Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#9 Toronto Maple Leafs 5.5 vs.
#10 Boston Bruins -140
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 7:08pm EDT
TD Garden, Boston
Written by David Hess



#9 Toronto
#10 Boston


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A pair of teams from the Atlantic Division will square off in the first round of the NHL Playoffs as the Toronto Maple Leafs grapple with the Boston Bruins at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The series is tied at 3-3, which sets up what should be a very exciting game seven.

The Leafs Had Their Chance

Toronto still has a chance as they have won two of the three here in Boston in this series, but the Leafs had a chance to end this series at home and they came up just a bit short in the 4-2 loss. Toronto has struggled down the stretch 0f the season as they won just four of their final 14 games, but they have played better in this series. Still, they can’t put together back-to-back wins and have now lost their last nine games when coming off a win. I guess it’s lucky for them that they are coming in off a loss. Scoring in the loss was Morgan Rielly, which was his 21st of the year and Auston Matthews, which was his 5th goal of the series and 42nd of the year. Matthews has now scored in four straight games and he is hoping to keep it going and lead his team into the 2nd round.

Absorbing the loss in game four was Frederik Andersen, who allowed three goals on 40 shot attempts. During the regular season, he went 36-23 with a 2.77 GAA, including 18-12 with a 2.73 GAA on the road and 1-1 with a 4.52 ERA against the Bruins. In his career, he has gone 25-19 with a 2.62 GAA in the postseason and 11-2 with a 2.42 GAA against the Bruins (Reg Sea). The Maple Leafs have gone 25-19 on the road and they have averaged 3.34 gpg and have allowed 3.00 gpg in those games. During the regular season, Toronto ranked 8th in the league in power play conversions at 21.8% and 17th in penalty kill at 79.9%.

Bruins Live To Fight Another Day

The Boston Bruins headed to Toronto down 3-2 in this series, b8ut they stepped up their game and were able to stave off elimination with a 4-2 road win. the series is now tied at 3-3 and the Bruins have this game at home where they have been strong this year. Still, we note that Boston is just 1-2 at home in this series so they have their work cut out for them. Boston trailed the Leafs 1-0 at the 9:42 mark of the first, but they fought back and held a 2-1 lead after one and didn’t look back after that. Scoring in the win was Brad Marchand, who scored twice and now has four in the series and 40 on the year, Torey Krug, which was his 7th of the year and Jake DeBrusk, which was his 28th of the year. Boston will look to close out this series on their home ice.

Grabbing the win was Tuukka Rask, who stopped 22 of the 24 shots that he faced. Rask went 27-18 with a 2.48 GAA on the year overall, including 15-8 with a 2.32 GAA here at home and 1-0 with a 2.00 GAA against the Maple Leafs. In his career, he has gone 17-9 with a 2.13 GAA against the Maple Leafs (Reg Sea) and 38-33 with a 2.27 GAA in the postseason. The Bruins have gone 30-14 here at home and they have averaged 3.32 gpg and have allowed 2.43 gpg in those games. During the regular season, Boston ranked 3rd in the league in power play conversions at 25.9% and 16th in penalty kill at 79.9%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Bruins have been the far better team all year and they have played very well at home, plus the Bruins are 7-3 in their last 10 home games in this series. The Leafs have been very inconsistent down the stretch and have gone just 7-13 in their last 20 games overall. Look for the Bruins to take this one and move on to the 2nd round.

Prediction: Boston -140

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I will look for this game to go Under the Total. The last two games in Toronto put up 10 and six goals, whilw all three games in Beantown have produced no more than five goals. This is a game seven and then it should be a low scoring game as both teams will step it up in the crease and on defense. The Bruins have allowed just 2.43 gpg at home and the Leafs have averaged just 2.50 gpg over their last 10 games. The Bruins have averaged just 2.00 gpg in their three home games in this series and Andersen has solid numbers against them in his career. The Under is 6-1 in Toronto’s last seven games as an underdog and 13-3-5 in Boston’s last 21 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Prediction: Under 5.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.