.

Sens Lose Three In Row

The current losing skid of the Ottawa Senators (13-24-4) expanded to three straight outings (0-3-0) after the team dropped a 3-1 decision against the Edmonton Oilers at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Connor Brown (12 goals, 22 points this year) extended his goal streak to six fixtures after burying the only snipe for the Sens, who tied the game at 1-1 at the end of the second period before the Oilers broke the tie at 12:58 of the final third, adding an empty-netter with 10 seconds remaining. With that, Ottawa lost its nine-game season series against the Oilers with a 0-9-0 record, being outscored 41-18. The team is 1-4-1 in its last six overall matchups.

Goalie Anton Forsberg stopped 20 shots on Thursday and has now gone 1-2-1 for the season with a 2.99 GAA and a .918 save percentage. He has picked up a 0-0-2 past tally against the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 3.27 GAA and a .917 save percentage. The Senators, meanwhile, are netting the 7th lowest number of goals per game this year (2.56), while conceding the absolute highest quantity on the defensive end (3.71). They are 27th in power play with a 14.7% success rate and 26th in penalty kill with 76.0% effectiveness.

Leafs Expand Point Run

The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-10-3) won for the fifth consecutive time, extending their current point streak to nine outings (8-0-1) following a 3-2 victory against the Montreal Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. The Leafs were outshot 34-32 and failed to convert on both of their opportunities with the man-advantage, but went 2-for-2 on penalty kill and scored twice in the third period to give Toronto a 3-1 lead after the Habs tied the proceedings at 1-1 in the opening frame, eventually holding on for a win after Montreal cut it to 3-2 with 2:15 remaining on the clock. Auston Matthews (28 goals, 48 points this year), TJ Brodie (1 goal, 13 points) and Zach Hyman (13 goals, 28 points) all scored for the Leafs.

Goalie Jack Campbell made 32 saves on Wednesday to set a new Toronto record with his 10th consecutive victory. He has posted a 10-0-0 tally for the ongoing campaign with a 1.57 GAA and a .944 save percentage and has registered a 3-1-1 career record against the Ottawa Senators with a 2.82 GAA and a .893 save percentage. The Maple Leafs, meanwhile, are scoring the 3rd highest amount of goals per game this season (3.30), while giving up the 6th lowest quantity in their defensive zone (2.50). The team is 10th in power play with a 23.5% conversion rate and 18th in penalty kill with 78.5% proficiency.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Senators may have lost five of their past six contests, but have not looked like pushovers lately. In fact, the performance Ottawa delivered in its most recent 3-1 defeat to the Edmonton Oilers would have definitely brought a victory on any other night. Yes, the Maple Leafs are in excellent shape at the moment, currently riding a five-game winning streak, having collected points in nine straight fixtures with eight triumphs. Still, the Sens are more than capable of holding their own against them. Ottawa is just one win away from tying their nine-game season series at 4-4, currently holding a 3-3-1 record. And even if a win for some reason is to elude the Senators this time, do back them to keep things tight on the puck line! Out of the most recent 14 meetings between the two sides, a whopping 11 would have already cashed in on a goal-advantage of +1.5 of the Sens, as would have eight of Ottawa’s last 11 contests overall.

Prediction: Ottawa Senators +1.5 (+120)

Full-Game Total Pick

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This series has been delivering goals on a regular basis, with 24 of the last 35 overall meetings between the Maple Leafs and the Senators, and eight of their most recent 10 encounters in Toronto all going over the total. The very last four road matchups of Ottawa have also witnessed a ton of goals, averaging no less than eight snipes per fixture, while five of the past eight home outings of the Maple Leafs have all finished on the high-scoring side, posting an average of seven tallies per game. So, do bank on their upcoming meeting to go past the set goal-mark once again!

Prediction: Over 6.5
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Written By Valdis Pans , "Valdis Pans"

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