Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#77 Dallas Stars vs.
#78 Tampa Bay Lightning
Wednesday, May 5, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Amalie Arena, Tampa
Written by Valdis Pans

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Still battling for the remaining playoff spot of the Central Division, the Dallas Stars (5th in Central) will try to snap a four-game losing skid while paying a visit to the Tampa Bay Lightning (3rd in Central), who is riding a six-game point streak with five victories.

Stars Extend Losing Skid

The Dallas Stars (21-17-14) lost for the fourth consecutive time (0-2-2), but picked up a point for the second straight game (0-0-2) after being edged out with a 5-4 overtime count by the Florida Panthers at BB&T Center on Monday. Joel Kiviranta (4 goals, 8 points this year) and Tyler Seguin (1 goals, 1 point) scored in a span of 11 seconds in the third period to erase a 4-2 deficit before the hosts banked the winner during power play at 2:50 of the extra session. Joe Pavelski (22 goals, 45 points) and Jason Robertson (16 goals, 42 points) also tallied for the Stars, who trail the Nashville Predators for the 4th remaining playoff spot of the Central Division by four points with four contests remaining, having a game in hand.

Goalie Anton Khudobin (11-10-7 for the season with a 2.50 GAA and a .906 save percentage) allowed four goals on 15 shots in the first 21 minutes of the game on Monday before being pulled for Jake Oettinger (10-7-7 on the year with a 2.23 GAA and a .918 save percentage), who stopped 27 shots in relief. Oettinger is 1-1-1 versus Tampa Bay in previous encounters with a 2.39 GAA and a .916 save percentage, while Khudobin has posted a 3-6-0 career record against the Lightning with a 3.03 GAA and a .890 save percentage. The Stars are 14th in least goals scored per game in 2020-21 (2.73), 7th in least goals conceded on average (2.54), 5th in power play (23.8%) and 18th in penalty kill (79.1%).

Bolts Expand Point Run

The Tampa Bay Lightning (35-14-3) extended their current point streak to six outings (5-0-1) after edging out the Detroit Red Wings with a score of 2-1 at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. The Bolts, who lost to the Wings 1-0 after a shootout in the same building just 24 hours prior, failed to convert on two power-play opportunities, but outshot the hosts 42-23 and killed all four of their penalties, including a 5-on-3 for two minutes, eventually scoring a goal at the start of each of the first two periods before Detroit got a snipe back at 13:37 of the middle frame. Blake Coleman (13 goals, 29 points this year) and Mikhail Sergachev (3 goals, 29 points) both tallied for Tampa Bay, which is the only team in the NHL without a defeat when entering the third period with a lead (25-0-0).

Goalie Christopher Gibson (1-1-0 this season with a 2.66 GAA and a .875 save percentage) stopped 22 shots on Sunday, but is expected to vacate the crease for Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has been a healthy scratch for the past two outings. Vasilevskiy has posted a 30-8-1 total for the rolling year with a 2.10 GAA and a .929 save percentage, and is 10-1-3 against the Dallas Stars previously with a 1.90 GAA and a .933 save percentage. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 7th in most goals scored per game this year (3.29), 6th in least goals given up on average (2.48) and 6th in both power play (23.6%) and penalty kill (83.4%).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Lightning have beaten the Stars in 10 of their last 13 regular-season meetings, notching a victory by more than one snipe in seven of those games, shutting Dallas out in five of their past 10 encounters. As much as the Stars need a win here to keep their hopes of beating the Nashville Predators for a place in the upcoming playoffs alive, and as much of a boost they now have with Tyler Seguin back in the squad after him missing the first 51 outings of the year following offseason hip surgery, don’t get your hopes up too high for Dallas here! The team has been struggling on the road lately, winning just once on the past five travels, and has already lost by more than one goal in three of its last five defeats. The Bolts, on the other hand, are currently riding a three-game domestic triumph streak and have lost to the Stars in Tampa just once during the last five-and-a-half years.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+160)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Six of the previous eight overall contests between Tampa Bay and Dallas have all cruised below the set goal-mark, averaging no more than 3.33 snipes per fixture. So, do bank on their upcoming head-to-head outing to deliver just a minimal quantity of strikes once again! After allowing at least five markers in their prior matchup, the Stars have already kept things fairly quiet on the offensive side on 40 of the last 58 occasions. Four of the previous five domestic games of the Lightning, meanwhile, have all been decided within the limits of just five goals, averaging no more than 4.25 tallies per clash.

Prediction: Under 5.5

Written By Valdis Pans , "Valdis Pans"

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