Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#145 Ottawa Senators vs.
#146 Calgary Flames
Monday, April 19, 2021 at 9:05pm EDT
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Written by Chris Kubala

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A pair of Canadian teams on the outside looking in at the playoff picture take the ice in Alberta. The Ottawa Senators are on the road as they travel to face the Calgary Flames in a North Division clash Monday night. Ottawa blanked 4-0 Montreal on the road in their previous contest Saturday night. Calgary was edged 2-1 by Montreal on the road Friday night to end up splitting their two-game set. In the season series, the Senators have won five of the seven meetings, including the last three. It was Ottawa earning a 3-1 home victory in the most recent matchup between the teams back on March 24.

Ottawa Senators Looking to Earn Fourth Straight Win Over Flames

Ottawa put together a solid showing against Montreal Saturday night and came up with the home victory to get back in the win column. The Senators entered Sunday 15-26-4 and in the basement of the North Division, 26 points behind division-leading Toronto and 13 points back of Montreal for the final playoff spot. Ottawa comes into the game 21st in the league in scoring offense as they average 2.67 goals per contest. The Senators are 31st in goals against as they allow 3.62 goals per contest. Ottawa is 26th in power-play success as they have converted 16.2% of their chances with the man advantage. The Senators are 24th in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 76.8% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In Saturday’s game, Ottawa controlled the game and came up with the road victory over Montreal. The opening period saw the Senators with a 5-3 shot advantage and they skated off with a 1-0 lead on the scoreboard after 20 minutes. Artem Zub opened the scoring with his third of the year at 3:03 off assists from Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson. Ottawa was outshot 11-5 in the second period but outscored Montreal 1-0 to extend to a 2-0 margin after 40 minutes of play. Batherson scored his 14th of the season at 13:12 off assists from Brady Tkachuk and Josh Norris to give Ottawa that 2-0 lead. In the third period, Ottawa was outshot 9-5 but outscored Montreal 2-0 to close things out. Batherson scored his second of the night and 15th of the year at 15:26 on the power play with assists going to Norris and Tkachuk to give the Senators a 3-0 lead. Nineteen seconds later, at 15:45, Nikita Zaitsev closed the scoring with his second of the year off an assist from Shane Pinto to close the scoring. Matt Murray stopped 23 shots for the Senators, who were outshot 23-15, in the shutout victory. He’s expected to get the start in goal again for Ottawa in this one.

Calgary Flames Hoping to Get Hot to Gain Ground in Playoff Race

Calgary ended up splitting their two-game set with Montreal on the road as they fell Friday night, snapping their three-game win streak. The Flames entered Sunday fifth in the North Division, 19 points behind the Maple Leafs for the top spot and six back of Montreal for the final guaranteed playoff spot. Calgary is 24th in the league in goals for as they put up an average of 2.61 goals per contest. The Flames are 15th in the league in goals-against by allowing 2.91 goals a night this season. Calgary is tied for 17th in the league in power-play success as they convert 20% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Flames are 11th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate through 81.2% of their shorthanded situations.

It was a low-scoring game on Friday night but the Flames were unable to generate enough offense to skate away with the victory. The opening period saw Calgary with a 13-6 edge in shots on goal though neither side lit the lamp, leaving things scoreless after 20 minutes. In the second period, the shots were even at eight but the Flames allowed the lone goal of the period to trail 1-0 after 40 minutes of action. The final period saw Calgary with an 8-6 edge in shots with both teams scoring once, leaving the Flames a goal short. Elias Lindholm scored his 12th of the year at 6:30 off assists from Matthew Tkachuk and Johnny Gaudreau to tie the score. Calgary gave up the eventual winning goal with 4:15 to play and failed to get the equalizer. Jacob Markstrom made 18 saves for the Flames, who held a 29-20 edge in shots on goal, in the loss. He’s expected to get the call between the pipes again here.

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Calgary is running out of chances to get back in the playoff picture as they are six points back of Montreal with 12 games to play. Montreal has two games in hand as well, making things even tougher for the Flames. If Calgary fails to make the postseason, they can look at their struggles against the Senators as a prime reason why. Ottawa has had the Flames number, winning five of the seven meetings, and they are coming off a shutout win over Montreal. The Senators have just six wins on the road this season but one of those came here in Cowtown. With the Flames as inconsistent as they’ve been, you have to give the edge to the team that has played hard all season long. Back Ottawa on the road in this one as they maintain their success over the Flames.

Prediction: Ottawa Senators +180

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The Senators have seen the undergo 24-18-3 this season. Ottawa sees an average of 6.29 goals per game this season. They have struggled in their own end on the road, leading to a staggering 7.14 goals per game in those contests. Calgary went into Sunday night having seen the under go 23-16-5 in their contests on the year. The Flames have seen an average of 5.52 goals per game on the board in their contests this season. That number climbs up to 6.10 goals per game as the home team on the year. In the seven meetings between the teams, we’ve seen them combine for seven, nine, six, 10, seven, three and four goals. The last two meetings fell short of the mark and with Ottawa riding a little momentum, this one falls short as well.

Prediction: Under 6

Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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