Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#83 Winnipeg Jets vs.
#84 Calgary Flames
Wednesday, May 5, 2021 at 9:30pm EDT
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Written by Chris Kubala

A pair of teams from the North Division on opposite sides of the playoff cut line take the ice in Cowtown trying to earn a win. The Winnipeg Jets are on the road as they travel to face the Calgary Flames Wednesday night. Winnipeg came up a 2-1 loser on the road to Ottawa Monday night in their most recent contest. Calgary was dropped 4-1 by Edmonton on the road Saturday night in their most recent game to split a two-game set. In the season series between the teams, the Jets own a 4-2-1 advantage, including a 5-1 road triumph in the most recent meeting back on March 29.

Winnipeg Jets Try to Halt Freefall

Winnipeg suffered their seventh straight loss as they were beaten on a late goal by Ottawa on the road Monday night so they’re looking to snap out of their current death spiral. The Jets entered Tuesday third in the North Division standings, 15 points behind the Maple Leafs for the top spot. They stood 10 points ahead of fifth-place Calgary to remain in the playoff picture. Winnipeg enters this one 12th in the league in goals for as they average 3.02 goals a night. The Jets are 14th in goals against as they allow 2.80 goals per contest. Winnipeg is 4th on the power play by cashing in on 24% of the chances with the man advantage this season. The Jets are 17th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate 79.6% of their shorthanded situations.

Against Ottawa Monday night, the Jets were held in check and gave up the winning goal with 1:13 to play in regulation to wind up on the short end of the scoreboard. In the opening period, Winnipeg saw the shots even at six but trailed 1-0 on the scoreboard after 20 minutes of action as they gave up a shorthanded goal. The second period saw the Jets with a commanding 17-4 edge in shots on goal in the period with neither side denting the twine, leaving them down 1-0 after two periods of action. In the final period, Winnipeg was outshot 8-6 with each team scoring once, leaving them down at the final horn. Josh Morrisey tied the game with his fourth of the year at 9:46 off assists from Blake Wheeler and Neal Pionk. The Jets gave up the winner later in the stanza to take the loss. Laurent Brossoit made 16 saves for Winnipeg, who held a 29-18 edge in shots on goal, in the loss. Connor Hellebuyck is expected to get the start in goal here.

Calgary Flames Hoping to Keep Fading Playoff Hopes Alive

Calgary was shut down by Edmonton and saw their fading playoff hopes nearly flicker out with the defeat. The Flames entered Sunday fifth in the North Division, 25 points behind the Maple Leafs for the top spot and 10 back of Montreal for the final guaranteed playoff spot. Calgary is tied for 24th in the league in goals for as they put up an average of 2.62 goals per contest. The Flames are 17th in the league in goals-against by allowing 2.86 goals a night this season. Calgary is 20th in the league in power play success as they convert 19.5% of their chances with the man advantage on the year. The Flames are 12th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully navigate through 80.4% of their shorthanded situations.

In Saturday’s game, Calgary struggled to get anything going and that proved to be their undoing. The opening period saw the Flames outshot by a 10-7 margin and they trailed 2-0 after the opening 20 minutes of play. In the second period, Calgary outshot the Oilers 12-9 and outscored them 1-0 to trail 2-1 after 40 minutes of action. Johnny Gaudreau scored his 18th of the season at 10:48 off assists from Brady Tkachuk and Christopher Tanev. In the third period, the Flames held an 11-10 edge in shots on goal but were outscored 2-0, surrendering a pair of empty-net tallies, to wind up with the loss. Jacob Markstrom made 25 saves for the Flames, who held a 30-29 edge in shots on goal, in the loss. He’s expected to get the call in goal again for this one.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams have had serious issues with putting games in the win column of late. The struggles of the Flames against mediocre teams like Ottawa are a major reason why they likely are going to miss the postseason. Winnipeg is in freefall with seven straight defeats but they had built up enough of a cushion to ensure that they will make the postseason regardless of their problems. The Jets have had success against the Flames this season and it’s tough to have much faith in Calgary given their issues of late. Winnipeg takes advantage of what seems to be a broken Calgary team and that delivers them a much-needed victory.

Prediction: Winnipeg Jets +105

Full-Game Total Pick

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Winnipeg has seen the over put up an 25-22-4 mark in their contests this season. The Jets have seen an average of 5.82 goals per game on the season. Winnipeg has seen the total climb slightly to 5.85 goals per game when they are the road team this season. Calgary went into Tuesday night having seen the under go 26-18-6 in their contests on the year. The Flames have seen an average of 5.48 goals per game on the board in their contests this season. That number climbs to six goals per game as the home team on the year.  In the eight meetings between the teams, we’ve seen them combine for seven, seven, five, five, five, five, six and six goals. With desperate times comes desperate measures: this one ends up slightly over the mark.

Prediction: Over 5.5
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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