Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#445 Toronto Maple Leafs vs.
#446 Winnipeg Jets
Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Bell MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Written by Valdis Pans

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A two-game losing streak takes the Winnipeg Jets (2nd in North Division) to a domestic contest against the Toronto Maple Leafs (1st in the North), who will try to sweep their two-game set in Manitoba.

Leafs Snap Losing Skid

A season-long five-game losing run (0-3-2) finally came to an end for the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-13-5), who banked a 5-3 win in the first contest of their two-game road set against the Winnipeg Jets at Bell MTS Place on Thursday. Mitch Marner (16 goals, 58 points this year) pocketed two snipes and an assist. Auston Matthews (34 goals, 58 points) picked up a strike and two helpers, while Wayne Simmonds (7 goals, 9 points) and Jason Spezza (10 goals, 23 points) both scored for the Leafs, who gave up two straight goals after taking a 2-0 lead in the first 1:18 of the contest, but went 4-2 ahead subsequently, eventually holding on for a 5-3 total.

Goalie Jack Campbell stopped 34 shots on Thursday to take his current performance status to 12-2-1 for the season with a 2.30 GAA and a .919 save percentage. He has picked up a 4-3-1 past tally against Winnipeg with a 2.20 GAA and a .934 save percentage. The Maple Leafs, meanwhile, are netting the 6th highest quantity of goals per game this year (3.28), while allowing the 12th lowest amount on the defensive end (2.74). The team is 10th in power play with a 22.1% success rate and 27th in penalty kill with 76.0% proficiency.

Jets Lose Two In Row

The Winnipeg Jets (27-16-3) dropped their second straight contest (0-2-0), posting consecutive regulation defeats just for the second time this season, after being beaten with a count of 5-3 by the Toronto Maple Leafs at Bell MTS Place on Thursday. The Jets failed to convert on both of their power-play opportunities, but outshot the visitors 37-33 and killed their only penalty. Mark Scheifele (18 goals, 54 points this year) and Andrew Copp (15 goals, 36 points) scored in the first period to tie the game at 2-2 before Toronto took a 4-2 lead subsequently, only for Kyle Connor (22 goals, 44 points) to cut it to 4-3 at the end of the second frame ahead of an empty-net snipe by the Leafs with six seconds remaining.

Goalie Connor Hellebuyck (21-12-3 on the season with a 2.57 GAA and a .917 save percentage) gave up three goals on six shots in the first 12 minutes of the game before being pulled for Laurent Brossoit (6-4-0 this year with a 2.47 GAA and a .920 save percentage), who made 25 saves in relief. Hellebuyck is 5-5-3 against the Maple Leafs historically with a 3.16 GAA and a .905 save percentage. The Jets, meanwhile, are sitting 8th in most goals scored per game this season (3.20), 10th in least goals conceded on average (2.67), 4th in power play (25.7%) and 12th in penalty kill (80.5%).

Best Bets for this Game

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The Jets are yet to lose three consecutive games this season. And while that trend is undoubtedly impressive, get this! The Maples Leafs are currently riding a six-game winning streak in Winnipeg, stretching back to October 2017. They have beaten the Jets in Manitoba on all three previous occasions this year and are leading their 10-game season series with a count of 5-3-0. As good as Winnipeg has been in bouncing back from a couple of defeats this year, it has still managed to win just one of its most recent 10 fixtures after allowing at least five strikes in its previous outing. The Leafs, meanwhile, are riding a four-game winning run as road favorites and are an incredible threat after getting back to winning ways in 2020-21, losing following a triumph that had preceded a loss just once throughout the whole current campaign.

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs (-130)

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This series has been delivering high-scoring games on a regular basis throughout the last few seasons, with 18 of the previous 24 head-to-head matchups between the Maple Leafs and the Jets, and eight of their past 11 meetings in Winnipeg all going past the set goal-mark. Three of the last five road outings of Toronto have also cruised above the six-goal barrier, averaging no less than 8.33 snipes per clash, while five of the most recent eight contests of the Jets, played on the last night of a 3-games-in-4-days scenario, have all witnessed at least seven tallies on the scoreboard.

Prediction: Over 6
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Written By Valdis Pans , "Valdis Pans"

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