Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#27 Tampa Bay Lightning vs.
#28 Nashville Predators
Tuesday, April 13, 2021 at 8:05pm EDT
Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of Central Division teams take the ice in search of two points in the Music City. The Tampa Bay Lightning are on the road as they travel to face the Nashville Predators Tuesday night. Tampa Bay comes in off a 3-0 road victory over Nashville Saturday night in their most recent contest. Nashville was in action on Sunday night as they played the second game of a back-to-back set. The Predators knocked off the Stars 3-2 in a shootout at home in that contest to get back in the win column. In the season series, the Lightning have won six of the seven meetings after earning the shutout victory on Saturday night.

Tampa Bay Lightning Looking to Extend Dominance of Predators

Tampa Bay blanked Nashville Saturday night in their latest game to win their second straight after a stretch that saw them drop five of seven. The Lightning entered Monday tied with the Hurricanes for the top spot in the Central Division standings. They stood 15 points clear of fifth-place Chicago to remain on the right side of the cut line for the postseason. Tampa Bay stands third in the league in goals for as they average 3.41 goals per contest this season. The Lightning are fifth in the league in goals-against as they allow only 2.44 goals per game on the year. Tampa Bay is 6th in power-play success as they convert 24.8% of their opportunities with the man advantage this year. The Lightning are 9th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate through 82.4% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In Saturday’s game, Tampa Bay weathered an early storm and came out the other side with the victory. The Lightning was outshot 18-5 in the opening period but skated off with a 1-0 advantage on the scoreboard after 20 minutes. Ross Colton gave Tampa Bay the only goal they would need with his seventh of the year at 6:45 off assists from Mikhail Sergachev and Yanni Gourde. In the second period, the Lightning outshot the Predators 15-8 and scored the lone goal of the period to take a 2-0 lead after 40 minutes. Erik Cernak scored his second of the year at 14:04 off assists from Ondrej Palat and Brayden Point. The final period saw the Lightning hold a 14-10 edge in shots on goal and scored the only goal of the period to put the game away. Gourde hit the empty net with his 14th of the year, unassisted, at the 19:14 mark. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 36 saves for the Lightning, who were outshot 36-34, in the shutout win. He’s expected to get the start in goal again here.

Nashville Predators Try to Split Two-Game Set with Lightning

Nashville bounced back from their shutout loss to Tampa Bay as they outlasted Dallas in a shootout Sunday. They’ll look to earn a split of their two-game set with the Lightning here. The Predators entered Monday fourth in the Central Division, 11 points behind Carolina and Tampa Bay for the division lead and four points ahead of Chicago for the final playoff spot. Nashville is tied for 27th in the league in goals for as they average 2.49 goals per game this year. The Predators are tied for 14th in the league in goals-against as they allow an average of 2.81 goals a night. Nashville is 15th in power play success as they successfully convert on 20.3% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Predators are a dismal tied for 28th in the league in penalty killing as they manage to get through a paltry 75% of their shorthanded situations.

The Predators managed to shake off tired legs in the second game of a back-to-back as they dropped the Stars Sunday night. In the opening period, Nashville was outshot 9-8 with both teams scoring once to leave the game even after 20 minutes of play. After giving up the opening goal, Ryan Ellis scored his third of the year at 10:57 off an assist from Luke Kunin to tie the game up. In the second period, the shots were 7-5 in favor of Dallas with both teams scoring once to leave the game tied after 40 minutes. Yakov Trenin gave Nashville a 2-1 lead with his fourth of the year at 2:09 off an assist from Colton Sissons. They allowed the equalizer later in the period. In the third period, the Predators were outshot 9-4 with neither side scoring, leaving things deadlocked at the end of regulation. During overtime, Nashville held a 3-1 shot advantage with neither side scoring. In the shootout, Ryan Johansen scored the lone marker to give the Predators the victory. Juuse Saros made 24 saves for the Predators, who were outshot 26-20, in the victory. He should be in goal again for this contest.

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Tampa Bay has seemingly gotten back on track with back-to-back wins after that rough stretch with five losses in seven games. The Lightning withstood an early shot barrage in the opening period Saturday night to get the win and they have the edge of having been off since that point. Meanwhile, Nashville is playing their third game in four nights here which is going to take a toll on them. The problem for the Predators, other than fatigue, is that they have lost six of their seven meetings with the Lightning on the season. In addition, even with their strong play, the team is still below average offensively and a middle-of-the-pack team on the defensive end of the ice. You have to give the edge to the Lightning here as they slow Nashville, at least for one night.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+155)

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The Lightning has seen the over go 21-18-2 in their games this season, including in each of their last three contests. Tampa Bay has seen an average of 5.85 goals per contest on the year. That climbs slightly to 5.91 goals a night when the Lightning are the visitors. Nashville has seen the over go 17-20-6 in their games on the year. The Predators have seen an average of 5.30 goals per game this season in their games. Nashville sees that number drop to 5.10 goals per game when they are the home team on the year. This season, the teams have gone over the total four times in six meetings as they’ve combined for seven, seven, five, seven, nine, five and three goals in their contests. With Nashville being tired and Tampa Bay playing well in their own end, this one ends up falling short of the mark.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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