Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#13 Arizona Coyotes vs.
#14 Colorado Avalanche
Monday, April 12, 2021 at 9:05pm EDT
Pepsi Center, Denver
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of teams from the West Division take the ice in the Mile-High City looking to pick up a victory. The Arizona Coyotes are on the road as they travel to take on the Colorado Avalanche Monday night. Arizona was on the road in Vegas to face the Golden Knights Sunday afternoon. The Coyotes lost the first meeting of that two-game set as they fell 7-4 Friday night. Colorado was on the road as they traveled to face Anaheim Sunday evening to close a two-game series. The Avalanche took a 2-0 win on Friday night in the first game of the two-game set. In the season series, the Avalanche owns a 5-1-1 advantage, including a 9-3 victory at home in the most recent matchup on March 31.

Arizona Coyotes Hoping to Gain Ground in Playoff Picture

Arizona was on the road to close a two-game set with Vegas Sunday afternoon hoping to snap a two-game slide. The Coyotes entered Sunday fifth in the West Division, 15 points behind the division-leading Avalanche and one point behind the Blues for the fourth and final playoff spot in the division. Arizona comes into this game 21st in the league in scoring as they average 2.71 goals per game on the season. The Coyotes are tied for 21st in goals against as they allow 3.10 goals a night. Arizona is 21st with the man advantage as they convert 19.6% of their chances on the power play this season. The Coyotes are 10th in penalty killing as they successfully work through 82% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In Friday’s contest against Vegas, the Coyotes struggled to keep the puck out of their own net and it cost them another game. The opening period saw Arizona outshot by a 22-8 margin and they were down 4-0 on the scoreboard less than nine minutes into the game. That was the score after 20 minutes of play. In the second period, the Coyotes held an 11-10 shot advantage but saw both teams score once to trail 5-1 after two periods. After giving up a goal to trail 5-0, Nick Schmaltz got Arizona on the board with a power play marker, his 10th of the season, at 19:07 off assists from Alex Goligoski and Conor Garland to make it 5-1. In the final period, Arizona held a 7-5 edge in shots and outscored Vegas 3-2 but it wasn’t enough to get them a win. Dryden Hunt scored his third of the season at 2:42 off assists from Johan Larsson and Phil Kessel to make it a 5-2 game. Less than a minute later, at 3:40, Clayton Keller scored his 12th off assists from Kessel and Christian Dvorak to make it a 5-3 game. After Vegas restored their three-goal edge, Michael Bunting scored his fifth of the season at 9:59 off assists from Kessel and Schmaltz to get within 6-4 before giving up an empty net goal to close things out. Adin Hill stopped 27 of 32 shots before getting the hook after two periods. Ivan Prosvetov stopped three of four shots in the third period after coming on in relief. Prosvetov is expected to get the start in goal in this contest.

Colorado Avalanche Return Home to Close Back-to-Back

Colorado was on the road Sunday evening to face Anaheim in their most recent contest before returning home to play the second half of this back-to-back set. The Avalanche entered Sunday holding a four-point edge over Vegas for the top spot in the West Division. They were 15 points ahead of fifth-place Arizona to remain on the right side of the playoff cut line. Colorado stands 1st in the league in scoring as they put up an average of 3.55 goals per game on the year. The Avalanche is third in goals against by giving up 2.35 goals a night on the season. Colorado is tied for 8th in the league in power play success as they cash in 23.3% of their chances with the man advantage. The Avalanche stands 6th in the league in penalty killing by successfully navigating 83.7% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In Friday’s game, the Avalanche rebounded from getting torched for eight goals in a loss to the Wild by blanking the Ducks. The opening period of play saw the Avalanche hold a 9-8 edge in shots on goal with neither side lighting the lamp. In the second period, Colorado saw the shots even at 12 in the stanza and scored the lone goal to take a 1-0 lead after 40 minutes of play. Valeri Nicushkin opened the scoring with his ninth of the year at 17:12 off assists from Ryan Graves and Tyson Jost. The third period saw Colorado with a 14-8 edge in shots on goal and they tallied the lone marker to earn the win. Mikko Rantanen scored his 23rd of the season into an empty net at 19:26 off an assist from Nathan MacKinnon. Jonas Johansson made 28 saves for Colorado, who held a 35-28 edge in shots on goal, in the shutout victory. He started again Sunday with the expectation that either Philipp Grubauer or the recently acquired Devan Dubnyk will be between the pipes here.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams are going to be logging the second game of a back-to-back and their third game in four nights here. That’s going to take a toll on both teams. The problem for Arizona is that they’ll also be fighting the altitude, which can make it tougher to breathe thanks to the thin air. Goaltending has been a major issue for the Coyotes since Darcy Kuemper and Antti Raanta went down. That’s not a good thing when you’re facing a team like the Avalanche, who leads the league in goals per game. Colorado has quality depth throughout their lineup and in goal, which is something the Coyotes lack. Give the Avalanche the upper hand in this contest as they earn the win.

Prediction: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-120)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Arizona has seen the over go 24-16-1 in their contests this season. The Coyotes have seen an average of 5.80 goals per game in their slate this season. That number climbs up to 6.05 goals per game as the road team this year. Colorado has seen the under hit in 21 of their 40 games this season. The average total for the Avalanche has been 5.90 goals per game though that number edges up slightly to 5.91 goals a night on the road. In the meetings this season, we’ve seen the teams combine for five, eight, five, three, six, nine and 12 goals. With suspect goaltending for Arizona and the Avalanche’s offensive onslaught, this one ends up over the mark.

Prediction: Over 5.5

Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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