Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#447 Dallas Stars vs.
#448 Detroit Red Wings
Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Written by Valdis Pans

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The Dallas Stars (5th in Central Division) and the Detroit Red Wings (7th in Central) will end their four-game set, as well as their eight-game season series, with a contest in Motor City, with the Texans leading both 2-1 and 5-2 respectively.

Stars End Point Run

A season-long eight-game point streak (6-0-2) came to an end for the Dallas Stars (19-15-12), who snapped a four-game winning run with a 7-3 fiasco against the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. The Stars outshot the hosts by a double (46-23), killed their only penalty and went 2-for-4 with the man-advantage, but allowed three goals in both the first and the last periods, giving up one more in the middle frame, while responding with just three snipes of their own. Radek Faksa (6 goals, 13 points this year), Joe Pavelski (20 goals, 43 points) and Denis Gurianov (10 goals, 26 points) all scored for Dallas, which conceded seven snipes for the first time since Jan. 18, 2020 (a 7-0 defeat to the Minnesota Wild).

Goalie Anton Khudobin (10-9-6 on the season with a 2.40 GAA and a .909 save percentage) gave up three goals on nine shots in the first period on Thursday before being replaced by Jake Oettinger (9-6-6 this year with a 2.23 GAA and a .916 save percentage), who allowed three snipes on 13 shots subsequently. Oettinger is 2-2-0 versus Detroit in past encounters with a 3.06 GAA and a .867 save percentage, while Khudobin has posted a 5-2-0 previous tally against the Red Wings with a 2.57 GAA and a .899 save percentage. The Stars are 14th in most goals scored per game in 2020-21 (2.85), 6th in least goals conceded on average (2.48), 6th in power play (24.6%) and 16th in penalty kill (79.4%).

Wings End Losing Streak

The Detroit Red Wings (17-25-7) ended their latest three-game losing skid (0-2-1) after thrashing the Dallas Stars with a score of 7-3 at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Jakub Vrana (16 goals, 31 points this year), who joined the Wings from the Washington Capitals in a trade for Anthony Mantha on April 12, recorded his first NHL career four-goal contest. Richard Panik (4 goals, 10 points), who was acquired in the same trade, buried his first snipe for Detroit, while Luke Glendening (15 points) and Sam Gagner (13 points) buried their sixth marker of the season each. The Red Wings are 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Goalie Thomas Greiss (6-15-7 for the season with a 2.95 GAA and a .904 save percentage) made 43 saves on Thursday, but is expected to vacate the crease for Jonathan Bernier ahead of the upcoming matchup. Bernier is 9-9-0 for the ongoing campaign with a 3.08 GAA and a .908 save percentage and has registered a 9-7-1 past total against Dallas with a 2.61 GAA and a .913 save percentage. The Red Wings, meanwhile, are 2nd in least goals scored per game this year (2.31), 10th in most goals allowed on average (3.14), 2nd from the bottom in power play (11.0%) and 25th in penalty kill (76.3%).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Stars outshot Detroit by a double (46-23), did well on power play (2-for-4) and killed their only penalty on Thursday, but still managed to get a royal walloping by one of the worst teams in the NHL this season. And that’s with the Red Wings even playing without their leader Dylan Larkin, who is out for the season with an upper-body problem. The Wings’ newest addition Jakub Vrana, though, dazzled with his first four-goal performance. But don’t expect Detroit to deliver similar showings on a nightly basis! Not against a team as desperate as Dallas, which is still competing for a place in the upcoming playoffs, currently trailing the Nashville Predators for the 4th position in the Central Division by two points with two games in hand. The Stars have already gone 5-1 in their most recent six outings against sides with a losing record, while the inconsistency of Detroit has only brought six triumphs in its last 22 matchups following a win.

Prediction: Dallas Stars -1.5 (+130)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Even though their last head-to-head outing produced no less than 10 tallies on Thursday, don’t expect another goal fest in their following meeting! Five of the last eight matchups between Detroit and Dallas have all gone below the set goal-mark, averaging just four markers per encounter. Besides, four of the previous six overall fixtures of the Red Wings have already witnessed just a modest number of strikes, recording an average of just 4.25 goals per contest, while 38 of the previous 56 games of the Stars, with Dallas having allowed at least five markers in its previous clash, have also cruised under the total.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By Valdis Pans , "Valdis Pans"

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