Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#11 Vegas Golden Knights 5.5 vs.
#12 San Jose Sharks -115
Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 10:08pm EDT
SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Written by David Hess

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#11 Vegas
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Tuesday evening NHL playoff action and a pair of teams from the Pacific Division will square off as the Vegas Golden Knights rumble with the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California. This is game seven of a best-of-seven series which is all knotted at three games apiece.

KNights Look To Avoid Complete Collapse

Last year was the Vegas Golden Knights’ first year in the league and all they did was make it to the Stanley Cup Finals before finally bowing out to the Washington Capitals. The Knights did not have as strong a regular season as they did a year ago, but they still made it into the postseason as a 5th seed in the West. Vegas did not play well down the stretch of the regular season, but they shook that off to take a 3-1 lead in this series and it was looking like they would be moving on. Well, San Jose has won the last two to tie the series at 3-3 and the Golden Knights are now playing to avoid a total collapse. In the last game, they fell on their home ice by a score of 2-1 in OT and scoring their lone goal in the loss was Jonathan Marchessault, which was his 3rd goals of the series and 28th of the year. Vegas has scored five goals in their three losses in this series, compared to 16 goals in their three wins.

Absorbing the loss was Marc-Andre Fleury, who allowed two goals on 29 shot atempts. Fleury was 35-26 with a 2.51 GAA during the regular season, including 17-11 with a 2.64 GAA out on the road and 1-1 with a 1.54 GAA against the Sharks. In his career, he has gone 8-7 with a 2.12 GAA against the Sharks and 78-61 with a 2.58 GAA in postseason play. The Golden Knights have gone 20-24 on the road and they have averaged 2.82 gpg and have allowed 3.32 gpg in those games. During the regular season, the Golden Knights ranked 25th in power play conversions at 16.8% and 14th in penalty kill at 80.9%.

Hertl’s OT Goal Forces A Game Seven

San Jose’s season was on life support as they were down three games to one to the Golden Knights, but San Jose won at home by a score of 5-2 and followed that up with a 2-1 OT win on the road to tie the series at 3-3. Game seven’s are always fun and this one should be no different. Can the Sharks win their 3rd in a row to steal this series? I guess you’ll have to read further to find out. The Sharks were +170 dogs at Vegas, but that was all a moot point when Thomas Hertl notched the game-winner in OT. It was his 5th goal of the series and 40th of the year. Also scoring in the win was Logan Couture, which was his 4th of the series and 31st of the year. San Jose had gone 4-12 in their 16 games prior to winning their last two, but they do have some momentum at the moment.

Martin Jones had a huge game as he stopped a whopping 58 of the 59 shots that he faced. He was under fire all night but was up to the task. Jones went 36-24 with a 2.94 GAA during the regular season, including 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA here at home and 2-0 with a 3.62 GAA against the Golden Knights. In his career, he has gone 3-2 with a 3.44 GAA against Vegas and 25-20 with a 2.19 GAA in the postseason. The Sharks have gone 26-18 here at home and they have averaged 3.66 gpg and have allowed 2.87 gpg in those games. During the regular season, the Sharks ranked 6th in the league in power play conversions at 23.7% and 15th in penalty kill at 80.8%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Sharks have been a dynamite home team for much of the year and they have won the last two in this series, but I feel that the Golden Knights will rise up and win this game seven. The Golden Knights did have a 3-1 series lead, but the Sharks fought back to tie it at 3-3. Marc-Andre Fleury has then experience edge, which will serve him and his mates well for this game seven. Look for the Golden Knights to move on to the 2nd round.

Prediction: Vegas

Full-Game Total Pick

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I still feel that playoff games are lower scoring than regular season games and especially a game seven, but I see this one going over the total. The Sharks have allowed 3.40 gpg over their last 10 games and the Golden Knights have allowed 3.20 gpg over the same stretch. On offense, we have a San Jose team that averages 3.66 gpg at home, while the Golden Knights have averaged 3.00 gpg over their last 10 games. The Over is 5-0 the last five meetings between these teams here at the Shark Tank and that seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Over 5.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.