Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#13 San Jose Sharks 5.5 vs.
#14 St. Louis Blues -145
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 8:08pm EDT
Enterprise Center, St Louis
Written by David Hess

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#13 San Jose
#14 St. Louis
55-43
54-43
55-43
54-43
56-38-4
41-49-7
3
2
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The scene shifts to Enterprise Center in St Louis, Missouri as the San Jose Sharks duke it out with the St Louis Blues in game three of their best-of-seven Western Conference Finals matchup. The Sharks took game one by a score of 6-3 and the Blues countered with a 4-2 win in game two.

Sharks Look To Grab Back Home-Ice Advantage

The San Jose Sharks have been one of the better home teams in the league all year and they had the home-ice advantage in this series, but they don’t anymore as the Blues took game two by a score of 4-2. San Jose will now be looking to get back their home-ice advantage in this one. San Jose is now 6-3 at home in the playoffs, but this game is on the road and they have gone just 2-4 away from home in the NHL’s 2nd season. That is not good news as the Blues have been a hot team at home since the all-star break. San Jose has averaged just 2.00 gpg on the road in the postseason, but this is the playoffs and they have all the tools to pull an upset in this one. Will they? You just have to read farther to find out. Scoring in the game two loss was Logan Couture, who scored both goals and now has four in his last two games while leading the league in the postseason with 13 goals.

Absorbing the loss in game two was Martin Jones, who allowed four goals on 45 shot attempts to fall to 9-6 with a 2.83 GAA in the postseason this year and 31-24 with a 2.27 GAA in the postseason in his career. During the regular season, Jones was 36-24 with a 2.94 GAA overall, including 14-12 with a 3.14 GAA on the road and 1-0 with a 1.89 GA against the Blues. In his career, he has gone 5-4 with a 2.00 GAA against the Blues during the regular season. The Sharks have gone 23-24 on the road and they have averaged 3.26 gpg and have allowed 3.45 gpg in those games. During the postseason, the Sharks rank 3rd in scoring at 3.19 gpg, 11th in goals allowed at 3.13 gpg, 10th in power play conversions at 18.3% and 8th in penalty kill at 82.8%.

Blues Look To Hold Serve At Home

The St Louis Blues had a strong finish to their regular season and they have parlayed that into a trip to the Western Conference Finals. St Louis did lose game one of this series by a score of 6-3, but they were able to bounce back with a 4-2 win in game two and thus stealing home-ice advantage. The Blues will now look to hold serve at home and they have gone 17-6 in their last 23 games at Enterprise Center, but we also note that they are just 3-4 at home in the postseason so far.  Scoring in the win was Jaden Schwartz, which was his 9th of the postseason, Vince Dunn, which was his 2nd, Robert Bortuzzo, which was his 1st, and Oskar Sundqvist, which was his 3rd. For Schwartz, he had just 11 goals during the regular season his nine in the playoffs are tied for 2nd in the league.

Grabbing the win was Jordan Binnington, who stopped 24 of the 26 shots that he faced to improve to 9-6 with a 2.54 GAA in this his first season of playoff action. Binnington was 24-6 with a 1.89 GAA during the regular season, including 14-2 with a 2.02 GAA here at home. He did not face the Sharks during the regular season. St Louis has gone 27-21 here at home and they have averaged 3.08 gpg and have allowed 2.94 gpg in those games. During the playoffs, St Louis ranks 8th in the league in scoring at 2.73 gpg, 7th in goals allowed at 2.73, 12th in the league in power play conversions at 14.9% and 12th in penalty kill at 76.5%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Blues have struggled some at home in the postseason. but I will look for them to grab a nice win in this one. The Sharks have gone just 3-7 in their last 10 road games, including going 2-4 on the road in the postseason and they have averaged just 2.00 gpg in their postseason road games so far. Jordan Binnington was 14-2 with a 2.02 GAA during the regular season at home and I will look for him to shut down the high scoring attack of the Sharks. The St Louis offense has not been great, but Martin Jones had a 3.14 GAA on the road in the regular season, while the Sharks have allowed 3.45 gpg on the road overall this year. The home team is 6-1 the last seven games in this series and that seals the deal for me.

Prediction: St Louis -145

Full-Game Total Pick

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San Jose road games have been high-scoring overall, but I don’t see that happening here. The Sharks have averaged just 2.00 gpg on the road in the postseason and Binnington had a solid 2.02 GAA at home during the regular season. The Sharks have struggled in the crease on the road, but SAt Louis has a very mediocre offense and they will score just enough to win the game, while the Sharks will not contribute enough for the game to go Over the total. The Under is 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last five playoff games as an underdog and 19-7-3 in St Louis last 29 when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.