Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#29 Boston Bruins 6 vs.
#30 Toronto Maple Leafs -115
Monday, April 15, 2019 at 7:00pm EDT
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Written by David Hess

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#29 Boston
#30 Toronto
50-34
47-37
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35-45-4
40-40-4
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NHL first-round playoff action on Monday evening and a pair of teams from the Atlantic Division will square off as the Boston Bruins tangle with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. This is game three of a best-of-seven series, which is tied at one game apiece.

Bruins Even The Series

The Boston Bruins tied the Calgary Flames for the 2nd most points in the league this year, but they did not play well down the stretch and they went out and lost game one on their home ice by a score of 4-1. Boston bounced back in game two with a solid 4-1 win and will now be looking to grab back their home-ice advantage with a win in this one. Boston has scored just five goals in their first two games of this series, but they have still averaged a solid 3.80 gpg over their last 10 games. That has helped them offset the fact that they have allowed 3.40 gpg over the same stretch. Scoring in the win was Charlie Coyle, which was his 13th of the year, Brad Marchand, which was his 37th, Danton Heinen, which was his 12th, and Patrice Bergeron, which was his 34th.

Grabbing the win in game two was Tuukka Rask, who stopped 30 of the 31 shots that he faced. Rask went 27-18 with a 2.48 GAA on the year overall, including 12-10 with a 2.65 GAA  out on the road and 1-0 with a 2.00 GAA against the Maple Leafs. In his career, he has gone 17-9 with a 2.13 GAA against the Maple Leafs (Reg Sea) and 36-31 with a 2.24 GAA in the postseason. The Bruins have gone 20-21 on the road and they have averaged 2.85 gpg and have allowed 2.73 gpg in those games. During the regular season, Boston ranked 3rd in the league in power play conversions at 25.9% and 16th in penalty kill at 79.9%.

Leafs Just Can’t Build Momentum

The Toronto Maple Leafs were thought of as the team to beat in the Eastern Conference at the start of the year, but it hasn’t really panned out that way. Yes, they are in the playoffs, but they have been an inconsistent team for most of the year and they come into this game having lost 11 of their last 16 games. They took game one of this series in Boston but were not able to make it two in a row and the Leafs are now 0-7 in their last seven games when off a win. They just cannot build any momentum, but at least they have grabbed home-ice advantage in this series. They just need to hold on to it, but it will not be easy as the Bruins are one of the best teams in the league. Scoring their lone goal in the game two loss was Nazem Kadri, which was his 1`7th of the year. Kadri could be out for this game as he is facing a possible five-game suspension due to a high hit on Boston’s Jake DeBrusk.

Absorbing the loss was Frederik Andersen, who allowed four goals on 41 shot attempts. During the regular season, he went 36-23 with a 2.77 GAA, including 18-11 with a 2.81 GAA here at home and 1-1 with a 4.52 ERA against the Bruins. In his career, he has gone 23-17 with a 2.60 GAA in the postseason and 11-2 with a 2.42 GAA against the Bruins. The Maple Leafs have gone 23-18 here at home and they have averaged 3.56 gpg and have allowed 3.00 gpg in those games. During the regular season, Toronto ranked 8th in the league in power play conversions at 21.8% and 17th in penalty kill at 79.9%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Bruins were surprised in game one of this series, but they were able to bounce back in game two and I look for them to keep it rolling in this one. The Bruins have been the better team all year and the Maple Leafs have gone just 5-11 over their last 16 games overall. they are not playing all that well at the moment and will not be able to take down a Boston team that is looking to grab back home-ice advantage in this one. Take the Bruins.

Prediction: Boston +100

Full-Game Total Pick

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Playoff hockey breeds lower scoring games. these teams met four times during the regular season and three of the four games hung up six or more goals. So far in the first two games of this series, we have seen no more than five goals scored. Tuukka Rask had a 2.65 GAA on the road this year and he has a 2.24 GAA in the postseason in his career. Frederik Andersen had a decent 2.81 GAA here at home for the year and he has 2.42 GAA in the postseason. The Under is 25-10-1 in Boston’s last 36 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-1 in Toronto’s last seven vs. the Eastern Conference.

Prediction: Under 6

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.