Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#233 N.Y. Islanders vs.
#234 Philadelphia Flyers
Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 6:30pm EDT
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by The Dominator

National Hockey League action on Sunday evening and we will see a pair of teams from the East Division square off as the New York Islanders pay a visit to Well Fargo Arena in Philadelphia, PA to rumble with the Philadelphia Flyers. The Islanders enter this game at 27-17 on the year while the Flyers come in at 20-24. New York leads the season series 4-3.

Islanders Lose Two In Beantown

The New York Islanders have been at or near the top of the East Division all year, but they do come in struggling a bit. After winning four games in a row, the Islanders have lost three of their last four, including their last two, which were against the Bruins on the road. New York was outscored 7-1 in those two games. In their last game, they fell by a score of 3-0. It was the 3rd time that the Islanders have been blanked this year but just the first time since game five of the season. The offense has been their issue all season long, and they have now scored a total of 10 (non-shootout) goals in their last seven games.

New York is Currently in 3rd place in the east and just four points out of 1st while holding an eight-point lead over the 5th placed Rangers. The Islanders did lose the first three games of this season series this year, but they have bounced back to win the last four. Absorbing the loss to the Bruins was Ilya Sorokin, who allowed two goals on 27 shot attempts to fall to 11-5 with a 2.16 GAA on the year. Semyon Varlamov will be back in the crease for this one, and he has gone 16-12 with a 2.24 GAA on the year, including 6-8 with a 2.28 GAA on the road. In his career, he has gone 7-5 with a 2.83 GAA against the Flyers.

Team Stats & Rankings: New York enters this contest ranked 16th in scoring at 2.77 gpg, 24th in shots per game at 29.2, and 23rd in power-play conversions at 17.4%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 3rd in goals allowed at 2.36 gpg, 5th in shots per game allowed at 28.0, and 10th in penalty kill at 82.0%.

The Flyers Continue To Struggle

The Philadelphia Flyers need to get their act together, or they will be missing the postseason after there were high hopes for this team at the start of the season. It has been a pattern of the Flyers as they have missed the postseason in the last four odd-numbered years and have made the postseason in their last five even-numbered years. Recent history dictates that they will miss the postseason this year, and they are starting to run out of time if they hope to change history. Philly is currently eight points out of the 4th spot in the east, and after this game, they will have just 11 games left. On Saturday, they lost to the Caps by a score of 6-3 and have now lost 17 of their last 26 games.

Scoring in the loss was Ivan Provorov, which was his 7th of the year, James van Riemsdyk, which was his 14th, and Wade Allison, which was the first of his career and in just his 2nd career game. Absorbing the loss was Alex Lyon, who allowed five goals on 40 shot attempts. It was his first start of the year, and he got the start because Carter Hart was scratched with a lower-body injury. Getting the nod in this one will be Brian Elliott, and he has gone 11-7 with a 3.04 GAA on the year, including 6-3 with a 2.51 GAA here at home. He has gone 9-10 with a 2.61 GAA against the Islanders in his career, including 1-1 with a 2.34 GAA against them this year.

Team Stats & Rankings: Philadelphia enters this contest ranked 14th in scoring at 2.86 gpg, 15th in shots per game at 29.8, and 20th in power-play conversions at 19.4%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 30th in goals allowed at 3.57 gpg, 12th in shots per game allowed at 29.3, and 30th in penalty kill at 73.3%.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Flyers need this game in the worst way as they try and stay within striking distance of a playoff spot in the East Division. Still, Philadelphia is not playing well as they come in having lost 17 of their last 26 games. The Islanders just lost two in a row to the Bruins, but they are still trending the other way, having gone 17-7 in their last 24 games. The Islanders have also won their last four games against the Flyers, and the favorite is 60-22 in the last 82 games in this series. Philadelphia does not have the goaltending to match up with the Islanders in this one as Brian Elliott has struggled while Semyon Varlamov has been tough. The Flyers are 30th in goals allowed this year while the Islanders are 3rd. We also note that the Flyers are playing on no rest against a rested team. Take the Islanders in this one.

Prediction: New York -135

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Flyers have struggled at the defensive end of the ice this year but Brian Elliott has played a bit better at home than on the road. Elliott also has a decent 2.61 GAA against the Islanders in his career and New York has averaged just 2.00 gpg on the road for the year. Philly does have a better offense than the Islanders but they have still averaged just 2.90 gpg at home and just 2.20 gpg in their last 1o games overall. Semyon Varlamov has 2.24 GAA on the year, including a 2.28 GAA on the road. He has struggled with the Flyers a bit this year but the way the Philly offense has struggled of late, they will not do much damage against him. Lastly, the Under is 35-14-2 in New York's last 51 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation and 4-1 in Philadelphia's last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.