Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#73 Montreal Canadiens vs.
#74 Ottawa Senators
Wednesday, May 5, 2021 at 7:05pm EDT
Canadian Tire Cenre, Ontario
Written by The Dominator

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Wednesday evening on the NHL ice and we will see a North Division battle take place as the Montreal Canadiens invade Canadian Tire Center in Ottawa, Ontario to rumble with the Ottawa Senators. The Habs enter this game at 24-27 on the year while the Senators come in at 20-32. The Sens lead the season series 5-4.

Habs Pick Up Two Big Points

The Montreal Canadiens are closing in on a playoff spot, and they just picked up a couple of huge points in their last game. Montreal took on the Leafs at home, and they won the game by a score of 3-2 in OT, which now gives them a 10-point lead over Calgary in the battle for the 4th spot in the North Division. Calgary has six games left, but four of them are against lowly Vancouver, and another is against Ottawa. After this game, Montreal still has two on the road against Toronto and two at home against the Oilers, so their schedule after this one is much tougher than that of the Flames. The Habs have now won their last three games in a row, which is just the 3rd time this year they have had a three-game winning streak. Montreal has yet to win four in a row.

Scoring in the win over Toronto was Tyler Toffoli, which was his 28th of the year, Phillip Danault, which was his 5th, and Cole Caufield, who scored the game-winner with 17 seconds left in OT. Caufield also scored the game-winner in OT in Montreal's previous game, which was against the Sens. The two goals are the first of his career, which spans a total of five games, all within the past ten days. Not a bad way to start a career. Grabbing the win was Jake Allen, who stopped 27 of the 29 shots he faced to move to 11-14 with a 2.55 GAA on the year while on the road, he is 6-6 with a 2.23 GAA. Allen is 5-3 with a 1.96 GAA against the Sens in his career, including 2-1 with a 1.63 GAA against them this year.

Team Stats & Rankings: Montreal enters this contest ranked 15th in scoring at 2.88 gpg, 6th in shots per game at 31.7, and 16th in power-play conversions at 20.6%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 16th in goals allowed at 2.82 gpg, 5th in shots per game allowed at 28.0, and 23rd in penalty kill at 78.1%.

A Little Too Late For The Sens

The Ottawa Senators have had a rough season this year, but they have been playing much better down the stretch. It's just a little too late for them, but the Sens may have built some confidence for next year. Ottawa enters this game off a 2-1 home win over Winnipeg, and it was the 6th win in their last eight games. They were recently eliminated from playoff contention, so that lasted a bit longer than most thought they would. Ottawa will now be playing to stay out of the basement of the North Division. They currently have a four-point lead over Vancouver for 6th place.

The offense has picked up for the Sens of late as they have averaged 3.27 gpg over their last 11 games. Scoring in the win over Winnipeg was Connor Brown, which was his 18th of the year, and Nikita Zaitsev, which was his 3rd. Ottawa has also been getting solid play in the crease of late as they have allowed just 1.90 gpg over their last ten games. Snatching up the win was Filip Gustavsson, who stopped 28 of the 29 shots he faced to improve to 3-3 with a 1.87 GAA on the year, which is his first in the league. We may see Marcus Hogberg get the start in this one, and he is 4-7 with a 3.74 GAA on the year and 0-1 with a 1.87 GAA against the Habs in his career.

Team Stats & Rankings: Ottawa enters this contest ranked 20th in scoring at 2.71 gpg, 12th in shots per game at 30.0, and 26th in power-play conversions at 16.0%. At the defensive end of the ice, they are ranked 28th in goals allowed at 4.40 gpg, 27th in shots per game allowed at 32.1, and 20th in penalty kill at 79.0%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Canadiens need this game as they look to move closer to gaining a playoff spot in the North Division. Still, the Sens have been playing well of late and they have had the better of things in the season series with the Habs. Montreal is also 5-12 in their last 17 road games while Ottawa is 4-1 in their last five home games. The Habs are off a big win against Toronto, so they may be a bit flat here and the Sens are building momentum for next year. look for Montreal to wait a bit longer to clinch their playoff berth.

Prediction: Ottawa +138

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Sens have gotten a bit better at the offensive end of the ice of late but they have also been better at the defensive end as well. Ottawa has allowed just 1.90 gpg over their last 10 games and Montreal has scored two goals or less in regulation in six of their last seven games. The Habs have averaged just 2.17 gpg over their last 12 games. Ottawa has averaged just 2.73 gpg here at home and the Habs have allowed just 2.72 gpg on the road. We also note that Jake Allen has a 1.96 GAA against Ottawa in his career. Lastly, the Under is 15-5-2 in Canadiens last 22 vs. a team with a losing record and 9-2-2 in Senators last 13 vs. a team with a losing record, plus 11-2 in the last 12 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Under 5.5
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.