Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#67 Buffalo Sabres vs.
#68 Philadelphia Flyers
Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 2:05pm EDT
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by The Dominator

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Sunday afternoon on the NHL ice and we will see a pair of teams from the East division square off as the Buffalo Sabres invade Wells Fargo Center to battle it out with the Philadelphia Flyers. The Sabres enter this game at 9-31 on the year while the Flyers have gone

The Flyers lead the season series 5-2.

The Sabres Fall Short Against The Caps

The Buffalo Sabres continue to have a very rough season. Buffalo has just nine wins on the year, which is the fewest in the league and their 25 points are also the fewest in the league. The Sabres just don't have the offense or the goaltending to compete in the league at the moment. The offense has looked a bit better of late as the Sabres have scored at least three goals in five of their last seven games. Shootout goals are not counted. They have averaged 3.42 gpg over that stretch. The Sabres have scored six goals in both of their wins over the Flyers this year, but they have scored a total of seven goals in the five losses against them. Buffalo has been shutout seven times this year, and three of those have been by the Flyers.

In their last game, they fell to the Washington Capitals at home by a score of 4-3. Scoring in the loss was Henri Jokiharju, which was his 3rd of the year, Casey Mittelstadt, which was his 5th, and Tage Thompson, which was his 4th. Absorbing the loss was Dustin Tokarski, who allowed four goals on 33 shot attempts to fall to 0-5 with a 3.86 GAA on the year. Linus Ullmark will be back in the crease for this one, and he has gone 8-9 with a 2.62 GAA on the year, including 4-4 with a 2.60 GAA on the road. In his career, he has gone 22-29 with a 2.73 GAA on the road and 2-2 with a 2.99 GAA against the Flyer

Team Stats & Rankings: Buffalo enters this contest ranked 29th in scoring at 2.25 gpg, 28th in shots per game at 27.3, and 1th in power-play conversions at 22.2%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 29th in goals allowed at 3.48 gpg, 29th in shots per game allowed at 32.3, and 21st in penalty kill at 78.3%.

Flyers Nab Nice Win Over Bruins

The Philadelphia Flyers have had their issues with the Boston Bruins this year, but they enter this game off a 3-2 home win over them yesterday. After losing the first five meetings with the Bruins this year, the Flyers have now taken two of the last three against them. It has not been a good year for the Flyers, who are currently in 6th place in the East and 14 points out of first in the East. It has been a bigger struggle for Philadelphia of late as they have gone 8-14 over their last 22 games and have not won back-to-back games over that stretch. They have a shot of doing so here as the Flyers are 5-2 against the Sabres on the year. Philadelphia would like to get their offense going as they have averaged just 2.17 gpg over their last six games.

Scoring in the win over the Bruins was Travis Konecny, which was his 9th of the year, Shayne Gostisbehere, which was his 7th, and Sean Couturier, which was his 12th.Snatching up the win was Brian Elliott, who allowed two goals on 32 shot attempts to improve to 11-6 with a 2.87 GAA on the year. Carter Hart will return to the crease for this one, and it has not been a pretty season for the 3rd-year goalie. Hart has gone just 8-15 with a 3.78 GAA on the year, including 3-8 with a 3.82 GAA here at home. He is 34-23 with a 2.51 GAA in his home games and 3-1 with a 2.37 GAA against the Sabres in his career. This year Hart has a 3-0 win against Buffalo and a 6-1 loss.

Team Stats & Rankings: Philadelphia enters this contest ranked 13th in scoring at 3.00 gpg, 21st in shots per game at 29.5, and 19th in power-play conversions at 19.7%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 30th in goals allowed at 3.54 gpg, 11th in shots per game allowed at 28.9, and 29th in penalty kill at 73.2%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Which Carter Hart will we see in this one? The one that beat Buffalo 3-0 or the one that lost to them 6-1? It is hard to say as he has been very erratic this year. Still, Hart will be facing a Buffalo team that is 4-22 in their last 26 games overall and just 5-16 in their last 21 games here in Philadelphia. Buffalo is a bad team and while Philadelphia has struggled of late, they do have eight wins in their last 22 games and they come in off a very nice 3-2 win over the Bruins. Philly still has a shot at the playoffs and these are the games that they have to win if they hope to keep their playoff hopes alive. Yes, the Flyers are playing this game on no rest but they are still the better team, especially at home. Take Philly to win this one.

Prediction: Philadelphia -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The Sabres have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this year and they have been blanked three times by the Flyers. Still, their offense has been a bit better of late, averaging 3.42 gpg over their last seven games and Cart Hart has struggled all year in the crease. Hart has a 3.82 GAA here at home and I can see the Sabres notching a few goals against him in this one. The Flyers have struggled on offense of late, but they have averaged 3.00 gpg in their last six games against the Sabres and Buffalo has allowed 3.37 gpg on the road. Lastly, the Over is 24-9-2 in the last 35 meetings between these teams here in Philadelphia. That seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Over 5.5

Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.