Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#481 Edmonton Oilers vs.
#482 Ottawa Senators
Thursday, April 8, 2021 at 7:00pm EDT
Canadian Tire Cenre, Ontario
Written by Chris Kubala

A pair of teams from the North Division kick off a back-to-back two-game set in the nation’s capital of Canada. The Edmonton Oilers are on the road as they battle the Ottawa Senators Thursday night. Edmonton earned a 4-2 victory on Wednesday night in the front half of this two-game set to maintain their season-long dominance of the Senators. In the season series, the Oilers have claimed all eight meetings between the teams after picking up the victory on Wednesday night. Can Edmonton extend that string of victories and sweep the season series or can Ottawa get on the board with a home triumph?

Edmonton Oilers Look to Sweep Season Series

Edmonton has alternated wins and losses in their last six games as they earned the road win on Wednesday night in their most recent contest. The Oilers entered Wednesday second in the North Division, seven points behind Toronto for the division lead. In the playoff race, the team stood 15 points clear of Calgary and Vancouver to stay on the right side of the playoff cut line. Edmonton comes into this one tied for 5th in the league in goals per game as they average 3.28 goals per contest. The Oilers stand 15th in goals against as they allow 2.85 goals per night. Edmonton stands 2nd in power-play success as they cash in 26.6% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Oilers are 17th in penalty killing as they successfully get through only 78.8% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

In Wednesday’s game, Edmonton continued their dominance of Ottawa and that success has been important to their standing in the postseason picture. The Oilers owned a 17-7 advantage in shots on goal in the opening period and took a 1-0 lead to the dressing room. Leon Draisaitl opened the scoring with his 20th of the year, on the power play, at 12:18 off assists from Connor McDavid and Tyson Barrie. The second period saw Edmonton outshot 12-8 with both teams scoring once to hold a 2-1 lead after 40 minutes of action. After Ottawa tied the game in the opening minute of the period, Draisaitl scored his second of the game and 21st of the year at 17:26 off assists from McDavid and Ethan Bear to give Edmonton a 2-1 lead. The third period saw the Oilers outshot 11-10 but outscored Ottawa 2-1 to earn the victory. After another early goal by Ottawa tied the game, McDavid scored his 23rd goal of the year at 13:54 off assists from Draisaitl and Barrie to give Edmonton a 3-2 lead. Draisaitl capped the hat trick with his third of the night and 22nd of the season into an empty net at 19:59 off an assist from McDavid. Mikko Koskinen made 28 saves for the Oilers, who held a 35-30 edge in shots, in the victory. Mike Smith is expected to get the start here.

Ottawa Senators Seek to Salvage Finale

Ottawa rallied twice to tie the game but couldn’t come up with the win at home Wednesday night. The Senators entered Wednesday 13-23-4 and in the basement of the North Division, 27 points behind division-leading Toronto and 13 points back of Montreal for the final playoff spot. Ottawa comes into the game 24th in the league in scoring offense as they average 2.60 goals per contest. The Senators are 31st in goals against as they allow 3.73 goals per contest. Ottawa is 26th in power-play success as they have converted 15% of their chances with the man advantage. The Senators are 22nd in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 76.6% of their shorthanded situations on the year.

On Wednesday night, Ottawa battled for the majority of the game but couldn’t close things out and wound up with the loss. The Senators were outshot 17-7 in the opening period and trailed 1-0 after the opening 20 minutes of play. Ottawa held a 12-8 edge in shots in the second period with each team scoring once to trail 2-1 after 40 minutes of play. Josh Norris scored his 10th of the year at the 25-second mark off assists from Thomas Chabot and Brady Tkachuk to tie the game before Edmonton regained the edge later in the stanza. In the final period, Ottawa held an 11-10 advantage in shots on goal but were outscored 2-1 to end up with the loss. Connor Brown tied the game at the 1:02 mark with his 11th of the year off assists from Artem Zub and Mike Reilly. Ottawa gave up the go-ahead goal with 6:06 remaining in regulation and then surrendered an empty-net goal with one second to play. Marcus Hogberg made 31 saves for the Senators, who were outshot 35-30, in the loss. Filip Gustavsson is expected to get the start in goal here.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Senators have been owned in this series this season and it’s going to be tough for Ottawa to come up with a win on home ice. We’ve seen Edmonton more than double up Ottawa on the scoreboard (38-17) in the series and the big guns for the Oilers have contributed hefty numbers. Leon Draisaitl has 10 goals and 11 assists for 21 points while Connor McDavid has four goals and 16 assists for 20 points. That means Edmonton’s two top guns have been involved in more goals than the entire Senators team. Sixteen of the Oilers’ 50 points have come against the Senators this season. Look for Edmonton to maintain their success here and deliver a victory to sweep the season series.

Prediction: Edmonton Oilers -1.5 (+125)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Edmonton has seen the under go 21-17-2 in their games entering this contest. The Oilers see an average total of 6.13 goals per game though that number falls to 5.74 goals a night as the visiting team on the year. Ottawa’s lack of offensive production has managed to keep them under the total more often than not this season, even with their defensive issues. The Senators have seen the under go 21-17-2 this season. Ottawa sees an average of 6.33 goals per game this season. They play better defensively at home, leading to an average total of 5.55 goals per game in those contests. In the seven meetings between the teams, we’ve seen them combine for 13, six, four, five, five, eight, eight and six goals. This one ends up falling short of the mark as we see another 4-2 type of game here.

Prediction: Under 6.5

Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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